Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Dragalevtsi Stadium,, Sofia 06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.32
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
Septemvri Sofia Rest
3 days
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
6 days

Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: result, form and history

Septemvri Sofia beat Lokomotiv Sofia 1-0 in the First League on 6 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Lokomotiv Sofia had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Septemvri Sofia.

Lokomotiv Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Lokomotiv Sofia tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.4 for Septemvri Sofia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.10
X
27%3.29
2
44%2.19
Double Chance
1X
56%1.61
X2
71%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.65
No
46%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.12 = 2.19
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
46%1.81
Over 3.5
26%3.00
Under 1.5
29%3.60
Under 2.5
54%1.94
Under 3.5
74%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Pedro Ferreira
24'Ante Aralica
31'Martin Hristov
33'Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
46'pedrinho INPedro Igor out
46'Mohamed Medfai INDimitar Kostadinov out
46'aleksandar dzhamov INborislav stoichkov out
49'Pedro Ferreira
60'Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho INJoyce Kati Katulondi out
63'Angel Lyaskov
66'Andre Liberal INedney ribeiro out
77'nicolas fontaine INKubrat Onasci out
79'Krasimir Stanoev INKaloyan Kostov out
86'Frantzety Herard INnikola genchev out
87'Spas Delev INcaruzo caue out

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
3-5-2Coach: M. Kašćelan
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-3-3Coach: Aleksandar Georgiev
V. Ivanov12V. Ivanov
M. Hristov4M. Hristov
S. Vulikić25S. Vulikić
V. Ozornwafor26V. Ozornwafor
Pedro Ferreira6P. Ferreira
N. Fontaine17N. Fontaine
Y. Baurenski5Y. Baurenski
1919pedrinho
A. Dzhamov11A. Dzhamov
F. Herard29F. Herard
André Filipe Rio Liberal27A. Filipe Rio Liberal
M. Velichkov99M. Velichkov
Eirô6Eirô
R. Bidounga91R. Bidounga
N. Neychev42N. Neychev
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
I. Yordanov8I. Yordanov
A. Taoui11A. Taoui
M. Medfai16M. Medfai
A. Aralica29A. Aralica
S. Delev7S. Delev

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

16V. Mihaylov
24Z. Atanasov
13K. Önaşçı77'for nicolas fontaine
1A. Radkov
28S. Stoichkov
23B. Stoichkov46'for aleksandar dzhamov
7E. Ribeiro66'for Andre Liberal
18Pedro Igor46'replaced by pedrinho
10N. Iliev
15P. Gospodinov
22N. Genchev86'for Frantzety Herard

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

44B. Katsarov
23O. Oduko
20D. Kostadinov46'for Mohamed Medfai
77Caue Caruzo87'for Spas Delev
18Joyce Kati Katulondi60'replaced by Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
3K. Kostov79'for Krasimir Stanoev
26K. Miloshev
9G. Minchev
17M. Papazov
21K. Chachev

Match Stats

Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1388Elo Rating 1422
0.95Attack 1.13
1.56Defense 1.08
27%Hit Rate 17%
8.9Shots per Game 8.8
4.3Shots on Target 3.7
3.4Corners per Game 6.5
3.3Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia6Wins · 60%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First League27/04/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
11
First League17/03/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
30
First League29/08/2025
Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League20/05/2025
Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
02
First League08/12/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
12
First League12/08/2024
Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
01
First League18/02/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
11
First League08/08/2022
Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
03
Second League06/03/2021
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
10
Second League25/08/2020
Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
25

Recent Form

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Septemvri Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League table

Septemvri Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia are close in the First League table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Septemvri Sofia 12-25, Lokomotiv Sofia 15-26. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.