Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica Prediction

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.60
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Everton de Vina Rest
7 days
U. Catolica Rest
4 days

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica: the result in context

U. Catolica beat Everton de Vina 1-0 in the Primera División on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.75
X
27%3.40
2
30%2.37
Double Chance
1X
70%1.53
X2
57%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.60
No
30%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.26 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
34%2.86
Under 1.5
22%3.83
Under 2.5
45%2.02
Under 3.5
66%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.38
Over 9.5
50%1.71
Over 10.5
35%2.11
Under 8.5
41%2.63
Under 9.5
50%2.01
Under 10.5
65%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

14'Benjamín BerríosFoul
35'Fernando ZampedriAssist: Cristian Cuevas
37'Cristian CuevasFoul
61'Diego Corral Contreras INClemente Montes out
61'Jimmy Martínez INMatias Palavecino out
61'Julian Alfaro INJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda out
61'Lucas Soto INGustavo Charrupi out
62'Branco AmpueroFoul
70'Emiliano Ramos INBraian Aaron Martínez out
70'Nicolás Baeza INVicente Fernández out
81'Justo Giani INMartin Gomez out
86'nicolas montiel INCristian Palacios out

Lineups

Everton de Vina
4-4-2Coach: W. Ribonetto
U. Catolica
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.98
I. González6.91I. González
L. Soto6.08L. Soto
V. Vidal6.537V. Vidal
D. Oyarzún6.624D. Oyarzún
N. Baeza6.114N. Baeza
J. Alfaro6.79J. Alfaro
B. Berríos6.721B. Berríos
J. Moya6.67J. Moya
E. Ramos6.411E. Ramos
N. Montiel6.140N. Montiel
A. Medina7.010A. Medina
V. Bernedo8.11V. Bernedo
S. Arancibia7.46S. Arancibia
B. Ampuero6.519B. Ampuero
A. García7.321A. García
C. Cuevas7.515C. Cuevas
J. Valencia6.820J. Valencia
D. Corral6.425D. Corral
F. Zuqui6.78F. Zuqui
J. Martínez6.314J. Martínez
J. Giani6.67J. Giani
F. Zampedri7.89F. Zampedri

Everton de Vina Substitutes

30C. Palacios86'for nicolas montiel5.9
6G. Charrupí61'for Lucas Soto6.3
15V. Fernández70'for Nicolás Baeza6.3
5R. González
25E. Kirkman
4H. Magallanes
29B. Martínez70'for Emiliano Ramos6.5
2Ó. Opazo
20J. Ovalle61'for Julian Alfaro6.2

U. Catolica Substitutes

12F. Valdes
13A. Canales
28B. Cerezo
5A. Farías
22M. Gómez81'for Justo Giani6.9
2D. Gónzalez
39N. L’Huillier
11C. Montes61'for Diego Corral Contreras6.8
10M. Palavecino61'for Jimmy Martínez6.7

Match Stats

Everton de VinaU. Catolica
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
12Fouls9
5Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves6
454Total Passes371
373Passes Accurate280
82%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1625Elo Rating 1661
1.65Attack 1.09
0.96Defense 1.60
39%Hit Rate 14%
13.5Shots per Game 13.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.1
5.9Corners per Game 4.7
2.7Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
U. CatolicaU. Catolica5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Chile01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
Copa Chile24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
Primera División15/03/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
22
Primera División19/10/2025
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
03
Copa Chile11/05/2025
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
21
Primera División26/04/2025
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
60
Copa Chile26/01/2025
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
10
Primera División11/08/2024
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
00
Primera División11/03/2024
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
24
Copa Chile10/08/2023
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
5040

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile26146645:21+2448LWWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica26144853:37+1646WDLWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8NublenseNublense2698930:39-935LWLLL
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena26810839:42-334DWLLW
10HuachipatoHuachipato25961034:40-633DDWWW
11ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2645:2148
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2653:3746
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8NublenseNublense2630:3935
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2639:4234
10HuachipatoHuachipato2534:4033
11ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: U. Catolica are 3rd in the Primera División, 7 points ahead of Everton de Vina in 4th. League goal record so far: Everton de Vina 41-31, U. Catolica 53-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.