Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction
England · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Burnley vs Bristol City: the result in context
Bristol City beat Burnley 2-1 in the Championship on 5 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bristol City had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Burnley.
Burnley have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Burnley
Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. Weiss
C2K. Walker
18H. Ekdal
3M. Alleyne
22O. Sonne
8U. Raghouber
29J. Laurent
21A. Ramsey
5R. Hatate
19L. Ramazani
17A. Hountondji
1S. Tickle
21R. Cardines
16R. Dickie
2L. Eissat
3C. Pring
C12J. Knight
8J. Williams
17J. Wallace
27G. Yah
10S. Twine
9L. TolajBurnley Substitutes
Bristol City Substitutes
Match Stats
BurnleyBristol City Team Comparison
BurnleyBristol CityAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Burnley- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bristol City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Burnley4Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
29/03/2025BurnleyBristol City23/11/2024Bristol CityBurnley29/04/2023Bristol CityBurnley17/09/2022BurnleyBristol CityRecent Form
BurnleyBurnley
Middlesbrough
NorwichBurnley
BradfordBurnley
West BromBurnleyBurnley
West HamBurnley
Notts CountyBurnley
TorinoBurnley
Espanyol
AjaxBurnley
Real Salt LakeBurnleyBristol City
PrestonBristol CityBristol City
Portsmouth
BirminghamBristol CityBristol City
MillwallBristol City
Walsall
Exeter CityBristol City
PlymouthBristol CityBristol City
Newcastle
Forest GreenBristol City
Swindon TownBristol CityReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).
Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Burnley vs Bristol City forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Burnley and Bristol City in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Bristol City are 14th and Burnley 22nd, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Burnley 17-25, Bristol City 15-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.