Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa·Piskov·Gero 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-10.8%
Botev Vratsa Rest
4 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
6 days

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the result in context

Lokomotiv Plovdiv beat Botev Vratsa 2-1 in the First League on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Botev Vratsa tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 2.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.06
X
32%2.96
2
27%3.80
Double Chance
1X
73%1.22
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.16
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.13 = 2.21
Over 1.5
62%1.53
Over 2.5
38%2.60
Over 3.5
18%5.41
Under 1.5
38%2.40
Under 2.5
62%1.44
Under 3.5
82%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'Christ Longville
46'D. Mrankov
49'Martin Smolenski
52'Todor Pavlov
54'Julien Lamy
55'Milan petrovic INbrito matheus out
55'D. Mrankov INjunior burban out
55'Julien Lamy INAnton Fase out
73'Martin Detelinov Petkov INDaniel Genov out
73'Martin Smolenski INVladislav Naydenov out
75'Christ Longville INsevi idriz out
84'Julian Iliev INMiha·Trdan out
89'Jose Gallegos INKassim Hadji out
89'Buchkov INAntoan Stoyanov out
90'Ivan Goranov

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1Coach: Todor Simov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Kosič
M. Orlinov94M. Orlinov
A. Buchkov25A. Buchkov
M. Stoev36M. Stoev
I. Goranov4I. Goranov
S. Sanyang3S. Sanyang
R. Tsonev7R. Tsonev
I. Yurukov12I. Yurukov
M. Smolenski24M. Smolenski
M. Petkov79M. Petkov
J. Gallegos10J. Gallegos
F. Gigov90F. Gigov
B. Milosavljevic1B. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
M. Petrović44M. Petrović
Lucas Ryan13L. Ryan
T. Pavlov5T. Pavlov
J. Iliev10J. Iliev
I. Ivanov22I. Ivanov
J. Lamy99J. Lamy
P. Umarbayev39P. Umarbayev
Christ Longville29C. Longville
D. Mrankov31D. Mrankov

Botev Vratsa Substitutes

97V. Naydenov73'for Martin Smolenski
8A. Stoyanov89'for Buchkov
98L. Vasilev
11M. Achkov
88L. Boyanov
21M. Dimitrov
9D. Genov73'for Martin Detelinov Petkov
81K. Hadji89'for Jose Gallegos
6A. Kichukov
17S. Mechev

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

6M. Trdan84'for Julian Iliev
94brito matheus55'replaced by Milan petrovic
11R. Leijten
7Sevi Idriz75'for Christ Longville
17A. Fase55'for Julien Lamy
19junior burban55'replaced by D. Mrankov
3D. Ali
40P. Zovko
9A. Velev

Match Stats

Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal3
13Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1454Elo Rating 1487
0.62Attack 0.67
1.83Defense 2.05
19%Hit Rate 36%
12.7Shots per Game 8.7
6.2Shots on Target 1.9
5.4Corners per Game 2.0
2.8Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League22/03/2026
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
12
First League17/10/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
30
First League15/05/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
13
First League01/03/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
10
First League18/10/2024
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
00
First League25/11/2023
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
First League31/07/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
40
First League12/02/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
00
First League30/07/2022
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
01
First League10/12/2021
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Vratsa
24

Recent Form

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
2W3D5L
02/11/2026
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
10
L
24/10/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D
18/10/2026
FratriaBotev Vratsa
12
W
14/10/2026
Botev PlovdivBotev Vratsa
20
L
10/10/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
01
L
03/10/2026
Slavia SofiaBotev Vratsa
21
L
19/09/2026
Dunav RuseBotev Vratsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
04/09/2026
Septemvri SofiaBotev Vratsa
23
W
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
L

Referee Profile

Piskov·Gero3 matches analysed

4.95Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Botev Vratsa are close in the First League table, 11th and 13th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Botev Vratsa 11-24, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8-18. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.