El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United Prediction

Southwest University Park·C. Radosav 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-9.4%
El Paso Locomotive Rest
6 days
New Mexico United Rest
6 days

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: result, form and history

New Mexico United beat El Paso Locomotive 1-0 in the USL Championship on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.70
X
23%3.94
2
25%4.00
Double Chance
1X
75%1.17
X2
48%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.18 = 2.78
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
58%1.52
Over 3.5
38%2.23
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
42%2.41
Under 3.5
62%1.58
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'K. KellerFoul
46'B. Farkarlun INA. Quezada out
73'C. Wilkerson IND. Harris out
73'C. Dennis ING. Zelalem out
73'J. LaCava INM. Howell out
77'R. Coronado IND. Gomez out
77'R. Avila INZ. Jones out
83'R. Ruiz INN. Cardona out
87'K. Keller INJ. Rennicks out
90+2'A. Mendez INC. Sainte out
90+4'V. NoelAssist: G. Zelalem
90+6'V. NoelUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
1511Elo Rating 1552
0.70Attack 1.19
1.67Defense 2.27
19%Hit Rate 63%

Game State Tendencies

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One Cup12/07/2026
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
02
USL Championship07/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
22
US Open Cup02/04/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
04
USL Championship04/05/2025
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
30
US Open Cup17/04/2025
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
1242
USL Championship22/03/2025
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
10
USL Championship28/07/2024
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
12
USL Championship07/04/2024
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
32
USL Championship02/07/2023
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
01
USL Championship04/06/2023
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
01

Recent Form

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
7W1D2L
18/10/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
01
L
11/10/2026
El Paso LocomotiveOrange County SC
21
W
04/10/2026
LexingtonEl Paso Locomotive
31
L
26/09/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
11
D
20/09/2026
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
13
W
13/09/2026
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
12
W
30/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLoudoun United
41
W
27/08/2026
El Paso LocomotivePittsburgh Riverhounds
21
W
23/08/2026
Colorado SpringsEl Paso Locomotive
01
W
16/08/2026
San AntonioEl Paso Locomotive
03
W
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
3W3D4L
18/10/2026
San AntonioNew Mexico United
10
L
11/10/2026
New Mexico UnitedMonterey Bay
31
W
05/10/2026
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
21
W
01/10/2026
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
10
L
27/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
23
L
20/09/2026
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico United
00
D
17/09/2026
Birmingham LegionNew Mexico United
44
D
12/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedIndy Eleven
22
D
06/09/2026
Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico United
12
W
30/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedSan Antonio
12
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United in the USL Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: New Mexico United are 1st in the USL Championship, 2 points ahead of El Paso Locomotive in 3rd. League goal record so far: El Paso Locomotive 48-38, New Mexico United 45-34. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.