O'Higgins vs Union La Calera Prediction

O'Higgins
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Union La Calera
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
O'Higgins Rest
5 days
Union La Calera Rest
5 days

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera: the result in context

O'Higgins beat Union La Calera 2-1 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.75
X
26%3.50
2
21%4.33
Double Chance
1X
79%1.19
X2
47%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.78
No
37%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.15 = 2.82
Over 1.5
77%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.90
Over 3.5
33%3.20
Under 1.5
23%3.50
Under 2.5
45%1.88
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
68%1.22
Over 9.5
54%1.41
Over 10.5
42%1.72
Under 8.5
32%3.50
Under 9.5
46%2.55
Under 10.5
58%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

33'Arnaldo CastilloAssist: Felipe Faundez
39'Luis PavezAssist: Bastián Yáñez
45'Francisco Jose Pozzo INMatías Campos López out
45'Joaquín Soto INCamilo Moya out
59'Sebastián SáezAssist: Kevin Méndez
65'Bayron Oyarzo INCarlos Villanueva out
69'Ignacio Schor INSantiago Federico Toloza out
79'Walter Bou INTomas Avilés out
82'Sebastián SáezFoul
83'J. Salomoni INYonathan Andía out
85'Camilo MoyaFoul
86'Tomas AvilésFoul
87'Rodrigo Perez Casada INMartín Hiriart Espinoza out
89'Daniel GutiérrezFoul
90+1'Juan Leiva INLeandro Diaz out
90+1'Bastián Yáñez INCristián Morales out
90+6'Penalty cancelledSebastián Sáez

Lineups

O'Higgins
4-4-2Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Union La Calera
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Cicotello
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.27
O. Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González7.03F. Andrés Faúndez González
A. Robledo7.022A. Robledo
N. Garrido6.921N. Garrido
L. Pavez7.66L. Pavez
I. Schor6.525I. Schor
F. Ogaz6.68F. Ogaz
J. Leiva7.211J. Leiva
W. Bou6.428W. Bou
B. Yáñez7.329B. Yáñez
A. Castillo7.99A. Castillo
N. Espinoza5.612N. Espinoza
C. Díaz6.025C. Díaz
J. Salomoni5.715J. Salomoni
D. Gutiérrez5.827D. Gutiérrez
C. Gutiérrez6.44C. Gutiérrez
R. Pérez6.123R. Pérez
F. Pozzo6.29F. Pozzo
K. Méndez6.810K. Méndez
J. Soto6.629J. Soto
B. Oyarzo6.07B. Oyarzo
S. Sáez7.611S. Sáez

O'Higgins Substitutes

32T. Vecino
7S. Toloza69'for Ignacio Schor6.5
30J. Tapia
1J. Peña
13J. Muñoz
2C. Morales90+1'for Bastián Yáñez
20L. Díaz90+1'for Juan Leiva
17T. Avilés79'for Walter Bou86'6.3
34B. Perez

Union La Calera Substitutes

17M. Hiriart87'for Rodrigo Perez Casada6.3
32Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
19M. Campos45'for Francisco Jose Pozzo6.4
1N. Avellaneda
2Y. Andía83'for J. Salomoni6.2
8Y. Leiva
5C. Moya45'for Joaquín Soto85'6.1
14C. Villanueva65'for Bayron Oyarzo6.6
6V. Lavin

Match Stats

O'HigginsUnion La Calera
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls13
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
553Total Passes374
458Passes Accurate276
83%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

O'HigginsO'Higgins
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1586Elo Rating 1544
1.25Attack 1.02
2.13Defense 2.17
50%Hit Rate 23%
20.6Shots per Game 9.7
4.8Shots on Target 3.0
6.8Corners per Game 5.9
1.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals

Game State Tendencies

O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

O'HigginsO'Higgins3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División16/03/2026
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
33
Primera División03/08/2025
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
10
Primera División03/03/2025
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
22
Primera División29/08/2024
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
11
Primera División07/04/2024
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
23
Primera División01/10/2023
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
01
Primera División17/04/2023
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
01
Primera División14/09/2022
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
22
Primera División19/04/2022
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
00
Primera División25/09/2021
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
20

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica25134852:37+1543DLWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2552:3743
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8NublenseNublense2530:3835
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the O'Higgins vs Union La Calera forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

O'Higgins and Union La Calera in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, O'Higgins are 13th and Union La Calera 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: O'Higgins 29-39, Union La Calera 23-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.