Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient Prediction

League OneEngland England · Regular Season - 13
Burton Albion
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Leyton Orient
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent 24/10/2026
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
2-1
Finished
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Burton Albion Rest
3 days
Leyton Orient Rest
2 days

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: the result in context

Burton Albion beat Leyton Orient 2-1 in the League One on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Burton Albion tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 4.1 for Leyton Orient.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.58
X
27%3.33
2
35%2.60
Double Chance
1X
65%1.46
X2
62%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.35 = 2.70
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.80
Over 3.5
30%2.92
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.96
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.9 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.57
Over 9.5
55%1.95
Over 10.5
43%2.60
Under 8.5
33%2.25
Under 9.5
45%1.75
Under 10.5
57%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

32'M. O’MahonyFoul
33'Alexander George Henry Gilbert
56'Kgagelo ChaukeAssist: Caylon Vickers
58'M. O’Mahony INGbemi Arubi out
63'James Morris INPhillip Chinedu out
64'Dane Scarlett INAaron Connolly out
73'Isaac Hayden INArmando Dobra out
77'H. Araujo INEmeka Adeile out
80'Jaze Kabia INOliver O'Neill out
86'Will CollarAssist: Caylon Vickers

Lineups

Burton Albion
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Bowyer
Leyton Orient
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Wellens
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.38
C. Addai6.434C. Addai
T. Sibbick6.16T. Sibbick
C. Tilt7.016C. Tilt
J. Sraha6.120J. Sraha
R. Borges Rodrigues6.217R. Borges Rodrigues
W. Collar8.214W. Collar
K. Chauke7.84K. Chauke
Harvey Araujo6.324H. Araujo
1818C. Vickers
C. Webster6.58C. Webster
Mark O’Mahony6.410M. O’Mahony
N. Baxter6.81N. Baxter
F. Stevens6.22F. Stevens
W. Forrester6.96W. Forrester
A. Gilchrist5.612A. Gilchrist
I. Hayden6.414I. Hayden
A. Gilbert7.120A. Gilbert
I. El Mizouni6.28I. El Mizouni
J. Morris6.43J. Morris
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens5.925C. Gerard Richard Wellens
J. Kabia6.49J. Kabia
D. Scarlett6.118D. Scarlett

Burton Albion Substitutes

9G. Arubi58'for M. O’Mahony6.5
19M. Dennis
32J. Kean
40Zac Scutt
23Emeka Adeile77'for H. Araujo6.3
29Kain Adom

Leyton Orient Substitutes

27T. Springett
13Noah Phillips
7O. O'Neill80'for Jaze Kabia6.0
17A. Dobra73'for Isaac Hayden6.5
10A. Connolly64'for Dane Scarlett6.6
34P. Chinedu63'for James Morris6.7
22Y. Akhamrich

Match Stats

Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
18Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots6
10Fouls8
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
421Total Passes397
309Passes Accurate283
8Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
1557Elo Rating 1517
0.93Attack 0.66
2.18Defense 1.95
27%Hit Rate 19%
15.4Shots per Game 14.3
4.7Shots on Target 4.3
6.3Corners per Game 4.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Burton AlbionBurton Albion2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1Wins · 17%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

League One02/05/2026
Leyton OrientBurton Albion
22
League One29/11/2025
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
04
League One01/04/2025
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
21
League One14/12/2024
Leyton OrientBurton Albion
00
League One17/02/2024
Leyton OrientBurton Albion
12
League One28/10/2023
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
00

Recent Form

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
2W4D4L
20/10/2026
Burton AlbionBradford
00
D17/10/2026
PeterboroughBurton Albion
22
D10/10/2026
DoncasterBurton Albion
10
L
06/10/2026
GrimsbyBurton Albion
2040
W
03/10/2026
Burton AlbionHuddersfield
13
L26/09/2026
PlymouthBurton Albion
01
W
22/09/2026
Burton AlbionNottingham Forest U21
3141
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
L
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
3W2D5L
21/10/2026
ReadingLeyton Orient
10
L17/10/2026
Leyton OrientBlackpool
20
W10/10/2026
BradfordLeyton Orient
00
D03/10/2026
Leyton OrientPlymouth
02
L19/09/2026
Leyton OrientStevenage
10
W
15/09/2026
Leyton OrientArsenal U21
12
L
12/09/2026
Leyton OrientWycombe
23
L08/09/2026
Leyton OrientBradford
13
L
05/09/2026
LutonLeyton Orient
11
D
01/09/2026
BromleyLeyton Orient
05
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

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About the Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burton Albion and Leyton Orient in the League One table

In the League One table, Burton Albion are 12th and Leyton Orient 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Burton Albion 18-19, Leyton Orient 16-14. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.