Sporting JAX vs Louisville City Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Sporting JAX
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Louisville City
Hodges Stadium·I. De Cristofaro 22/10/2026
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
0-2
Finished
Louisville CityLouisville City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+1.8%
Sporting JAX Rest
7 days
Louisville City Rest
4 days

Sporting JAX vs Louisville City: result, form and history

Louisville City beat Sporting JAX 2-0 in the USL Championship on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Louisville City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Sporting JAX.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%7.50
X
16%5.00
2
75%1.30
Double Chance
1X
25%3.15
X2
91%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.68
No
45%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.85 + 2.19 = 3.04
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
64%1.41
Over 3.5
43%2.05
Under 1.5
18%5.45
Under 2.5
36%2.62
Under 3.5
57%1.68
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'B. NiangFoul
42'M. AkaleFoul
46'B. Niang INZ. Duncan out
46'M. Akale INQ. Huerman out
51'A. GomezFoul
58'A. Dia INJ. Morris out
64'R. Somersall INJean Mota out
69'A. Luckhurst INE. Jaaskelainen out
77'E. JaaskelainenOG
81'T. Roberts INW. Kuzain out
81'A. Al Qaq INK. Sadlier out
84'C. Donovan INS. Gleadle out
85'Z. Duncan
88'E. Perez INS. Totsch out
90+1'J. MorrisFoul
90+3'R. EdwardsFoul

Team Comparison

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
Louisville CityLouisville City
1317Elo Rating 1624
0.36Attack 2.29
0.51Defense 2.49
0%Hit Rate 86%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Louisville CityLouisville City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Sporting JAXSporting JAX0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Louisville CityLouisville City1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

USL Championship18/04/2026
Louisville CitySporting JAX
10

Recent Form

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
2W0D8L
15/10/2026
Sporting JAXBirmingham Legion
01
L01/10/2026
Miami FCSporting JAX
41
L
26/09/2026
Sporting JAXLoudoun United
14
L
17/09/2026
Hartford AthleticSporting JAX
20
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
L
06/09/2026
Sporting JAXLexington
32
W
30/08/2026
BrooklynSporting JAX
41
L
23/08/2026
Birmingham LegionSporting JAX
23
W
16/08/2026
Sporting JAXIndy Eleven
01
L
02/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicSporting JAX
50
L
Louisville CityLouisville City
5W3D2L
18/10/2026
Louisville CityIndy Eleven
41
W11/10/2026
Charleston BatteryLouisville City
02
W
04/10/2026
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
01
W
26/09/2026
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
22
D20/09/2026
Louisville CityLoudoun United
21
W
13/09/2026
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
12
L
09/09/2026
San AntonioLouisville City
7080
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
Louisville CityDetroit City
00
D
23/08/2026
Indy ElevenLouisville City
21
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

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About the Sporting JAX vs Louisville City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting JAX and Louisville City in the USL Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Louisville City are 4th in the USL Championship, while Sporting JAX sit 13th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Sporting JAX 32-78, Louisville City 51-43. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting JAX and Louisville City have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.