Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction
England · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough: result, form and history
Birmingham and Middlesbrough drew 2-2 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Middlesbrough have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Referee David Webb averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Birmingham
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Beadle
26B. Osayi-Samuel
5P. Neumann
4C. Klarer
20A. Cochrane
24T. Iwata
14J. Solis
7C. Vicente
28J. Stansfield
17L. Millar
32L. Vázquez
1R. Vítek
12L. Ayling
4A. Phillips
29A. Malanda
2C. Brittain
10A. Morris
8R. McGree
17M. Arfsten
11A. Cozier-Duberry
14M. Peart-Harris
7W. LankshearBirmingham Substitutes
Middlesbrough Substitutes
Match Stats
BirminghamMiddlesbrough Team Comparison
BirminghamMiddlesbroughAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Birmingham- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Middlesbrough- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Birmingham2Wins · 20%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
02/03/2026BirminghamMiddlesbrough08/11/2025MiddlesbroughBirmingham12/03/2024BirminghamMiddlesbrough21/10/2023MiddlesbroughBirmingham02/01/2023BirminghamMiddlesbrough05/10/2022MiddlesbroughBirmingham15/03/2022BirminghamMiddlesbrough30/10/2021MiddlesbroughBirmingham16/01/2021MiddlesbroughBirmingham19/12/2020BirminghamMiddlesbroughRecent Form
Birmingham
DerbyBirmingham
NorwichBirminghamBirmingham
WolvesBirmingham
Southampton
WrexhamBirminghamBirmingham
BrentfordBirmingham
Bristol City
Sheffield UtdBirmingham
SwanseaBirminghamBirmingham
BarcelonaMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
MillwallMiddlesbroughNorwich
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
QPRMiddlesbrough
BurnleyMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
West Brom
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
BlackburnMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
LincolnMiddlesbroughWrexhamReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.06 cards a match, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.81).
Cards come from 207 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Championship matches
About the Birmingham vs Middlesbrough forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Birmingham and Middlesbrough in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 1st and Birmingham 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Birmingham 23-13, Middlesbrough 30-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.