Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Club Queretaro vs Toluca: result, form and history
Toluca beat Club Queretaro 2-1 in the Liga MX on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Toluca had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Club Queretaro.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Yonatan Peinado Aguirre averages 5.75 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Club Queretaro
Avg ratingAvg rating
25G. Allison
24B. Duarte
C13D. Reyes
2L. Abascia
27D. Parra
4C. Adriano García
5S. Homenchenko
16E. Giménez
20A. Alcala
12P. Victor
9A. Ávila
1H. Gonzalez
2D. Barbosa
4B. Méndez
6F. Pereira
25E. López
5F. Romero
24F. Arce Juárez
11Helinho
10J. Ricardo Angulo
C9A. Vega
16F. ViñasClub Queretaro Substitutes
Toluca Substitutes
Match Stats
Club QueretaroToluca Team Comparison
Club QueretaroTolucaGame State Tendencies
Club Queretaro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toluca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Club Queretaro2Wins · 20%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
05/04/2026Club QueretaroToluca19/10/2025TolucaClub Queretaro27/02/2025TolucaClub Queretaro19/10/2024Club QueretaroToluca13/01/2024Club QueretaroToluca08/10/2023TolucaClub Queretaro06/03/2023Club QueretaroToluca02/10/2022TolucaClub Queretaro25/02/2022Club QueretaroToluca03/10/2021TolucaClub QueretaroRecent Form
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
FC DallasClub QueretaroClub Queretaro
Tigres UANL
CF PachucaClub QueretaroClub Queretaro
Club America
AustinClub Queretaro
Reboceros La PiedadClub Queretaro
PueblaClub QueretaroToluca
Atlante FCTolucaTolucaFC DallasTolucaLos Angeles FCTolucaSeattle SoundersToluca
NecaxaToluca
Cruz AzulTolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara ChivasTolucaAtlante FCToluca
CancúnTolucaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.75 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).
Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 34:19 | +15 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 |  Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | WDLWD |
| 7 |  Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | 21 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 34:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga MX matches
About the Club Queretaro vs Toluca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Club Queretaro and Toluca in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Toluca are 5th and Club Queretaro 9th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Club Queretaro 17-18, Toluca 29-19. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.