Stoke City vs Charlton Prediction

Stoke City
4-0
Finished
HT 4-0
Charlton
bet365 Stadium, Stoke·Robert Madley, England 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseHighGap-0.4%
Stoke City Rest
3 days
Charlton Rest
2 days

Stoke City vs Charlton: result, form and history

Stoke City beat Charlton 4-0 in the Championship on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Charlton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Stoke City.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.10
X
45%3.23
2
20%3.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.28
X2
65%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.86
No
49%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.04 = 2.29
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.14
Over 3.5
22%3.80
Under 1.5
33%3.00
Under 2.5
58%1.68
Under 3.5
78%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
54%1.75
Over 10.5
48%2.20
Under 8.5
37%2.60
Under 9.5
46%2.00
Under 10.5
52%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.7 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%1.67
Over 4.5
28%2.23
Under 3.5
53%2.10
Under 4.5
72%1.61

Match Events

15'J. Devenny(Penalty)
22'E. Galbraith
25'G. HirstAssist: E. Bocat
26'T. Campbell IND. McNamara out
34'S. Gallagher INR. Bozenik out
41'J. DevennyAssist: E. Bocat
45+3'Miles LeaburnFoul
45+5'Ethan GalbraithFoul
46'T. Ouma INC. Coventry out
48'Danny McNamaraFoul
50'Danny McNamaraArgument
50'Danny McNamaraArgument
57'G. Hirst INL. Cisse out
58'B. Lawal INM. Talovierov out
58'J. Devenny INJ. McGlynn out
62'Conor CoventryFoul
72'J. Rankin-Costello INM. Alli out
72'M. Leaburn INM. Mbick out
79'D. Soumare INB. Pearson out
79'K. Grant INR. Apter out

Lineups

Stoke City
3-5-2Coach: Mark Robins
Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: Nathan Jones
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.24
V. JohanssonC7.31V. Johansson
B. Wilmot7.516B. Wilmot
B. Lawal18B. Lawal
L. Graham7.25L. Graham
B. Johnson7.22B. Johnson
J. Devenny8.213J. Devenny
D. Soumare6.327D. Soumare
E. Galbraith7.78E. Galbraith
E. Bocat7.717E. Bocat
S. Gallagher6.320S. Gallagher
G. Hirst7.215G. Hirst
A. Okonkwo6.213A. Okonkwo
I. Mesik5.918I. Mesik
L. JonesC6.05L. Jones
T. Bindon5.944T. Bindon
A. Bell6.317A. Bell
T. Ouma5.916T. Ouma
O. Skipp6.734O. Skipp
K. Grant6.29K. Grant
J. Rankin-Costello6.526J. Rankin-Costello
T. Campbell7T. Campbell
M. Leaburn7.011M. Leaburn

Stoke City Substitutes

24J. Griffiths
21L. Bombino
40M. Talovierov58'for B. Lawal7.2
4B. Pearson79'for D. Soumare6.9
7J. McGlynn58'for J. Devenny6.9
19T. Rigo
10Bae Jun-Ho
9R. Bozenik34'for S. Gallagher6.7
11L. Cisse57'for G. Hirst6.7

Charlton Substitutes

21T. Brooks
20D. McNamara26'for T. Campbell48'50'50'4.3
8H. Knibbs
14S. Carey
6C. Coventry46'for T. Ouma62'6.9
32A. Mwamba
30R. Apter79'for K. Grant6.3
19M. Alli72'for J. Rankin-Costello6.9
33M. Mbick72'for M. Leaburn6.2

Match Stats

Stoke CityCharlton
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
20Fouls13
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
501Total Passes288
429Passes Accurate221
86%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Stoke CityStoke City
CharltonCharlton
1619Elo Rating 1534
1.23Attack 0.97
2.11Defense 0.76
54%Hit Rate 0%
10.5Shots per Game 10.0
2.7Shots on Target 3.6
4.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stoke CityStoke City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Stoke CityStoke City1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
CharltonCharlton1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Championship11/02/2026
CharltonStoke City
10
Championship25/11/2025
Stoke CityCharlton
30

Recent Form

Stoke CityStoke City
4W2D4L
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
W
29/08/2026
WolvesStoke City
41
L
25/08/2026
Stoke CityHull City
4151
L
22/08/2026
SouthamptonStoke City
31
L
15/08/2026
Stoke CitySwansea
12
L
08/08/2026
Stoke CityOldham
20
W
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
W
21/07/2026
ChesterStoke City
01
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
CharltonCharlton
6W1D3L
02/09/2026
West BromCharlton
11
D
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
W
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
L
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
W
15/08/2026
CharltonDerby
21
W
08/08/2026
CheltenhamCharlton
13
W
01/08/2026
ReadingCharlton
30
L
28/07/2026
ColchesterCharlton
02
W
25/07/2026
AFC WimbledonCharlton
20
L
18/07/2026
GillinghamCharlton
01
W

Referee Profile

Robert Madley173 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Madley4.02
Other referees3.72

4.02 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the Stoke City vs Charlton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stoke City and Charlton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Stoke City are 7th and Charlton 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Stoke City 20-16, Charlton 11-21. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stoke City and Charlton have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.