West Ham vs Wolves Prediction

West Ham
4-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Wolves
London Stadium, London·L. Smith 01/09/2026
West HamWest Ham
4-2
Finished
WolvesWolves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
West Ham Rest
3 days
Wolves Rest
3 days

West Ham vs Wolves: the result in context

West Ham beat Wolves 4-2 in the Championship on 1 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Wolves had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for West Ham.

West Ham have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee L. Smith is among the more lenient referees we track, at 3.9 cards a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.05
X
25%3.60
2
19%3.40
Double Chance
1X
81%1.30
X2
44%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.54
No
43%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 0.99 = 2.75
Over 1.5
78%1.21
Over 2.5
54%1.66
Over 3.5
31%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.25
Under 2.5
46%2.21
Under 3.5
69%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
66%1.38
Over 9.5
57%1.65
Over 10.5
46%2.05
Under 8.5
34%2.81
Under 9.5
43%2.10
Under 10.5
54%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.70
Over 4.5
37%2.42
Under 3.5
41%2.05
Under 4.5
63%1.49

Match Events

33'D. MukasaAssist: A. Engels
42'J. Bowen(Penalty)
44'M. Munetsi
45'D. MukasaFoul
53'D. MukasaAssist: J. Bowen
56'J. Piroe INT. Castellanos out
56'K. Walker-Peters INJ. Veltman out
60'R. Gomes INA. Armstrong out
64'K. Mavropanos
65'R. Jimenez INJ. James out
66'M. Munetsi INT. Doyle out
69'Pablo INM. Kante out
69'K. MavropanosOG
69'D. Mukasa INK. Lamadrid out
79'M. Solomon INE. Austbo out
80'M. Mane INT. Chirewa out
87'J. JamesFoul
90+1'T. CastellanosFoul

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
WolvesWolves
1802Elo Rating 1689
2.38Attack 1.05
1.74Defense 1.94
42%Hit Rate 46%
19.9Shots per Game 18.6
7.6Shots on Target 3.6
8.1Corners per Game 8.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
WolvesWolves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

West HamWest Ham6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
WolvesWolves4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League10/04/2026
West HamWolves
40
Premier League03/01/2026
WolvesWest Ham
30
League Cup26/08/2025
WolvesWest Ham
32
Premier League01/04/2025
WolvesWest Ham
10
Premier League09/12/2024
West HamWolves
21
Premier League06/04/2024
WolvesWest Ham
12
Premier League17/12/2023
West HamWolves
30
Premier League14/01/2023
WolvesWest Ham
10
Premier League01/10/2022
West HamWolves
20
Premier League27/02/2022
West HamWolves
10

Recent Form

West HamWest Ham
4W5D1L
29/08/2026
WatfordWest Ham
11
D
25/08/2026
SouthamptonWest Ham
14
W
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
L
16/08/2026
BurnleyWest Ham
22
D
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
W
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
W
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D
24/05/2026
West HamLeeds
30
W
WolvesWolves
7W2D1L
29/08/2026
WolvesStoke City
41
W
25/08/2026
Sheffield WednesdayWolves
02
W
22/08/2026
PrestonWolves
13
W
14/08/2026
WolvesBlackburn
22
D
07/08/2026
WolvesPort Vale
30
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
W
29/07/2026
DoncasterWolves
02
W
25/07/2026
WolvesReal Sociedad
12
L
22/07/2026
MaidenheadWolves
01
W
24/05/2026
BurnleyWolves
11
D

Referee Profile

L. Smith76 matches analysed

3.87Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 14% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the West Ham vs Wolves forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Ham and Wolves in the Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: West Ham are 3rd in the Championship, 1 point ahead of Wolves in 4th. League goal record so far: West Ham 32-15, Wolves 20-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.