Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Toronto FC
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Orlando City SC
BMO Field, Toronto·Armando Villarreal 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.34
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Toronto FC Rest
4 days
Orlando City SC Rest
4 days

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: result, form and history

Toronto FC and Orlando City SC drew 3-3 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Orlando City SC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.30
X
25%3.80
2
35%2.75
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
60%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.30
No
30%3.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.42 = 3.06
Over 1.5
86%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.34
Over 3.5
48%1.87
Under 1.5
14%7.30
Under 2.5
31%3.13
Under 3.5
52%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 5.4 = 11.6
Over 8.5
95%1.30
Over 9.5
88%1.56
Over 10.5
67%1.93
Under 8.5
5%3.15
Under 9.5
12%2.23
Under 10.5
33%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.53
Over 4.5
42%2.02
Under 3.5
38%2.42
Under 4.5
58%1.73

Match Events

26'Lewis MorganAssist: Theo Corbeanu
45+1'Martin Ojeda(Penalty)
49'Theo CorbeanuAssist: Dániel Sallói
57'Lewis Morgan INDjordje Mihailovic out
66'AlonsoFoul
67'Harvey Graham Sarajian INDaryl Dike out
75'Benjamin KuscevicFoul
76'Antoine GriezmannAssist: Iago Teodoro
80'Dániel Sallói INDerrick Etienne Jr. out
82'Vinicius NogueiraFoul
83'Daryl DikeAssist: Iván Angulo
85'Robin Lucius FraserDissent
85'Wilder Cartagena INBraian Ojeda out
88'Alonso INEmilio Aristizábal out
89'Matheus Pereira de Souza
90+4'Eduard Atuesta INZakaria Taifi out
90+4'Richie LaryeaFoul

Lineups

Toronto FC
4-4-2Coach: R. Fraser
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: M. Perelman
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.68
L. Gavran5.91L. Gavran
R. Laryea6.122R. Laryea
Z. Monlouis6.212Z. Monlouis
B. Kuscevic5.813B. Kuscevic
Matheus Pereira6.53M. Pereira
T. Corbeanu8.27T. Corbeanu
Alonso Coello6.414A. Coello
N. Dorsch6.16N. Dorsch
D. Sallói6.420D. Sallói
J. Sargent6.39J. Sargent
L. Morgan8.190L. Morgan
M. Crépeau6.871M. Crépeau
E. Atuesta6.020E. Atuesta
D. Brekalo6.74D. Brekalo
Iago6.957Iago
Vinícius Nogueira6.327V. Nogueira
I. Angulo7.077I. Angulo
Luis Otávio6.35L. Otávio
W. Cartagena6.416W. Cartagena
Harvey Sarajian5.923H. Sarajian
A. Griezmann8.27A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda6.710M. Ojeda

Toronto FC Substitutes

17Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga88'for Alonso6.5
96R. Chukwu
71M. Cimermancic
11D. Etienne80'for Dániel Sallói6.6
19K. Franklin
38J. Gilman
10D. Mihailović57'for Lewis Morgan6.3
27A. Piedrahita
23W. Yarbrough

Orlando City SC Substitutes

21N. Miller
8B. Ojeda85'for Wilder Cartagena5.8
12Javier Otero
44Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
19Z. Taifi90+4'for Eduard Atuesta
11Tiago
35Joran Gerbet
9D. Dike67'for Harvey Graham Sarajian83'7.9
3Adrián Marín

Match Stats

Toronto FCOrlando City SC
37%Ball Possession63%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots4
17Fouls12
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
282Total Passes490
216Passes Accurate427
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Toronto FCToronto FC
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1563Elo Rating 1631
2.17Attack 2.70
1.18Defense 1.03
61%Hit Rate 34%
12.8Shots per Game 12.2
5.0Shots on Target 5.6
4.6Corners per Game 2.8
2.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Toronto FCToronto FC2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC7Wins · 70%
3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer13/09/2026
Orlando City SCToronto FC
30
Major League Soccer19/10/2025
Toronto FCOrlando City SC
42
Major League Soccer02/03/2025
Orlando City SCToronto FC
42
Major League Soccer04/07/2024
Toronto FCOrlando City SC
12
Major League Soccer28/04/2024
Orlando City SCToronto FC
12
Major League Soccer22/10/2023
Toronto FCOrlando City SC
02
Major League Soccer05/07/2023
Orlando City SCToronto FC
40
Major League Soccer18/09/2022
Orlando City SCToronto FC
40
Major League Soccer14/05/2022
Toronto FCOrlando City SC
01
Major League Soccer18/07/2021
Toronto FCOrlando City SC
11

Referee Profile

Armando Villarreal123 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Armando Villarreal4.50
Other referees4.24

4.50 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami331611677:56+2159WDLWW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution331841155:46+958LWWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3377:5659
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3355:4658
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
Promotion

About the Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Toronto FC and Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Orlando City SC are 9th and Toronto FC 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Toronto FC 51-63, Orlando City SC 62-78. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.