Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: the result in context
Lexington beat Las Vegas Lights 5-3 in the USL Championship on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lexington had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Las Vegas Lights.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Las Vegas Lights
1T. Henry
6N. Sessock
3N. Jones
33A. Guillén
81T. Antonoglou
23M. Ybarra
27G. Probo
18C. Locker
11C. Pinzon
14J. Rodriguez
25O. Anderson
17O. Semmle
12X. Zengue
5K. Burks
21M. Muir
2J. Greene
16B. Ferri
6A. Molloy
34M. Fry
8N. Firmino
7M. Epps
9P. GoodrumLas Vegas Lights Substitutes
Lexington Substitutes
Team Comparison
Las Vegas LightsLexingtonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Las Vegas Lights- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lexington- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Las Vegas Lights2Wins · 50%1Wins · 25%Previous meetings
23/08/2026LexingtonLas Vegas Lights03/05/2026Las Vegas LightsLexington31/08/2025Las Vegas LightsLexington13/04/2025LexingtonLas Vegas LightsRecent Form
Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix RisingLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
San Antonio
Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Hartford Athletic
Orange County SCLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
Charleston BatteryLexingtonLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Brooklyn
Miami FCLas Vegas LightsLexingtonLexington
FC TulsaLexington
El Paso Locomotive
Monterey BayLexingtonLexingtonOrange County SC
Oakland RootsLexington
Sporting JAXLexingtonLexington
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico UnitedLexingtonLexingtonLas Vegas LightsSacramento RepublicLexingtonLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots 18/10/26
- San Antonio vs New Mexico United 18/10/26
- Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs 18/10/26
- Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising 18/10/26
- Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United 18/10/26
- Sporting JAX vs Louisville City 22/10/26
- Loudoun United vs Brooklyn 24/10/26
- Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven 25/10/26
About the Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Las Vegas Lights and Lexington in the USL Championship table
The table shows a wide gap: Lexington are 4th in the USL Championship, while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Las Vegas Lights 41-48, Lexington 57-39. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.