Bristol City vs Watford Prediction

Bristol City
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Watford
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol·Oliver Langford 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Bristol City Rest
3 days
Watford Rest
6 days

Bristol City vs Watford: the result in context

Bristol City beat Watford 1-0 in the Championship on 18 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bristol City had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Watford.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Bristol City tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.3 for Watford.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.74
X
26%3.82
2
22%4.33
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
48%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.67
No
48%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.99 = 2.51
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
71%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.29
Over 9.5
56%1.57
Over 10.5
46%1.93
Under 8.5
33%3.12
Under 9.5
44%2.25
Under 10.5
54%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.77
Over 4.5
31%2.29
Under 3.5
50%1.99
Under 4.5
69%1.62

Match Events

21'Mamadou DoumbiaFoul
25'Amin NabizadaFoul
31'Dominic BallardAssist: Rio Cardines
54'Branimir MlacicArgument
54'Jason KnightArgument
54'Joe WilliamsArgument
54'Edo KayembeArgument
62'Branimir Mlacic INAlbert Eames out
62'Rocco Vata INOthmane Maamma out
62'Amin Nabizada INStephy Mavididi out
63'Dominic Ballard INlorent tolaj out
63'Yu Hirakawa INJed Wallace out
70'Mamadou Doumbia INMyron Boadu out
70'Sam Greenwood INCameron Pring out
81'Matthew PollockFoul
88'N.Eile INLisav Naif Eissat out
88'Adam Randell INGibson Osahumen Yah out

Lineups

Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Watford
3-4-1-2Coach: A. Dionisi
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.46
S. Tickle6.61S. Tickle
G. Tanner7.519G. Tanner
N. Eile7.638N. Eile
R. Atkinson7.15R. Atkinson
Rio Cardines8.321R. Cardines
J. Williams6.48J. Williams
A. Randell7.14A. Randell
Y. Hirakawa6.77Y. Hirakawa
J. Knight6.412J. Knight
S. Greenwood6.920S. Greenwood
D. Ballard8.223D. Ballard
F. Ravaglia7.71F. Ravaglia
K. Keben6.34K. Keben
M. Pollock6.46M. Pollock
Branimir Mlačić6.429B. Mlačić
R. Vata6.211R. Vata
H. Kyprianou6.75H. Kyprianou
E. Kayembe6.539E. Kayembe
Amin Nabizada6.221A. Nabizada
Iker Bravo6.517I. Bravo
M. Doumbia6.120M. Doumbia
L. Kjerrumgaard6.99L. Kjerrumgaard

Bristol City Substitutes

45E. Adebayo
40B. Collins
2L. Eissat88'for N.Eile7.0
14T. Horvat
3C. Pring70'for Sam Greenwood7.1
9L. Tolaj63'for Dominic Ballard6.9
10S. Twine
17J. Wallace63'for Yu Hirakawa6.8
27G. Yah88'for Adam Randell7.3

Watford Substitutes

45S. Mavididi62'for Amin Nabizada6.6
7O. Maamma62'for Rocco Vata6.4
43J. Grieves
10M. Boadu70'for Mamadou Doumbia6.1
24S. Walker
26D. Bachmann
19N. Chikovani
53James Andrew Clarridge
56Albert Eames62'for Branimir Mlacic5.9

Match Stats

Bristol CityWatford
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
11Fouls15
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
270Total Passes492
208Passes Accurate421
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Bristol CityBristol City
WatfordWatford
1587Elo Rating 1505
0.31Attack 0.65
2.41Defense 0.95
14%Hit Rate 23%
12.2Shots per Game 12.6
3.1Shots on Target 4.3
5.4Corners per Game 3.3
1.5Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
WatfordWatford
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bristol CityBristol City3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
WatfordWatford4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship27/02/2026
Bristol CityWatford
12
FA Cup10/01/2026
Bristol CityWatford
51
Championship07/11/2025
WatfordBristol City
11
Championship05/04/2025
Bristol CityWatford
21
Championship26/11/2024
WatfordBristol City
10
Championship20/01/2024
Bristol CityWatford
11
Championship26/12/2023
WatfordBristol City
14
Championship15/04/2023
WatfordBristol City
20
Championship12/11/2022
Bristol CityWatford
00
Championship13/02/2021
WatfordBristol City
60

Recent Form

Bristol CityBristol City
3W3D4L
15/09/2026
Bristol CityLincoln
01
L
12/09/2026
SouthamptonBristol City
41
L
05/09/2026
BurnleyBristol City
12
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
W
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
W
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
L
06/08/2026
Bristol CityWalsall
01
L
01/08/2026
Exeter CityBristol City
11
D
01/08/2026
PlymouthBristol City
00
D
WatfordWatford
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
WatfordStoke City
12
L
08/09/2026
WatfordPreston
21
W
05/09/2026
West BromWatford
10
L
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
L
29/08/2026
WatfordWest Ham
11
D
25/08/2026
WatfordPeterborough
15
L
22/08/2026
WrexhamWatford
11
D
16/08/2026
WatfordSouthampton
21
W
08/08/2026
WatfordCrawley Town
10
W
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
L

Referee Profile

Oliver Langford197 matches

3.66Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Langford3.66
Other referees3.78

3.66 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the Bristol City vs Watford forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol City and Watford in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Bristol City are 14th and Watford 21st, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol City 12-15, Watford 10-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.