San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
San Diego Rest
4 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
4 days
San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes: the result in context
San Jose Earthquakes beat San Diego 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: San Diego had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for San Jose Earthquakes.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.75
X25%4.20
222%4.00
Double Chance
1X78%1.25
X247%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.40
No32%2.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.14 = 2.82
Over 1.579%1.10
Over 2.557%1.38
Over 3.535%1.97
Under 1.521%6.55
Under 2.543%2.95
Under 3.565%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.556%1.46
Over 9.545%1.79
Over 10.533%2.20
Under 8.544%2.55
Under 9.555%1.95
Under 10.567%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.51
Over 4.545%2.07
Under 3.536%2.38
Under 4.555%1.70
Match Events
3'N.TsakirisAssist: Beau Leroux
6'Penalty confirmedPreston Judd
7'Red card cancelledCarlos Joaquim dos Santos
7'Carlos Joaquim dos SantosFoul
8'N.Tsakiris(Penalty missed)
12'Preston JuddAssist: N.Tsakiris
13'Preston Judd
18'Christopher McVeyFoul
30'Preston Judd INOusseni Bouda out
35'Ousseni BoudaAssist: N.Tsakiris
37'Ousseni BoudaTime wasting
42'Anders DreyerAssist: Onni Valakari
45'Aníbal Godoy INAlejandro Alvarado Jr out
45'Dagur Dan Þórhallsson INkieran sargeant out
45'Luka Jovanovic INEduard Löwen out
45'Reid Roberts INMax Floriani out
45+2'Gabriel Pirani INAmahl Pellegrino out
45+3'Beau LerouxFoul
52'Jeppe TverskovDissent
67'Jack Jasinski INBenjamin Kikanovic out
67'Beau Leroux INRonaldo Vieira out
68'Onni Valakari INCédric Bakambu out
75'Max FlorianiFoul
80'Carlos Joaquim dos Santos
82'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INDuran Ferree out
88'Penalty confirmedCédric Bakambu
90+2'Max Floriani
90+4'Cédric Bakambu(Penalty)
90+5'Ronaldo VieiraDissent
Lineups
San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. ArenaAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. dos Santos
33O. Verhoeven
26M. Duah
97C. McVey
3D. Þórhallsson
20A. Godoy
6J. Tverskov
12G. Pirani
10A. Dreyer
8O. Valakari
99E. Achouri
1A. Gunn
5D. Munie
4D. Romney
18R. Roberts
17J. Jasinski
6I. Harkes
34B. Leroux
87V. Costa
10N. Tsakiris
9L. Jovanović
19P. JuddSan Diego Substitutes
70A. Alvarado45'for Aníbal Godoy82'for Duran Ferree
94C. Bakambu68'for Onni Valakari90+4'
21B. Duke
18D. Ferree82'replaced by Alejandro Alvarado Jr
32I. Murphy
90A. Pellegrino45+2'for Gabriel Pirani
5Kieran Sargeant45'for Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
19D. Vazquez
14B. B. Zamble
San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes
23E. Löwen45'for Luka Jovanovic
31Francesco Montali
2J. Ricketts
16J. Skahan
14R. Vieira67'for Beau Leroux90+5'
28B. Kikanovic67'for Jack Jasinski
25M. Floriani45'for Reid Roberts75'90+2'
20N. Fernandez
7O. Bouda30'for Preston Judd35'37'
Match Stats
San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes 53%Ball Possession47%
1Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards1
10Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls17
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
546Total Passes486
481Passes Accurate424
88%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes1572Elo Rating 1616
2.20Attack 1.47
0.22Defense 1.86
0%Hit Rate 17%
14.3Shots per Game 14.3
5.5Shots on Target 4.2
4.8Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
San Diego- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San Jose Earthquakes- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
San Diego1Wins · 33%Draws00%
San Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
05/04/2026San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego30
28/09/2025San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes01
18/08/2025San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego12
Recent Form
San Diego6W1D3L
06/09/2026
Orlando City SCSan DiegoSan Diego
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
Colorado Rapids
Portland TimbersSan Diego
Los Angeles FCSan Diego
Minnesota United FCSan DiegoSan Diego
FC Dallas
Orlando City SCSan Diego10
L30/08/2026San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy31
W23/08/2026San DiegoColorado Rapids30
W20/08/2026Portland TimbersSan Diego31
L16/08/2026Los Angeles FCSan Diego01
W13/08/2026San Diego
Puebla
San DiegoPuebla32
W10/08/2026San Diego
Club Tijuana
San DiegoClub Tijuana10
W07/08/2026
Club AmericaSan Diego
02/08/2026Club AmericaSan Diego31
LMinnesota United FCSan Diego11
D26/07/2026San DiegoFC Dallas10
WSan Jose Earthquakes1W3D6L
06/09/2026
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes
Houston DynamoSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FCLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
FC CincinnatiSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes11
D30/08/2026Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes00
D23/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC15
L20/08/2026Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes10
L16/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City13
L02/08/2026FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes42
L26/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy11
D23/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC04
L04/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana12
L24/05/2026Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes13
WReferee Profile
4.41Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.41 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
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- Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami 10/09/26
- Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas 10/09/26
- Austin vs Colorado Rapids 10/09/26
- Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake 10/09/26
- Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls 10/09/26
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy 10/09/26
- Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City 10/09/26
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC 13/09/26
About the San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
San Diego and San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes are 5th and San Diego 13th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: San Diego 56-62, San Jose Earthquakes 54-47. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.