FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

FC Dallas
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Seattle Sounders
Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco·Jon Freemon 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
FC Dallas Rest
4 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
4 days

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: the result in context

FC Dallas beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Seattle Sounders have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Seattle Sounders tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 5.0 for FC Dallas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.95
X
24%3.90
2
29%3.40
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.46
No
36%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.47 = 3.04
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.51
Over 3.5
40%2.29
Under 1.5
17%5.38
Under 2.5
37%2.45
Under 3.5
60%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
65%1.30
Over 9.5
54%1.65
Over 10.5
44%2.03
Under 8.5
35%2.97
Under 9.5
46%2.18
Under 10.5
56%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.62
Over 4.5
41%2.45
Under 3.5
39%2.20
Under 4.5
59%1.51

Match Events

58'Nouhou Tolo INJordan Morris out
59'Kalani Kossa-Rienzi INAlexander Roldan out
63'Kaick da Silva FerreiraAssist: Osaze Urhoghide
66'Sebastian Gomez INJesús Ferreira out
74'Santiago Moreno INPatrickson Delgado out
74'Joaquín Valiente Cioli INChristian Cappis out
81'Patrickson DelgadoFoul
82'Bernard Kamungo INHerman Johansson out
83'Snyder Brunell INPeter Kingston out
83'stuar hawkins INCaden Clark out
90+8'DanielTime wasting

Lineups

FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Coach: Eric Quill
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Schmetzer
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.49
Daniel8.442Daniel
S. Ibeagha6.625S. Ibeagha
O. Urhoghide7.33O. Urhoghide
S. Moore6.818S. Moore
R. Binyamin6.26R. Binyamin
Kaick8.255Kaick
Ramiro6.717Ramiro
B. Kamungo6.477B. Kamungo
J. Valiente6.221J. Valiente
S. Moreno7.010S. Moreno
P. Musa6.49P. Musa
A. Thomas6.826A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi5.985K. Kossa-Rienzi
S. Hawkins6.939S. Hawkins
J. Ragen7.025J. Ragen
N. Tolo6.55N. Tolo
C. Roldan6.67C. Roldan
S. Brunell6.237S. Brunell
S. Gomez6.490S. Gomez
A. Rusnák7.211A. Rusnák
P. Arriola5.917P. Arriola
D. Joveljić6.49D. Joveljić

FC Dallas Substitutes

14H. Johansson82'for Bernard Kamungo6.5
7D. Job
12C. Cappis74'for Joaquín Valiente Cioli6.5
8P. Delgado74'for Santiago Moreno81'6.4
5L. Abubakar
32N. Norris
28Samuel Sarver
27Caleb Swann
40J. Sirois

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

24S. Frei
27J. Ferreira66'for Sebastian Gomez6.8
8C. Clark83'for stuar hawkins6.2
28Y. Gómez
45P. Kingston83'for Snyder Brunell6.3
13J. Morris58'for Nouhou Tolo6.4
19D. Musovski
16A. Roldan59'for Kalani Kossa-Rienzi6.6
31H. Dotson

Match Stats

FC DallasSeattle Sounders
43%Ball Possession57%
7Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
6Fouls5
0Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
370Total Passes489
301Passes Accurate413
5Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

FC DallasFC Dallas
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1693Elo Rating 1619
1.32Attack 1.61
1.88Defense 2.19
39%Hit Rate 50%
13.7Shots per Game 15.8
4.5Shots on Target 6.2
5.0Corners per Game 7.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC DallasFC Dallas1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer26/04/2026
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
21
Major League Soccer24/05/2025
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
10
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer23/06/2024
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
32
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
00
Major League Soccer11/11/2023
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
10
Major League Soccer05/11/2023
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
31
Major League Soccer31/10/2023
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
20
Major League Soccer17/09/2023
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
11
Major League Soccer16/07/2023
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
11

Referee Profile

Jon Freemon126 matches

4.67Cards per match
4.48Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jon Freemon4.67
Other referees4.34

4.67 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, FC Dallas are 2nd and Seattle Sounders 8th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Dallas 58-49, Seattle Sounders 41-40. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Dallas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.