Club Queretaro vs Leon Prediction

Club Queretaro
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Leon
Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro·Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas 21/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.97
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Club Queretaro Rest
8 days
Leon Rest
6 days

Club Queretaro vs Leon: the result in context

Club Queretaro and Leon drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 21 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.59
X
28%3.30
2
35%2.52
Double Chance
1X
65%1.46
X2
63%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.22 = 2.72
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.76
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
45%2.00
Under 3.5
67%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.25
Over 9.5
50%1.50
Over 10.5
39%1.87
Under 8.5
39%3.34
Under 9.5
50%2.42
Under 10.5
61%1.90
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.28
Over 4.5
43%1.55
Under 3.5
38%3.50
Under 4.5
57%2.35

Match Events

44'Bayron DuarteFoul
45'Jordi Cortizo INJesús Lara out
45'Jose Alvarado INEdgar Guerra out
52'Lucas AbasciaFoul
54'Daniel Arcila(Penalty)
55'Paulo Victor INIker Benito Sánchez out
55'Bayron Duarte INAlejandro Alcalá Solorio out
58'Daniel ParraFoul
60'Iker Benito SánchezAssist: Mateo Coronel
62'Ali ÁvilaFoul
63'Ivan MorenoFoul
68'Fernando Beltran INSalvador Reyes out
68'Sebastián Vegas INIsmael Díaz out
79'Enzo Giménez INErik Duenas out
80'Carlo Garcia INDenilson Muñoz out
88'Diber Cambindo INSantiago Londono out
90'Santiago LondonoFoul
90'Daniel ArcilaDissent
90+2'Mateo Coronel INBernardo Parra out

Lineups

Club Queretaro
4-2-3-1Coach: E. González
Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Gandolfi
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.76
G. Allison7.825G. Allison
B. Duarte6.324B. Duarte
D. Reyes6.813D. Reyes
L. Abascia6.42L. Abascia
D. Parra6.527D. Parra
Carlo Adriano7.24C. Adriano
S. Homenchenko6.75S. Homenchenko
E. Giménez6.916E. Giménez
M. Coronel7.711M. Coronel
Paulo Victor6.612P. Victor
A. Ávila6.09A. Ávila
Ó. García6.723Ó. García
I. Moreno6.17I. Moreno
J. Romaña7.114J. Romaña
Juan José Guevara Possu7.53J. José Guevara Possu
S. Vegas6.65S. Vegas
R. Echeverría7.020R. Echeverría
J. Cortizo6.516J. Cortizo
J. Alvarado6.119J. Alvarado
F. Beltrán6.56F. Beltrán
D. Arcila7.813D. Arcila
D. Cambindo6.827D. Cambindo

Club Queretaro Substitutes

18É. Dueñas79'for Enzo Giménez6.4
30J. Martinez
7Iker Benito55'for Paulo Victor60'8.1
20A. Alcalá55'for Bayron Duarte6.2
1J. Hernández
29W. Madrid
17D. Muñoz80'for Carlo Garcia6.4
8B. Parra90+2'for Mateo Coronel
26E. Pérez
15C. Villanueva

Leon Substitutes

25P. Bellón
4B. Colula
11I. Díaz68'for Sebastián Vegas6.6
15S. Fierro
12J. González
18E. Guerra45'for Jose Alvarado7.4
21S. Londoño88'for Diber Cambindo90'6.2
26S. Reyes68'for Fernando Beltran6.4
33A. Villegas
203J. Lara45'for Jordi Cortizo6.9

Match Stats

Club QueretaroLeon
39%Ball Possession61%
8Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal7
11Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box10
12Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls11
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
357Total Passes560
272Passes Accurate482
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
LeonLeon
1609Elo Rating 1664
1.11Attack 1.76
0.76Defense 1.45
31%Hit Rate 37%
11.5Shots per Game 12.4
3.7Shots on Target 5.3
4.6Corners per Game 4.2
1.3Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
  • No tendency data available
LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club QueretaroClub Queretaro2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
LeonLeon5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX08/02/2026
Club QueretaroLeon
20
Liga MX31/08/2025
LeonClub Queretaro
30
Liga MX05/04/2025
Club QueretaroLeon
11
Liga MX27/10/2024
LeonClub Queretaro
40
Liga MX07/04/2024
LeonClub Queretaro
02
Liga MX30/09/2023
Club QueretaroLeon
11
Liga MX10/02/2023
Club QueretaroLeon
03
Liga MX19/09/2022
LeonClub Queretaro
31
Liga MX04/04/2022
LeonClub Queretaro
11
Liga MX06/08/2021
Club QueretaroLeon
01

Recent Form

Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
4W1D5L
12/09/2026
Club TijuanaClub Queretaro
01
W
30/08/2026
AtlasClub Queretaro
13
W
22/08/2026
Club QueretaroToluca
12
L
16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
00
D
13/08/2026
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro
5131
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
L
06/08/2026
FC DallasClub Queretaro
20
L
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
W
27/07/2026
CF PachucaClub Queretaro
12
W
19/07/2026
Club QueretaroClub America
01
L
LeonLeon
7W1D2L
15/09/2026
LeonAtletico San Luis
20
W
11/09/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasLeon
31
L
07/09/2026
LeonClub America
10
W
03/09/2026
TolucaLeon
20
L
29/08/2026
Atlante FCLeon
11
D
26/08/2026
LeonReal Salt Lake
30
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
W
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
W
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
W
09/08/2026
Orlando City SCLeon
12
W

Referee Profile

Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas36 matches

5.14Cards per match
4.91Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas5.14
Other referees4.69

5.14 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 35 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
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About the Club Queretaro vs Leon forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Queretaro and Leon in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Leon are 7th and Club Queretaro 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Club Queretaro 18-21, Leon 22-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.