U. Catolica vs O'Higgins Prediction

U. Catolica
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
O'Higgins
Claro Arena, Santiago·Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 01/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
U. Catolica Rest
5 days
O'Higgins Rest
5 days

U. Catolica vs O'Higgins: the result in context

U. Catolica beat O'Higgins 3-2 in the Primera División on 1 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. U. Catolica tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.0 for O'Higgins.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.73
X
27%3.70
2
18%4.30
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
45%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.67
No
37%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.23 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.21
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.05
Under 2.5
41%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.33
Over 9.5
40%1.59
Over 10.5
29%1.99
Under 8.5
45%2.92
Under 9.5
60%2.19
Under 10.5
71%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

13'C. MoralesAssist: S. Toloza
16'J. A. MartinezFoul
26'F. Zampedri
35'Goal Disallowed - FoulA. Castillo
38'A. RobledoFoul
40'N. GarridoUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'F. Zampedri(Penalty)
41'W. BouFoul
59'C. Montes INJ. Giani out
59'D. Corral INM. Palavecino out
67'I. Schor INT. Vecino out
68'S. ArancibiaFoul
70'A. CastilloAssist: S. Toloza
71'S. TolozaFoul
75'S. Toloza INR. Godoy out
77'A. Canales INM. Gomez out
87'M. GomezAssist: J. Giani
88'J. A. Martinez IND. Gonzalez out
88'S. Arancibia INA. Farias out
88'Felipe Ogaz INT. Aviles out
88'J. Leiva INM. Maturana out

Lineups

U. Catolica
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
O'Higgins
4-4-2Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.82
Vicente Bernedo8.71V. Bernedo
Sebastián Arancibia6.36S. Arancibia
Branco Ampuero6.919B. Ampuero
Agustín García Basso6.621A. García Basso
Eugenio Mena6.93E. Mena
Jhojan Valencia7.320J. Valencia
Diego Corral6.625D. Corral
Jimmy Martínez6.514J. Martínez
Alfred Canales7.013A. Canales
Clemente Montes7.511C. Montes
Fernando ZampedriC7.39F. Zampedri
Omar Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Cristian Morales7.92C. Morales
Alan RobledoC6.522A. Robledo
Nicolás Garrido6.621N. Garrido
Luis Pavez Muñoz6.76L. Pavez Muñoz
‪Ignacio Schor6.225‪. Schor
Felipe Ogaz6.78F. Ogaz
Juan Leiva7.311J. Leiva
Santiago Toloza6.67S. Toloza
Walter Bou6.628W. Bou
Arnaldo Castillo7.59A. Castillo

U. Catolica Substitutes

10Matías Palavecino59'for D. Corral6.9
7Justo Giani59'for C. Montes6.9
22Martín Gómez77'for A. Canales87'7.5
12Francisco Valdés
39Nicolás L'Huiller
2Daniel González
28Bernardo Cerezo
5Agustín Farías88'replaced by S. Arancibia
43Amaro Pérez

O'Higgins Substitutes

32Thiago Vecino67'for I. Schor6.7
26Rodrigo Godoy75'for S. Toloza6.7
1Jorge Peña
27José Movillo
17Tomás Avilés88'replaced by Felipe Ogaz
15Benjamín Rojas
20Leandro Díaz
14Martín Maturana88'for J. Leiva
30Joaquín Tapia

Match Stats

U. CatolicaO'Higgins
43%Ball Possession57%
7Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves2
353Total Passes459
278Passes Accurate392
79%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
O'HigginsO'Higgins
1699Elo Rating 1593
1.40Attack 1.43
2.10Defense 2.15
50%Hit Rate 73%
12.6Shots per Game 19.0
4.1Shots on Target 7.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.0
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U. CatolicaU. Catolica4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
O'HigginsO'Higgins5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División08/03/2026
O'HigginsU. Catolica
10
Primera División02/11/2025
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
02
Primera División17/05/2025
O'HigginsU. Catolica
20
Primera División06/10/2024
O'HigginsU. Catolica
02
Primera División11/05/2024
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
32
Primera División07/10/2023
O'HigginsU. Catolica
03
Primera División23/04/2023
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
01
Primera División12/08/2022
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
22
Primera División19/03/2022
O'HigginsU. Catolica
21
Primera División31/10/2021
O'HigginsU. Catolica
13

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco117 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco5.47
Other referees5.68

5.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.68).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the U. Catolica vs O'Higgins forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

U. Catolica and O'Higgins in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: U. Catolica are 3rd in the Primera División, while O'Higgins sit 13th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: U. Catolica 51-36, O'Higgins 29-39. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.