Luton vs Leicester Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Luton vs Leicester: the result in context
Luton beat Leicester 2-1 in the League One on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Luton
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Shea
25I. Jones
5M. Andersen
6G. Johnston
3K. Naismith
8L. Walsh
17T. Mendel-Idowu
18J. Clark
10J. Donley
45K. Palmer
21N. Wells
29A. McCarthy
16W. O'Hora
15H. Souttar
5C. Okoli
37W. Alves
6J. Lundstram
25L. Page
33L. Thomas
36S. Braybrooke
27K. Doyle
17E. RiisLuton Substitutes
Leicester Substitutes
Match Stats
LutonLeicester Team Comparison
LutonLeicesterAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Luton- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Leicester- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
LutonLuton
Barnsley
Milton Keynes DonsLuton
WycombeLuton
ColchesterLutonLuton
Ipswich Town U21Luton
Bradford
StevenageLutonLuton
Leyton OrientLuton
Stockport County
Mansfield TownLutonLeicester
BromleyLeicesterLeicester
DoncasterLeicester
PeterboroughStevenageLeicesterLeicester
Fulham U21BarnsleyLeicesterStockport CountyLeicesterLeicester
Oxford UnitedLeicester
PlymouthMilton Keynes DonsLeicesterLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:13 | +11 | 23 | LDWWW |
| 3 | Oxford United | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | +9 | 22 | WDWDW |
| 4 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 5 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| 7 |  Cambridge United | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:18 | +3 | 21 | DLDWW |
| 8 | Luton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 20 | WWWLW |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 19 | DLLWD |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Leicester | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
| 13 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | +4 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 15 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 17 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:19 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Doncaster | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | LWLLW |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 | Bromley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 24 |  Wigan | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 24:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | 24:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 11 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Bradford | 12 | 10:5 | 22 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 13 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Reading | 12 | 25:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 13 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Luton | 12 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Leicester | 12 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 13 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 11 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 16:19 | 15 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 12 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 8:19 | 13 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 12 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 12 | 11:30 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 12 | 8:20 | 7 |
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This match
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About the Luton vs Leicester forecast
The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Luton and Leicester in the League One table
In the League One table, Luton are 8th and Leicester 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Luton 24-20, Leicester 20-17. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Luton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Luton and Leicester have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.