Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island Prediction

Trinity Health Stadium·A. Ndiaye 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-4.2%
Hartford Athletic Rest
7 days
Rhode Island Rest
6 days

Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island: the result in context

Hartford Athletic beat Rhode Island 2-1 in the USL Championship on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Rhode Island had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Hartford Athletic.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.45
X
27%3.22
2
34%2.62
Double Chance
1X
66%1.40
X2
61%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.73
No
46%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.19 = 2.69
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
28%3.35
Under 1.5
28%3.17
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
72%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'K. YaoFoul
25'K. YaoAssist: J. Kwizera
45'B. CoffeyFoul
45'B. BurkeUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'S. AnakuFoul
46'A. SanchezFoul
53'F. NodarseFoul
58'A. Diz INT. Presthus out
58'B. Coffey INM. Adedokun out
66'J. Moreira INS. Careaga out
68'S. AnakuAssist: E. Samadia
72'B. MakangilaFoul
75'Z. Herivaux INLeo Afonso out
78'E. SamadiaAssist: S. Careaga
80'S. Anaku INA. Obalola out
81'J. KwizeraFoul
82'A. Shapiro-Thompson IND. Atkinson out
82'S. Korzeniowski INY. Tsukada out
82'A. Sanchez INN. Fuson out

Team Comparison

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1541Elo Rating 1534
1.24Attack 1.14
1.13Defense 2.37
0%Hit Rate 54%

Game State Tendencies

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
Rhode IslandRhode Island3Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

USL Championship19/07/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
10
US Open Cup02/04/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
20
USL Championship24/08/2025
Hartford AthleticRhode Island
30
USL Championship19/07/2025
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
00
USL Championship11/08/2024
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
30
USL Championship02/06/2024
Hartford AthleticRhode Island
11

Recent Form

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
3W4D3L
18/10/2026
Hartford AthleticBrooklyn
23
L
15/10/2026
Hartford AthleticCharleston Battery
11
D
11/10/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford Athletic
21
L
04/10/2026
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
01
L
26/09/2026
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
22
D
20/09/2026
Las Vegas LightsHartford Athletic
11
D
17/09/2026
Hartford AthleticSporting JAX
20
W
13/09/2026
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
31
W
09/09/2026
Hartford AthleticColorado Springs
21
W
06/09/2026
Detroit CityHartford Athletic
11
D
Rhode IslandRhode Island
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
Rhode IslandPittsburgh Riverhounds
11
D
15/10/2026
Rhode IslandLoudoun United
10
W
11/10/2026
Detroit CityRhode Island
10
L
04/10/2026
BrooklynRhode Island
13
W
01/10/2026
Rhode IslandIndy Eleven
10
W
27/09/2026
Charleston BatteryRhode Island
20
L
20/09/2026
Rhode IslandMiami FC
12
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island in the USL Championship table

Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island are close in the USL Championship table, 6th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Hartford Athletic 35-33, Rhode Island 42-33. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hartford Athletic have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.