U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa Prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Necaxa
Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City·Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico 24/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Rest
7 days
Necaxa Rest
6 days

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa: the result in context

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 24 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.95
X
25%3.55
2
14%3.63
Double Chance
1X
86%1.25
X2
39%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.87 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
53%1.91
Over 10.5
39%2.36
Under 8.5
34%2.29
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
69%1.30
Over 4.5
55%1.71
Under 3.5
31%2.85
Under 4.5
45%2.00

Match Events

37'P. ViteFoul
46'Juninho INL. Herrera out
46'P. Vite INI. Luna out
61'C. Vargas INM. Zaleta out
61'A. Carrasquilla INA. Medina out
61'O. Gonzalez INE. Rodriguez out
72'M. Espindola INJ. P. Torres Patino out
73'C. Calderon INP. Bennevendo out
76'J. CarranzaAssist: E. Rodriguez
82'V. Arteaga ING. Martinez out
83'L. Faravelli INP. Pedraza out
88'L. HerreraAssist: G. Martinez
90'R. MonrealUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'I. LunaFoul
90+5'E. RodriguezFoul

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-3-3Coach: Esteban Solari
Necaxa
3-5-2Coach: Martin Varini
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.98
Keylor NavasC7.01K. Navas
Rodrigo Lopez6.67R. Lopez
Nathan Silva6.96N. Silva
Rubén Duarte6.95R. Duarte
Cristian Calderón7.712C. Calderón
Adalberto Carrasquilla7.08A. Carrasquilla
Pedro Vite6.645P. Vite
Victor Arteaga6.918V. Arteaga
Uriel Antuna8.321U. Antuna
Robert Morales7.231R. Morales
Juninho6.723Juninho
Luis Jimenez7.312L. Jimenez
Kaiky Naves7.35K. Naves
Alexis PeñaC6.64A. Peña
Agustín Oliveros7.23A. Oliveros
Ricardo Monreal6.930R. Monreal
Matías Espíndola6.921M. Espíndola
Danny Leyva7.76D. Leyva
Lorenzo Faravelli7.38L. Faravelli
Carlos Vargas6.688C. Vargas
Julián Carranza7.99J. Carranza
Owen González6.913O. González

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes

14Luciano Herrera46'for Juninho88'7.2
15Israel Luna46'for P. Vite90+4'6.9
22Alan Medina61'for A. Carrasquilla7.0
2Pablo Bennevendo73'for C. Calderon6.6
9Guillermo Martínez82'for V. Arteaga7.2
35Pablo Lara
34Angel Azuaje
13Pablo Monroy
199Kléber Carranza
20Santiago Trigos

Necaxa Substitutes

99Emilio Rodriguez61'for O. Gonzalez90+5'6.9
14Mauro Zaleta61'for C. Vargas6.2
11Juan Torres72'for M. Espindola6.5
16Pedro Pedraza83'for L. Faravelli6.5
1Christopher Andrade
20Francisco Méndez
15Diego Ochoa
33Raúl Martínez
17Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
90Juan Valencia

Match Stats

U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots7
10Fouls12
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
426Total Passes466
354Passes Accurate379
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
NecaxaNecaxa
1626Elo Rating 1482
1.44Attack 1.05
1.16Defense 1.05
19%Hit Rate 0%
10.2Shots per Game 15.5
3.3Shots on Target 5.4
4.5Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+144 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
NecaxaNecaxa4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX07/03/2026
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
01
Liga MX11/08/2025
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
11
Liga MX12/01/2025
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
21
Liga MX14/09/2024
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
Liga MX01/02/2024
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
22
Liga MX28/10/2023
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
Liga MX16/02/2023
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
31
Copa por México21/12/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
00
Liga MX17/07/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
10
Liga MX20/03/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
13

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3W1D6L
16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
00
D
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
L
08/08/2026
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
L
05/08/2026
CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
30
L
01/08/2026
FC JuarezU.N.A.M. - Pumas
15
W
22/07/2026
TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
12
W
19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
03
L
12/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasAmerica de Cali
01
L
05/07/2026
CancúnU.N.A.M. - Pumas
03
W
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
L
NecaxaNecaxa
5W1D4L
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
L
14/08/2026
New York City FCNecaxa
12
W
10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
31
L
07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
20
L
03/08/2026
TolucaNecaxa
31
L
27/07/2026
NecaxaMonterrey
21
W
17/07/2026
NecaxaAtlante FC
21
W
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
36
W
20/06/2026
NecaxaMonarcas
10
W

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava205 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava4.69
Other referees4.57

4.69 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 193 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1464421:18+322DWLDW
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3AtlasAtlas1526:2627
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1421:1822
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
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About the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 10th and Necaxa 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 22-24, Necaxa 16-28. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.