Czechia vs Croatia Prediction

Czechia
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Croatia
Eden Arena, Prague·Simone Sozza 26/09/2026
CzechiaCzechia
1-2
Finished
CroatiaCroatia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.49
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Czechia Rest
93 days
Croatia Rest
85 days

Czechia vs Croatia: the result in context

Croatia beat Czechia 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.60
X
28%3.54
2
46%2.00
Double Chance
1X
54%1.76
X2
75%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.65
No
49%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.86 + 1.62 = 2.48
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.82
Over 3.5
33%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
48%2.01
Under 3.5
67%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.55
Over 9.5
48%1.96
Over 10.5
37%2.55
Under 8.5
44%2.23
Under 9.5
52%1.79
Under 10.5
63%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%1.70
Over 4.5
24%2.29
Under 3.5
58%2.10
Under 4.5
76%1.58

Match Events

36'Lukáš ČervFoul
47'Luka ModrićAssist: Igor Matanovic
54'Adam KarabecAssist: Adam Hložek
63'Igor Matanovic INAnte Budimir out
63'Luka Sučić INMario Pašalić out
63'Franjo Ivanovic INMarco Pašalić out
66'Luka VuskovicFoul
67'Lukas Ambros INMatej Radosta out
67'Lukáš Červ INAlex Král out
74'Adam Karabec INMartin Šubert out
76'Luka Modrić INJosip Mišić out
77'Marco PašalićAssist: Ivan Perišić
79'Goal cancelledMatej Radosta
83'Jiri Slama INOndrej Zmrzly out
83'Pavel Šulc INVaclav Sejk out
88'Petar Sučić INNikola Vlašić out
90+5'Alex KrálFoul

Lineups

Czechia
4-2-3-1Coach: Santi
Croatia
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Bilić
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.88
L. Horníček6.916L. Horníček
V. Coufal6.95V. Coufal
R. Hranáč7.04R. Hranáč
Š. Chaloupek6.66Š. Chaloupek
J. Sláma6.420J. Sláma
M. Sadílek6.48M. Sadílek
L. Červ5.912L. Červ
L. Ambros5.913L. Ambros
P. Šulc6.315P. Šulc
A. Karabec7.39A. Karabec
A. Hložek6.710A. Hložek
D. Livaković6.11D. Livaković
J. Stanišić6.92J. Stanišić
L. Vušković6.75L. Vušković
J. Gvardiol6.94J. Gvardiol
I. Perišić7.614I. Perišić
L. Modrić8.210L. Modrić
M. Kovačić7.28M. Kovačić
L. Sučić6.421L. Sučić
P. Sučić6.517P. Sučić
F. Ivanović6.716F. Ivanović
I. Matanović7.320I. Matanović

Czechia Substitutes

23A. Kinský
17P. Bucha
1M. Kovář
21A. Král67'for Lukáš Červ90+5'6.2
2O. Kričfaluši
19R. Macek
18M. Radosta67'for Lukas Ambros6.1
22M. Sáček
11V. Sejk83'for Pavel Šulc6.0
7M. Šubert74'for Adam Karabec6.2
14M. Vitík
3O. Zmrzlý83'for Jiri Slama6.4

Croatia Substitutes

13N. Vlašić88'for Petar Sučić6.3
6J. Šutalo
3I. Smolčić
19Marco Pasalic63'for Franjo Ivanovic77'7.7
15Mario Pasalic63'for Luka Sučić6.5
12I. Pandur
22J. Mišić76'for Luka Modrić6.4
7L. Majer
9A. Kramarić
23D. Kotarski
18D. Beljo
11A. Budimir63'for Igor Matanovic6.8

Match Stats

CzechiaCroatia
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box12
1Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
6Fouls9
6Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
450Total Passes564
380Passes Accurate489
9Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

CzechiaCzechia
CroatiaCroatia
1546Elo Rating 1731
0.39Attack 0.94
0.36Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 17%
6.3Shots per Game 10.9
1.3Shots on Target 3.6
1.6Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CzechiaCzechia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CroatiaCroatia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CzechiaCzechia0Wins · 0%
Draws375%
CroatiaCroatia1Wins · 25%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification Europe09/10/2025
Czech RepublicCroatia
00
World Cup - Qualification Europe09/06/2025
CroatiaCzech Republic
51
Euro Championship18/06/2021
CroatiaCzech Republic
11
Euro Championship17/06/2016
Czech RepublicCroatia
22

Recent Form

CzechiaCzechia
5W2D3L
25/06/2026
CzechiaMexico
03
L
18/06/2026
CzechiaSouth Africa
11
D
12/06/2026
South KoreaCzechia
21
L
05/06/2026
CzechiaGuatemala
31
W
31/05/2026
CzechiaKosovo
21
W
31/03/2026
CzechiaDenmark
3111
W
26/03/2026
CzechiaRep. Of Ireland
4232
W
17/11/2025
CzechiaGibraltar
60
W
12/10/2025
Faroe IslandsCzechia
21
L
09/10/2025
CzechiaCroatia
00
D
CroatiaCroatia
6W1D3L
03/07/2026
PortugalCroatia
21
L
27/06/2026
CroatiaGhana
21
W
24/06/2026
PanamaCroatia
01
W
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
L
07/06/2026
CroatiaSlovenia
21
W
02/06/2026
CroatiaBelgium
02
L
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
W
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
W
12/10/2025
CroatiaGibraltar
30
W
09/10/2025
Czech RepublicCroatia
00
D

Referee Profile

Simone Sozza161 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Simone Sozza4.50
Other referees4.59

4.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain440012:5+712WWWW
2EnglandEngland430114:3+119WWWL
3CroatiaCroatia41034:14-103LLLW
4CzechiaCzechia40042:10-80LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain412:512
2EnglandEngland414:39
3CroatiaCroatia44:143
4CzechiaCzechia42:100

About the Czechia vs Croatia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Czechia and Croatia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Croatia are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Czechia in 4th. League goal record so far: Czechia 2-10, Croatia 4-14. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.