Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Necaxa Rest
5 days
Cruz Azul Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%3.48
X25%3.60
249%2.00
Double Chance
1X51%1.77
X274%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.58
No39%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.56 = 2.67
Over 1.575%1.20
Over 2.552%1.69
Over 3.533%2.67
Under 1.525%4.25
Under 2.548%2.15
Under 3.567%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.555%1.53
Over 9.544%1.88
Over 10.529%2.39
Under 8.545%2.32
Under 9.556%1.84
Under 10.571%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.5 = 5.2
Over 3.569%1.29
Over 4.555%1.63
Under 3.531%3.10
Under 4.545%2.13
Match Events
23'J. MarquezAssist: C. Rodriguez
32'C. Vargas INM. Zaleta out
43'D. LeyvaFoul
46'Naves INR. Martinez out
46'M. Espindola INJ. P. Torres Patino out
46'N. IbanezAssist: C. Rodriguez
53'W. DittaAssist: J. Paradela
54'W. DittaUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'A. GarciaFoul
61'L. Faravelli INP. Pedraza out
61'O. Gonzalez INE. Rodriguez out
67'J. RuizFoul
73'J. Marquez INL. Romero out
73'R. Gonzalez INJ. Rodarte out
73'N. Ibanez ING. Fernandez out
78'D. Leyva INR. Cortez out
83'E. RodriguezAssist: P. Pedraza
84'E. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'J. Paradela INC. Ebere out
84'A. Garcia INA. Montes out
86'O. Campos INJ. Diaz out
90+4'P. PedrazaFoul
90+4'J. P. Torres PatinoUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
NecaxaCruz Azul
4-2-3-1Coach: Joel HuiquiAvg ratingAvg rating
12L. Jimenez
5K. Naves
C4A. Peña
3A. Oliveros
13O. González
21M. Espíndola
6D. Leyva
8L. Faravelli
88C. Vargas
9J. Carranza
10J. Ruiz
23K. Mier
16J. Márquez
4W. Ditta
5J. Orozco
3O. Campos
17A. Garcia
8A. Palavecino
20J. Paradela
C19C. Rodríguez
55R. González
7N. IbáñezNecaxa Substitutes
1Christopher Andrade
20Francisco Méndez
15Diego Ochoa
33Raúl Martínez46'for Naves
17Rogelio Cortéz Pineda78'for D. Leyva
99Emilio Rodriguez61'for O. Gonzalez83'84'
11Juan Torres46'for M. Espindola90+4'
14Mauro Zaleta32'for C. Vargas
16Pedro Pedraza61'for L. Faravelli90+4'
90Juan Valencia
Cruz Azul Substitutes
1Andrés Gudiño
12Alan Montes84'for A. Garcia
49Josué Díaz
22Jorge Rodarte Barragan
10Andres Montaño
70Ivan Silva
11Osinachi Ebere84'for J. Paradela
27Bryan Gamboa
21Gabriel Fernández73'for N. Ibanez
18Luka Romero73'for J. Marquez
Match Stats
NecaxaCruz Azul 46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks7
5Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots22
4Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal10
2Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box14
4Blocked Shots4
15Fouls14
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
403Total Passes478
333Passes Accurate396
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
NecaxaCruz Azul1482Elo Rating 1763
1.05Attack 2.77
1.05Defense 1.51
0%Hit Rate 50%
15.5Shots per Game 16.6
5.7Shots on Target 6.3
5.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruz Azul- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Necaxa2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Cruz Azul5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
27/04/2026Cruz AzulNecaxa41
22/10/2025NecaxaCruz Azul11
29/01/2025NecaxaCruz Azul13
06/10/2024Cruz AzulNecaxa30
17/03/2024Cruz AzulNecaxa12
05/10/2023NecaxaCruz Azul13
22/01/2023NecaxaCruz Azul10
13/12/2022Cruz AzulNecaxa00
31/07/2022Cruz AzulNecaxa10
08/05/2022Cruz AzulNecaxa3111
Recent Form
Necaxa4W2D4L
24/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
TolucaNecaxaNecaxa
MonterreyNecaxa
Atlante FC
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa11
D18/08/2026Necaxa
Leon
NecaxaLeon12
L14/08/2026
New York City FCNecaxa
New York City FCNecaxa12
W10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa31
L07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
03/08/2026Chicago FireNecaxa20
LTolucaNecaxa31
L27/07/2026NecaxaMonterrey21
W17/07/2026NecaxaAtlante FC21
W04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
AtlasNecaxa00
D01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
Correcaminos UatNecaxa36
WCruz Azul5W1D4L
23/08/2026Cruz AzulAtlas
Club TijuanaCruz AzulCruz AzulNew York City FCCruz AzulPhiladelphia UnionCruz AzulAtlante FC
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
Cruz AzulAtlas02
L17/08/2026Club TijuanaCruz Azul21
L14/08/2026Cruz AzulChicago Fire
10/08/2026Cruz AzulChicago Fire12
LCruz AzulNew York City FC21
W07/08/2026Cruz AzulPhiladelphia Union10
W02/08/2026Cruz AzulAtlante FC23
L26/07/2026TolucaCruz Azul
TolucaCruz Azul13
W22/07/2026Cruz Azul
Puebla
18/07/2026Cruz AzulPuebla21
WAtletico San LuisCruz Azul23
W05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
MonarcasCruz Azul33
DReferee Profile
5.14Cards per match
4.91Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.14 cards a match, 0.47 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).
Cards come from 35 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | WDLWD |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 33:18 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
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About the Necaxa vs Cruz Azul forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Necaxa and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Cruz Azul are 2nd in the Liga MX, while Necaxa sit 17th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Necaxa 16-27, Cruz Azul 32-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.