Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction

Middlesbrough
2-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Millwall
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough·R. Madley 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Middlesbrough Rest
3 days
Millwall Rest
3 days

Middlesbrough vs Millwall: result, form and history

Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2-2 in the Championship on 15 Sep 2026. Middlesbrough had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Millwall.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.45
X
27%4.60
2
22%6.10
Double Chance
1X
78%1.11
X2
50%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.07 = 2.49
Over 1.5
73%1.14
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
27%2.38
Under 1.5
27%5.00
Under 2.5
50%2.38
Under 3.5
73%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 4.4 = 11.3
Over 8.5
95%1.23
Over 9.5
83%1.44
Over 10.5
50%1.75
Under 8.5
5%3.47
Under 9.5
17%2.51
Under 10.5
50%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.85
Over 4.5
29%2.88
Under 3.5
51%1.88
Under 4.5
71%1.39

Match Events

11'Taïryk ArconteAssist: Camiel Neghli
36'Lyndon DykesAssist: Caleb Taylor
45'Sebastian Berhalter INKyle Joseph out
45'Neto Borges INMax Arfsten out
45'Tommy Conway INJeremy Sarmiento out
50'Amario Cozier-Duberry
56'Lyndon Dykes INElkan Baggott out
59'Derek Mazou SackoFoul
61'will lankshearAssist: Luke Ayling
66'Riley McGreeFoul
75'Jenson Metcalfe IND. Kelly out
75'Taïryk Arconte INZakariya Lovelace out
78'Riley McGree INMyles Peart-Harris out
84'Zak Sturge INLuke Cundle out
84'Mark Sykes INYanis Ali Issoufou out
85'Amario Cozier-Duberry INDavid Strelec out

Lineups

Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Coach: K. Hellberg
Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.54
R. Vítek6.21R. Vítek
C. Brittain6.52C. Brittain
L. Ayling7.012L. Ayling
A. Phillips6.34A. Phillips
Neto Borges5.830N. Borges
A. Morris7.210A. Morris
S. Berhalter7.06S. Berhalter
A. Cozier-Duberry8.211A. Cozier-Duberry
R. McGree6.68R. McGree
T. Conway6.69T. Conway
W. Lankshear8.07W. Lankshear
M. Crocombe6.715M. Crocombe
J. Osei-Tutu6.22J. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor6.86C. Taylor
J. Cooper6.65J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge6.93Z. Norton Sturge
Jenson Metcalfe6.214J. Metcalfe
D. Mazou-Sacko6.449D. Mazou-Sacko
M. Sykes6.317M. Sykes
L. Dykes7.513L. Dykes
C. Neghli6.910C. Neghli
T. Arconte7.67T. Arconte

Middlesbrough Substitutes

14M. Peart-Harris78'for Riley McGree6.2
21R. Pukštas
13D. Strelec85'for Amario Cozier-Duberry6.5
16J. Sarmiento45'for Tommy Conway6.9
17M. Arfsten45'for Neto Borges6.4
31S. Brynn
3S. Byram
19Leo Castledine
22K. Joseph45'for Sebastian Berhalter6.7

Millwall Substitutes

25L. Cundle84'for Zak Sturge6.1
35Y. Issoufou84'for Mark Sykes6.5
16D. Kelly75'for Jenson Metcalfe5.6
29Z. Lovelace75'for Taïryk Arconte6.4
34F. Marschall
44Alfie Massey
55Tristan Parkes
12E. Baggott56'for Lyndon Dykes6.0
23D. Batth

Match Stats

MiddlesbroughMillwall
80%Ball Possession20%
14Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box11
11Shots Outside Box0
10Blocked Shots1
3Fouls12
4Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves5
647Total Passes162
599Passes Accurate102
93%Pass Accuracy63%

Team Comparison

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
MillwallMillwall
1744Elo Rating 1654
2.84Attack 1.18
1.60Defense 1.53
63%Hit Rate 17%
24.9Shots per Game 12.9
9.3Shots on Target 3.9
7.4Corners per Game 7.7
0.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
MillwallMillwall4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship03/04/2026
MiddlesbroughMillwall
12
Championship16/08/2025
MillwallMiddlesbrough
03
Championship12/04/2025
MillwallMiddlesbrough
10
Championship14/12/2024
MiddlesbroughMillwall
10
Championship13/01/2024
MillwallMiddlesbrough
13
Championship05/08/2023
MiddlesbroughMillwall
01
Championship14/01/2023
MiddlesbroughMillwall
10
Championship08/10/2022
MillwallMiddlesbrough
20
Championship12/03/2022
MillwallMiddlesbrough
00
Championship20/11/2021
MiddlesbroughMillwall
11

Recent Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
6W2D2L
12/09/2026
MiddlesbroughNorwich
43
W
08/09/2026
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
30
L
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
W
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
31
W
25/08/2026
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
13
W
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
L
15/08/2026
MiddlesbroughLincoln
21
W
07/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWrexham
10
W
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
MillwallMillwall
6W0D4L
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
W
08/08/2026
QPRMillwall
0121
W
01/08/2026
MillwallAntwerp
10
W

Referee Profile

R. Madley173 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Madley4.02
Other referees3.73

4.02 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.73).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Middlesbrough vs Millwall forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Middlesbrough and Millwall in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 1st and Millwall 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Middlesbrough 27-17, Millwall 19-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.