St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
St. Louis City Rest
10 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
14 days
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy: result, form and history
St. Louis City beat Los Angeles Galaxy 6-2 in the Major League Soccer on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee Joseph Dickerson averages 5.25 cards a game, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.47
X21%4.80
217%5.60
Double Chance
1X82%1.13
X238%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.50
No32%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.3 + 1.25 = 3.55
Over 1.587%1.10
Over 2.572%1.40
Over 3.549%1.98
Under 1.513%6.50
Under 2.528%2.92
Under 3.551%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.1 = 10.3
Over 8.565%1.33
Over 9.554%1.60
Over 10.544%2.00
Under 8.535%3.00
Under 9.546%2.23
Under 10.556%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.558%1.44
Over 4.538%1.91
Under 3.542%2.67
Under 4.562%1.82
Match Events
2'Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
7'Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
11'Kyogo Furuhashi INKlauss out
21'Carlo HolseAssist: Christopher Durkin
31'Robert TaylorAssist: Erik Thommy
39'Christopher DurkinFoul
45'Rafael Navarro Leal(Penalty)
45'Sergi Roberto INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
45+7'Lukas MacNaughtonAssist: Alexandru Măţan
53'Rafael Navarro LealAssist: Christopher Durkin
60'Robert Taylor INJoseph Paintsil out
60'Pablo Ruiz INMarco Reus out
63'Conrad WallemPersistent infringement
67'Bernardi Julian Ezequiel AudeFoul
71'KlaussAssist: Marco Reus
72'Christopher Durkin INFallou Fall out
74'Harbor MillerFoul
75'Erik Thommy INCarlos Emiro Garces Torres out
80'Rafael Navarro Leal INSimon Becher out
80'Carlo Holse INSang-bin Jung out
80'Conrad Wallem INJaziel Alberto Orozco Landeros out
90+1'Alexandru Măţan INDamion Downs out
Lineups
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
4-3-3Coach: Greg VanneyAvg ratingAvg rating
1R. Bürki
5L. MacNaughton
32T. Baumgartl
21D. Polvara
6C. Wallem
24D. Edelman
8C. Durkin
14T. Totland
19C. Holse
9R. Navarro
23A. Mățan
12J. Marcinkowski
26H. Miller
5J. Glesnes
15J. Haak
3J. Aude
17P. Ruiz
27E. Thommy
6S. Roberto
76T. Elgersma
7K. Furuhashi
21R. TaylorSt. Louis City Substitutes
28M. Perez
20Rafael Santos
11S. Becher80'for Rafael Navarro Leal
42D. Downs90+1'for Alexandru Măţan
27F. Fall72'for Christopher Durkin
77Jeong Sang-Bin80'for Carlo Holse
39B. Lundt
99J. Orozco80'for Conrad Wallem
7T. Ostrák
Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes
25C. Garcés75'for Erik Thommy
1N. Mićović
14J. Nelson
28J. Paintsil60'for Robert Taylor
18M. Reus60'for Pablo Ruiz
8L. Sanabria45'for Sergi Roberto
4M. Yoshida
2Calegari
99Klauss11'replaced by Kyogo Furuhashi71'
Match Stats
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy 59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box12
0Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots6
17Fouls10
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
605Total Passes409
542Passes Accurate336
90%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy1669Elo Rating 1600
0.87Attack 2.14
1.01Defense 0.73
0%Hit Rate 34%
9.7Shots per Game 12.4
4.5Shots on Target 6.3
4.2Corners per Game 3.0
1.9Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.54 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
St. Louis City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Los Angeles Galaxy- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
St. Louis City3Wins · 43%Draws457%
Los Angeles Galaxy0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%4.0Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7
Previous meetings
23/07/2026Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City13
14/06/2025St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy33
10/03/2025Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City03
01/09/2024St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy21
17/03/2024Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City33
11/09/2023Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City22
11/06/2023St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy11
Recent Form
St. Louis City7W3D0L
01/10/2026
New York Red BullsSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Toronto FCSt. Louis City
Minnesota United FC
Portland TimbersSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
FC DallasSt. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City
San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
New York Red BullsSt. Louis City03
W20/09/2026St. Louis CityToronto FC31
W17/09/2026
Colorado RapidsSt. Louis City
13/09/2026Colorado RapidsSt. Louis City03
WSt. Louis CityMinnesota United FC42
W10/09/2026Portland TimbersSt. Louis City22
D06/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City
31/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City13
WSt. Louis CityFC Dallas33
D23/08/2026St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo21
W20/08/2026Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City11
D16/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City13
WLos Angeles Galaxy4W3D3L
27/09/2026Los Angeles GalaxyColorado RapidsMinnesota United FCLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
Seattle SoundersVancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
CF MontrealLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas
Los Angeles GalaxyColorado Rapids32
W20/09/2026Minnesota United FCLos Angeles Galaxy23
W13/09/2026Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders11
D10/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy30
L06/09/2026Los Angeles Galaxy
New England Revolution
30/08/2026Los Angeles GalaxyNew England Revolution21
WSan DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy31
L23/08/2026CF MontrealLos Angeles Galaxy22
D20/08/2026Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes10
W16/08/2026Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy10
L02/08/2026Los Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas00
DReferee Profile
5.25Cards per match
4.83Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.25 cards a match, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).
Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72:34 | +38 | 61 | WWLWD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | +9 | 55 | DLWDW |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:48 | +8 | 52 | WDLDD |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | +10 | 51 | LLLLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:42 | +1 | 51 | LWDDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51:38 | +13 | 47 | LDDWD |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | -6 | 44 | WDDWL |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60:61 | -1 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 | LDWDD |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 43 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51:51 | 0 | 42 | LWWWD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53:57 | -4 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | -5 | 38 | WLDDD |
| 14 |  Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42:63 | -21 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | -42 | 23 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 72:34 | 61 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56:48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 43:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 51:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 49:55 | 44 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 60:61 | 43 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 51:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 53:57 | 41 |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 42:63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 39:81 | 23 |
Promotion
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About the St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
St. Louis City and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, St. Louis City are 4th and Los Angeles Galaxy 7th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Louis City 58-48, Los Angeles Galaxy 49-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.