Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Portland Timbers Rest
4 days
St. Louis City Rest
4 days
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City: result, form and history
Portland Timbers and St. Louis City drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.44
X23%3.85
234%2.55
Double Chance
1X66%1.47
X257%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.39
No36%2.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.23 = 2.69
Over 1.578%1.12
Over 2.557%1.44
Over 3.535%2.07
Under 1.522%6.00
Under 2.543%2.77
Under 3.565%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.552%1.52
Over 9.543%1.93
Over 10.533%2.42
Under 8.548%2.40
Under 9.557%1.85
Under 10.567%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.565%1.46
Over 4.546%1.93
Under 3.535%2.57
Under 4.554%1.78
Match Events
1'Rafael Navarro Leal
18'David Da Costa INDiego Chará out
31'Dante PolvaraFoul
32'Kristoffer Velde
36'Jaziel Alberto Orozco LanderosPersistent infringement
45'Jaziel Alberto Orozco Landeros INLukas MacNaughton out
45+2'Tomas TotlandFoul
51'Rafael Navarro Leal
58'Eric MillerFoul
65'Dante Polvara INFallou Fall out
65'Sang-bin Jung INSimon Becher out
65'Eric Miller INRonald Hernández out
65'Ariel Lassiter INAntony out
67'Rafael Navarro LealFoul
80'Rafael Santos INMykhi Joyner out
80'Alexandru Măţan INCarlo Holse out
81'Kamal Miller INIan Smith out
81'Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri INOmir Fernandez out
89'Kristoffer VeldeAssist: Cole Bassett
89'Rafael Navarro Leal INDamion Downs out
90'Vincent Janssen INGage Guerra out
Lineups
Portland TimbersSt. Louis City
3-5-1-1Coach: Y. DametAvg ratingAvg rating
41J. Pantemis
15E. Miller
20F. Surman
4K. Miller
27J. Fory
17C. Bassett
80J. Ortiz
10D. Pereira da Costa
7A. Lassiter
14V. Janssen
99K. Velde
1R. Bürki
99J. Orozco
32T. Baumgartl
21D. Polvara
14T. Totland
8C. Durkin
23A. Mățan
24D. Edelman
20R. Santos
77J. Sang-Bin
9R. NavarroPortland Timbers Substitutes
21D. Chará18'for David Da Costa
6A. Bonetig
11Antony65'for Ariel Lassiter
22O. Fernandez81'for Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri
88Andrew Guerra90'for Vincent Janssen
12R. Hernández65'for Eric Miller
23Ian Smith81'for Kamal Miller
26H. Sulte
2J. Waterman
St. Louis City Substitutes
11S. Becher65'for Sang-bin Jung
42D. Downs89'for Rafael Navarro Leal
27F. Fall65'for Dante Polvara
19C. Holse80'for Alexandru Măţan
59M. Joyner80'for Rafael Santos
39B. Lundt
5L. MacNaughton45'for Jaziel Alberto Orozco Landeros
7T. Ostrák
28M. Perez
Match Stats
Portland TimbersSt. Louis City 52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots1
10Fouls21
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
460Total Passes441
391Passes Accurate376
85%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Portland TimbersSt. Louis City1548Elo Rating 1731
0.75Attack 1.87
1.32Defense 1.98
0%Hit Rate 31%
13.1Shots per Game 12.2
4.2Shots on Target 5.9
3.8Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Portland Timbers- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
St. Louis City- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Portland Timbers2Wins · 34%Draws233%
St. Louis City2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%3.3Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6
Previous meetings
14/07/2025St. Louis CityPortland Timbers21
09/06/2025Portland TimbersSt. Louis City21
25/08/2024Portland TimbersSt. Louis City44
09/06/2024St. Louis CityPortland Timbers00
30/04/2023St. Louis CityPortland Timbers12
12/03/2023Portland TimbersSt. Louis City12
Recent Form
Portland Timbers6W1D3L
06/09/2026Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers
Austin
Los Angeles FCPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
San Diego
Club AmericaPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC54
W30/08/2026Portland TimbersAustin12
L23/08/2026Los Angeles FCPortland Timbers11
D20/08/2026Portland TimbersSan Diego31
W17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
Chicago FirePortland Timbers21
L14/08/2026Portland Timbers
Club Tijuana
10/08/2026Portland TimbersClub Tijuana31
WClub AmericaPortland Timbers31
L07/08/2026Portland Timbers
Puebla
02/08/2026Portland TimbersPuebla52
WPortland TimbersSeattle Sounders21
W26/07/2026Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake21
WSt. Louis City7W3D0L
06/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City
31/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City13
WSt. Louis City
FC Dallas33
D23/08/2026St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo21
W20/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City11
D16/08/2026
San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City13
W02/08/2026St. Louis CityReal Salt Lake11
D26/07/2026St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids10
W23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City13
W17/07/2026St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City32
W23/05/2026St. Louis CityAustin
St. Louis CityAustin30
WReferee Profile
4.18Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami 10/09/26
- Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas 10/09/26
- Austin vs Colorado Rapids 10/09/26
- Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake 10/09/26
- Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls 10/09/26
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy 10/09/26
- San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes 10/09/26
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC 13/09/26
About the Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Portland Timbers and St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, St. Louis City are 3rd and Portland Timbers 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers 57-60, St. Louis City 58-47. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
St. Louis City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.