Burnley vs West Ham Prediction

Burnley
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
West Ham
Turf Moor, Burnley·Josh Smith, England 16/08/2026
BurnleyBurnley
2-2
Finished
West HamWest Ham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.39
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Burnley Rest
8 days
West Ham Rest
8 days

Burnley vs West Ham: result, form and history

Burnley and West Ham drew 2-2 in the Championship on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

West Ham have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. West Ham tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.3 for Burnley.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.22
X
26%3.40
2
41%2.16
Double Chance
1X
60%1.67
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.61
No
49%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.27 = 2.44
Over 1.5
70%1.24
Over 2.5
47%1.78
Over 3.5
25%2.90
Under 1.5
30%3.90
Under 2.5
53%2.00
Under 3.5
75%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.51
Over 9.5
51%1.88
Over 10.5
40%2.40
Under 8.5
42%2.40
Under 9.5
49%1.85
Under 10.5
60%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
55%1.71
Over 4.5
35%2.20
Under 3.5
45%2.11
Under 4.5
65%1.62

Match Events

10'M. KilmanAssist: J. Bowen
33'M. KanteFoul
46'Pablo INJ. Ward-Prowse out
57'U. Raghouber INJ. Laurent out
57'H. Mejbri INZ. Amdouni out
67'T. CastellanosFoul
72'M. Solomon
76'A. Ramsey INA. Broja out
76'B. Humphreys INLucas Pires out
82'J. Bruun Larsen INM. Tresor Ndayishimiye out
83'Z. Flemming(Penalty)
84'M. HermansenUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'O. Scarles INM. Diouf out
89'M. Solomon INJ. Veltman out
90+2'Z. FlemmingAssist: M. Alleyne
90+5'M. DioufFoul

Lineups

Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: Nicky Hayen
West Ham
4-4-2Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.78
Max Weiss6.21M. Weiss
Oliver Sonne6.222O. Sonne
Kyle WalkerC7.02K. Walker
Max Alleyne6.73M. Alleyne
Bashir Humphreys6.96B. Humphreys
Hannibal Mejbri6.728H. Mejbri
Ugo Raghouber6.38U. Raghouber
Marcus Edwards7.210M. Edwards
Aaron Ramsey6.921A. Ramsey
Jacob Bruun Larsen7.27J. Bruun Larsen
Zian Flemming8.219Z. Flemming
Mads Hermansen7.01M. Hermansen
Kyle Walker-Peters6.22K. Walker-Peters
Konstantinos Mavropanos6.915K. Mavropanos
Max Kilman7.33M. Kilman
Oliver Scarles6.930O. Scarles
Jarrod BowenC7.220J. Bowen
Lewis Orford6.961L. Orford
Mohamadou Kanté6.217M. Kanté
Manor Solomon7.610M. Solomon
Pablo Felipe6.319P. Felipe
Valentín Castellanos6.611V. Castellanos

Burnley Substitutes

29Josh Laurent57'for U. Raghouber6.7
11Zeki Amdouni57'for H. Mejbri6.5
13Ben Amos
4Joe Worrall
23Lucas Pires76'for B. Humphreys6.2
20Shurandy Sambo
31Mike Trésor82'for J. Bruun Larsen6.7
17Andreas Hountondji
27Armando Broja76'for A. Ramsey6.9

West Ham Substitutes

8James Ward-Prowse46'for Pablo6.9
23Alphonse Aréola
58Airidas Golambeckis
12El Hadji Malick Diouf87'for O. Scarles90+5'6.2
63Ezra Mayers
34Joël Veltman89'for M. Solomon
40George Earthy
66Joshua Ajala
48Josh Landers

Match Stats

BurnleyWest Ham
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots6
12Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
397Total Passes462
328Passes Accurate402
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

BurnleyBurnley
West HamWest Ham
1582Elo Rating 1802
1.69Attack 2.38
0.93Defense 1.74
17%Hit Rate 42%
12.8Shots per Game 19.9
4.4Shots on Target 7.6
4.3Corners per Game 8.1
1.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BurnleyBurnley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

BurnleyBurnley0Wins · 0%
Draws338%
West HamWest Ham5Wins · 62%
2.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Premier League07/02/2026
BurnleyWest Ham
02
Premier League08/11/2025
West HamBurnley
32
Premier League10/03/2024
West HamBurnley
22
Premier League25/11/2023
BurnleyWest Ham
12
Premier League17/04/2022
West HamBurnley
11
Premier League12/12/2021
BurnleyWest Ham
00
Premier League03/05/2021
BurnleyWest Ham
12
Premier League16/01/2021
West HamBurnley
10

Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
1W4D5L
08/08/2026
BurnleyNotts County
4131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
L
29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
22
D
26/07/2026
AjaxBurnley
21
L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
11/07/2026
FC CincinnatiBurnley
31
L
24/05/2026
BurnleyWolves
11
D
18/05/2026
ArsenalBurnley
10
L
10/05/2026
BurnleyAston Villa
22
D
West HamWest Ham
4W3D3L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
W
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
W
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D
24/05/2026
West HamLeeds
30
W
17/05/2026
NewcastleWest Ham
31
L
10/05/2026
West HamArsenal
01
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
L
25/04/2026
West HamEverton
21
W

Referee Profile

Josh Smith203 matches

3.90Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Josh Smith3.90
Other referees3.86

3.90 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).

Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the Burnley vs West Ham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burnley and West Ham in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: West Ham are 3rd in the Championship, while Burnley sit 22nd, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Burnley 17-25, West Ham 32-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.