Colo Colo vs A. Italiano Prediction

Colo Colo
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
A. Italiano
Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile·Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo, Chile 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+15.8%
Colo Colo Rest
3 days
A. Italiano Rest
8 days

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano: the result in context

Colo Colo beat A. Italiano 5-1 in the Primera División on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Colo Colo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for A. Italiano.

Colo Colo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Colo Colo tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 5.7 for A. Italiano.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
79%1.42
X
8%4.45
2
13%6.63
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
21%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.83
No
39%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 0.87 = 3.04
Over 1.5
85%1.20
Over 2.5
68%1.68
Over 3.5
45%2.67
Under 1.5
15%4.10
Under 2.5
32%2.13
Under 3.5
55%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
71%1.38
Over 9.5
64%1.65
Over 10.5
46%2.06
Under 8.5
29%2.83
Under 9.5
36%2.11
Under 10.5
54%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3 = 5
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%1.37
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%2.95

Match Events

15'J. CorreaAssist: V. Mendez
26'J. SosaFoul
31'L. Pastran
34'G. ChiaveranoAssist: C. Pinares
52'J. Sosa INI. Roman out
57'D. Coelho INF. Troyansky out
57'M. Sandoval INM. Collao out
57'A. Uribe IND. Pizarro out
61'L. HernandezAssist: A. Madrid
73'L. Pastran INT. Alarcon out
73'C. Pinares INM. Fuentes out
78'J. Villagra INE. Wiemberg out
79'J. CorreaAssist: T. Alarcon
82'L. HernandezAssist: J. Correa

Lineups

Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: Fernando Ortiz
A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Avg rating7.49
Avg rating6.27
Gabriel Maureira7.325G. Maureira
Jonathan Villagra6.92J. Villagra
Arturo VidalC7.723A. Vidal
Joaquín Sosa6.64J. Sosa
Jeyson Rojas7.228J. Rojas
Álvaro Madrid7.38Á. Madrid
Víctor Felipe Méndez8.05V. Felipe Méndez
Diego Ulloa6.726D. Ulloa
Leandro Hernández8.924L. Hernández
Lautaro Pastrán8.010L. Pastrán
Javier Correa9.99J. Correa
Tomás Ahumada5.01T. Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo5.935R. Rebolledo
Enzo FerrarioC6.313E. Ferrario
Daniel Piña5.94D. Piña
Felipe Salomoni5.63F. Salomoni
Paolo Guajardo6.37P. Guajardo
Mario Sandoval6.36M. Sandoval
César Pinares6.719C. Pinares
Giovani Chiaverano6.921G. Chiaverano
Ariel Uribe6.930A. Uribe
Diego Coelho6.29D. Coelho

Colo Colo Substitutes

29Vozinha
17Iván Román52'for J. Sosa6.9
21Erick Wiemberg78'for J. Villagra6.9
13Matías Fernández
42Cristian Diaz
7Francisco Marchant
6Tomás Alarcón73'for L. Pastran6.6
50Felipe Raipán
11Marcos Bolados

A. Italiano Substitutes

25Pedro Garrido
29Marcelo Ortíz
14Diego Monreal
8Marco Collao57'for M. Sandoval6.7
17Favian Loyola
2Vicente Zenteno
27Michael Vadulli73'for C. Pinares6.7
11Franco Troyansky57'for D. Coelho6.7
22Damián Pizarro57'for A. Uribe6.0

Match Stats

Colo ColoA. Italiano
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls5
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
546Total Passes336
455Passes Accurate256
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Colo ColoColo Colo
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
1713Elo Rating 1579
1.10Attack 0.58
1.51Defense 2.50
42%Hit Rate 31%
20.3Shots per Game 13.3
4.3Shots on Target 3.9
11.0Corners per Game 5.7
2.0Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Colo ColoColo Colo6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
A. ItalianoA. Italiano3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División07/03/2026
A. ItalianoColo Colo
01
Primera División07/12/2025
Colo ColoA. Italiano
12
Primera División22/06/2025
A. ItalianoColo Colo
21
Primera División07/10/2024
Colo ColoA. Italiano
21
Primera División12/05/2024
A. ItalianoColo Colo
14
Primera División26/11/2023
A. ItalianoColo Colo
01
Primera División10/05/2023
Colo ColoA. Italiano
21
Primera División16/07/2022
A. ItalianoColo Colo
12
Primera División19/02/2022
Colo ColoA. Italiano
11
Primera División28/10/2021
A. ItalianoColo Colo
20

Referee Profile

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo87 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.63Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo5.67
Other referees5.78

5.67 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.78).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Colo Colo vs A. Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colo Colo and A. Italiano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Colo Colo are 1st and A. Italiano 12th, 26 points apart. League goal record so far: Colo Colo 51-28, A. Italiano 27-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.