West Ham vs Charlton Prediction

West Ham
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Charlton
London Stadium, London·Andrew Kitchen, England 22/08/2026
West HamWest Ham
1-2
Finished
CharltonCharlton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
West Ham Rest
5 days
Charlton Rest
7 days

West Ham vs Charlton: result, form and history

Charlton beat West Ham 2-1 in the Championship on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Andrew Kitchen averages 3.04 cards a game, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.36
X
23%4.88
2
10%8.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
33%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.94
No
49%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 0.8 = 2.88
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
54%1.66
Over 3.5
30%2.66
Under 1.5
21%4.27
Under 2.5
46%2.20
Under 3.5
70%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.7 = 10.7
Over 8.5
66%1.33
Over 9.5
57%1.57
Over 10.5
42%1.92
Under 8.5
34%2.90
Under 9.5
43%2.23
Under 10.5
58%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.3
Over 3.5
57%2.25
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
43%1.57
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

7'L. JonesAssist: S. Carey
46'M. Kante INL. Orford out
47'M. KilmanFoul
50'D. McNamaraFoul
56'T. Campbell
66'S. Carey INA. Mwamba out
70'M. Leaburn INM. Mbick out
70'K. Mavropanos INJ. Veltman out
71'O. Scarles IND. Mukasa out
72'K. GrantFoul
74'J. Piroe
77'N. Chalobah INJ. Rankin-Costello out
78'K. Grant INC. Sichenje out
81'T. CastellanosDiving
90+3'L. JonesUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+3'T. Castellanos(Penalty missed)

Lineups

West Ham
4-4-1-1Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: Nathan Jones
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.83
Mads Hermansen6.91M. Hermansen
Kyle Walker-Peters6.52K. Walker-Peters
Konstantinos Mavropanos6.515K. Mavropanos
Max Kilman7.23M. Kilman
Oliver Scarles6.330O. Scarles
Jarrod BowenC7.920J. Bowen
Arne Engels6.97A. Engels
Mohamadou Kanté6.717M. Kanté
Manor Solomon7.010M. Solomon
Joël Piroe6.99J. Piroe
Valentín Castellanos5.911V. Castellanos
Arthur Okonkwo8.213A. Okonkwo
Danny McNamara6.920D. McNamara
Lloyd JonesC7.95L. Jones
Billy Koumetio6.612B. Koumetio
Amari'i Bell6.617A. Bell
Conor Coventry6.96C. Coventry
Nathaniel Chalobah6.515N. Chalobah
Karlan Grant6.29K. Grant
Sonny Carey6.914S. Carey
Tyreece Campbell7.27T. Campbell
Miles Leaburn7.211M. Leaburn

West Ham Substitutes

61Lewis Orford46'for M. Kante7.0
34Joël Veltman70'for K. Mavropanos6.9
14Divine Mukasa71'for O. Scarles6.7
23Alphonse Aréola
58Airidas Golambeckis
63Ezra Mayers
21Keiber Lamadrid
8James Ward-Prowse
66Joshua Ajala

Charlton Substitutes

32Alan Mwamba66'for S. Carey6.5
33Micah Mbick70'for M. Leaburn6.3
28Collins Sichenje78'for K. Grant6.3
26Joe Rankin-Costello77'for N. Chalobah6.3
21Tiernan Brooks
18Ivan Mesík
19Millenic Alli
30Robert Apter
8Harvey Knibbs

Match Stats

West HamCharlton
78%Ball Possession22%
7Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal2
18Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots0
9Fouls16
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
665Total Passes190
613Passes Accurate125
92%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
CharltonCharlton
1802Elo Rating 1534
2.38Attack 0.97
1.74Defense 0.76
42%Hit Rate 0%
19.9Shots per Game 10.0
7.6Shots on Target 3.6
8.1Corners per Game 3.8
2.2Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+269 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

West HamWest Ham1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CharltonCharlton0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

League Cup15/09/2020
West HamCharlton
30

Recent Form

West HamWest Ham
3W4D3L
16/08/2026
BurnleyWest Ham
22
D
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
W
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
W
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D
24/05/2026
West HamLeeds
30
W
17/05/2026
NewcastleWest Ham
31
L
10/05/2026
West HamArsenal
01
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
L
CharltonCharlton
6W1D3L
15/08/2026
CharltonDerby
21
W
08/08/2026
CheltenhamCharlton
13
W
01/08/2026
ReadingCharlton
30
L
28/07/2026
ColchesterCharlton
02
W
25/07/2026
AFC WimbledonCharlton
20
L
18/07/2026
GillinghamCharlton
01
W
10/07/2026
MariborCharlton
11
D
03/07/2026
DartfordCharlton
01
W
02/05/2026
SwanseaCharlton
31
L
25/04/2026
CharltonHull City
21
W

Referee Profile

Andrew Kitchen177 matches

3.04Cards per match
2.94Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrew Kitchen3.04
Other referees3.90

3.04 cards a match, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 160 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the West Ham vs Charlton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Ham and Charlton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, West Ham are 3rd and Charlton 19th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: West Ham 32-15, Charlton 11-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

West Ham and Charlton have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.