Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction

Esenler Stadium, Istanbul·Omer Faruk Gultekin 30/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Esenler Erokspor Rest
5 days
Keçiörengücü Rest
5 days

Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü: result, form and history

Esenler Erokspor beat Keçiörengücü 3-2 in the 1. Lig on 30 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Omer Faruk Gultekin averages 5.28 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.81
X
27%3.65
2
26%3.68
Double Chance
1X
74%1.24
X2
53%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.36 = 2.82
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.38
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
43%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.9 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.65
Over 9.5
44%2.04
Over 10.5
33%2.60
Under 8.5
43%2.15
Under 9.5
56%1.71
Under 10.5
67%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

15'Mame Biram DioufAssist: Moryke Fofana
21'Yusuf ErdoğanDissent
27'Luccas ClaroFoul
37'Mame Biram Diouf INHerculano·Nabian out
45'Furkan Orak INHayrullah Bilazer out
45'Tuncer Duhan Aksu INAbdullah Celik out
48'Nicolas JanvierFoul
51'Mame Mor FayeAssist: Yusuf Erdoğan
51'H. KaramanDissent
53'Kubilay KanatsızkuşAssist: Hayrullah Bilazer
57'Odise Roshi INAlcídio Raice out
64'Bahadir Öztürk
68'Kubilay Kanatsızkuş INBurak Coban out
73'Herculano·Nabian INFrancis Ezeh out
73'Jefferson INHalil Can Ayan out
77'Recep Niyaz INFerhat Yazgan out
78'I. KaraogulAssist: E. Develi
81'Wellington Ferreira NascimentoDissent
86'Francis EzehDissent
86'Yusuf Erdoğan INAltin Zeqiri out
86'Nicolas Janvier INTugay Kaçar out
90'Bahadir ÖztürkArgument
90'Alcídio RaiceArgument

Lineups

Esenler Erokspor
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Karaman
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Korkmaz
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.34
E. Canpolat5.622E. Canpolat
F. Orak6.270F. Orak
B. Öztürk7.221B. Öztürk
Luccas Claro6.34L. Claro
E. Alić6.933E. Alić
M. Okyar6.35M. Okyar
N. Janvier6.97N. Janvier
Y. Erdoğan7.353Y. Erdoğan
R. Niyaz6.810R. Niyaz
M. Faye7.911M. Faye
K. Kanatsızkuş8.19K. Kanatsızkuş
M. Erdoğan6.61M. Erdoğan
M. Keskin5.912M. Keskin
Wellington Nascimento6.13W. Nascimento
O. Çalışkan6.45O. Çalışkan
D. Aksu6.237D. Aksu
E. Develi6.56E. Develi
I. Karaogul7.48I. Karaogul
O. Roshi5.57O. Roshi
Jefferson6.110Jefferson
M. Fofana7.077M. Fofana
M. Diouf7.655M. Diouf

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

77H. Bilazer45'for Furkan Orak6.6
99P. Guèye
6T. Kaçar86'for Nicolas Janvier5.9
39E. Kaş
18B. Samudio
27F. Yazgan77'for Recep Niyaz6.0
88A. Zeqiri86'for Yusuf Erdoğan6.0
34E. Çetin
17B. Çoban68'for Kubilay Kanatsızkuş6.6
52Y. Arda Ozyurt

Keçiörengücü Substitutes

4A. Çelik45'for Tuncer Duhan Aksu6.1
19Enes Yilmaz
18E. Satılmış
20Alcídio Raice57'replaced by Odise Roshi90'
33S. Luş
21F. Ezeh73'replaced by Herculano·Nabian86'6.3
9Ö. Demirel
45Herculano Nabian37'for Mame Biram Diouf73'for Francis Ezeh6.2
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
22H. Ayan73'for Jefferson5.9

Match Stats

Esenler EroksporKeçiörengücü
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots0
14Fouls17
6Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
434Total Passes365
365Passes Accurate287
17Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
1658Elo Rating 1675
2.35Attack 1.67
1.22Defense 1.08
61%Hit Rate 34%
16.6Shots per Game 12.0
5.0Shots on Target 3.6
7.0Corners per Game 2.8
4.0Cards per Game 3.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig19/04/2026
Esenler EroksporKeçiörengücü
10
1. Lig14/12/2025
KeçiörengücüEsenler Erokspor
11
1. Lig05/03/2025
KeçiörengücüEsenler Erokspor
22
1. Lig21/10/2024
Esenler EroksporKeçiörengücü
22

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Omer Faruk Gultekin78 matches

5.28Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Omer Faruk Gultekin5.28
Other referees4.67

5.28 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor13101229:11+1831WWWWL
2KayserisporKayserispor1393132:9+2330WDDWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1383218:10+827DWWDW
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691373318:12+624WWLWW
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1372426:23+323LWDWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1355325:18+720LLWDW
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1361619:20-119DLWLW
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1346316:12+418DWWWL
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1346318:20-218LWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1344516:16016LWLLD
11SarıyerSarıyer1344514:18-416LLDLD
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1336415:18-315WLWDW
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1335517:13+414LLLDW
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1235414:11+314WWLDW
15PendiksporPendikspor1335515:23-814WDLLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1334621:23-213WLLDL
17SivassporSivasspor1327416:20-413LLDDW
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1343614:22-813WWLWL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor13121010:33-235LLLLL
20BolusporBoluspor1211105:26-214LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1329:1131
2KayserisporKayserispor1332:930
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1318:1027
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691318:1224
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1326:2323
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1325:1820
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1319:2019
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1316:1218
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1318:2018
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1316:1616
11SarıyerSarıyer1314:1816
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1315:1815
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1317:1314
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1214:1114
15PendiksporPendikspor1315:2314
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1321:2313
17SivassporSivasspor1316:2013
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1314:2213
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor1310:335
20BolusporBoluspor125:264
PromotionRelegation

About the Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Esenler Erokspor and Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü are 6th and Esenler Erokspor 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Esenler Erokspor 15-18, Keçiörengücü 25-18. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Keçiörengücü have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.