Atlante FC vs Leon Prediction

Atlante FC
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Leon
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City·Martin Molina Astorga, Mexico 29/08/2026
Atlante FCAtlante FC
1-1
Finished
LeonLeon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Atlante FC Rest
7 days
Leon Rest
2 days

Atlante FC vs Leon: result, form and history

Atlante FC and Leon drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 29 Aug 2026. Leon had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 1 for Atlante FC.

Atlante FC tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 4.2 for Leon.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.45
X
26%3.35
2
36%2.75
Double Chance
1X
64%1.44
X2
63%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.25 = 2.67
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.81
Over 3.5
33%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
67%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.38
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.08
Under 8.5
41%2.67
Under 9.5
53%2.04
Under 10.5
65%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.40
Over 4.5
50%1.83
Under 3.5
31%2.67
Under 4.5
50%1.83

Match Events

46'D. Cambindo INA. Alvarado out
46'I. Diaz IND. Arcila out
46'F. Beltran Cruz INJ. Cortizo out
71'S. VegasFoul
73'S. Vegas INB. Colula out
74'L. PuenteFoul
81'A. Alvarado(Penalty)
87'D. Gonzalez INJ. Moxica out
87'A. Escobar INJ. Charcopa out
89'E. PizzutoFoul
90+1'Martin SarrafioreAssist: J. Charcopa
90+2'Martin Sarrafiore INO. Vazquez out

Lineups

Atlante FC
5-3-2Coach: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: Javier Gandolfi
Óscar JiménezC1Ó. Jiménez
Walter Portales29W. Portales
Cristobal Alfaro14C. Alfaro
Eduardo Tercero4E. Tercero
Aarón Quirós44A. Quirós
Armando Escobar27A. Escobar
Eugenio Pizzuto8E. Pizzuto
Martín Sarrafiore30M. Sarrafiore
José González16J. González
Luis Puente9L. Puente
Jhojan Julio7J. Julio
Oscar García23O. García
Iván Moreno7I. Moreno
Juan Guevara3J. Guevara
Paul Bellón25P. Bellón
Sebastián Vegas5S. Vegas
Jesús Lara203J. Lara
Juan Dominguez8J. Dominguez
Rodrigo EcheverríaC20R. Echeverría
Fernando Beltrán6F. Beltrán
Ismael Díaz11I. Díaz
Diber Cambindo27D. Cambindo

Atlante FC Substitutes

33Jordan García
6Nicolas Carrera
3Luis Sánchez
32Diogo Bagüí
37Walter Clar
10Octavio Vázquez90+2'for Martin Sarrafiore
25Martín Fernández
15Jairón Charcopa87'for A. Escobar
11Joaquin Moxica87'replaced by D. Gonzalez
20Gilberto Adame

Leon Substitutes

4Bryan Colula73'for S. Vegas
26Salvador Reyes
22Sebastián Santos
185Christopher Mora
29José Rodríguez
16Jordi Cortizo46'replaced by F. Beltran Cruz
13Daniel Arcila46'for I. Diaz
15Sebastian Fierro
19José Alvarado46'for D. Cambindo81'
181Irving Martinez

Match Stats

Atlante FCLeon
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
19Fouls10
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total Passes476
353Passes Accurate405
84%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Atlante FCAtlante FC
LeonLeon
1540Elo Rating 1663
0.99Attack 1.89
1.73Defense 1.35
37%Hit Rate 44%
15.9Shots per Game 11.5
6.6Shots on Target 5.0
7.5Corners per Game 4.2
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Atlante FCAtlante FC
2W4D4L
22/08/2026
Tigres UANLAtlante FC
20
L
16/08/2026
Atlante FCToluca
00
D
12/08/2026
Minnesota United FCAtlante FC
31
L
09/08/2026
Real Salt LakeAtlante FC
40
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
W
02/08/2026
Cruz AzulAtlante FC
23
W
25/07/2026
Atlante FCClub America
11
D
17/07/2026
NecaxaAtlante FC
21
L
10/07/2026
Atlante FCToluca
33
D
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
LeonLeon
8W0D2L
26/08/2026
LeonReal Salt Lake
30
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
W
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
W
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
W
09/08/2026
Orlando City SCLeon
12
W
06/08/2026
Nashville SCLeon
01
W
02/08/2026
LeonCF Pachuca
10
W
25/07/2026
Club TijuanaLeon
10
L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
L
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
W

Referee Profile

Martin Molina Astorga98 matches

4.18Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Molina Astorga4.18
Other referees4.66

4.18 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1484234:19+1528DLWWD
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1456322:18+421DWDDD
8MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1434:1928
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1422:1821
8MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Atlante FC vs Leon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

More Liga MX fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga MX Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atlante FC and Leon have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.