Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

BC Place, Vancouver·Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
4 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
4 days

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy: the result in context

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Vancouver Whitecaps tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.3 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.30
X
23%5.55
2
17%8.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.08
X2
40%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.55
No
30%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.93 + 1.08 = 3.01
Over 1.5
89%1.08
Over 2.5
68%1.31
Over 3.5
44%1.81
Under 1.5
11%7.46
Under 2.5
32%3.30
Under 3.5
56%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.40
Over 9.5
51%1.68
Over 10.5
38%2.06
Under 8.5
36%2.67
Under 9.5
49%2.06
Under 10.5
62%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.61
Over 4.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
39%2.18
Under 4.5
59%1.59

Match Events

8'Brian WhiteAssist: Thomas Müller
27'Thomas Müller INCheikh Sabaly out
55'Isaiah Parente INSergi Roberto out
55'Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole INErik Thommy out
55'Kyogo Furuhashi INMarco Reus out
57'Ryan Gauld
69'Bernardi Julian Ezequiel Aude INJohn Nelson out
72'Emmanuel Sabbi INBruno Caicedo out
72'Ryan Gauld INAleksa Cvetkovic out
74'Justin HaakFoul
74'Sergi RobertoDissent
87'Robert Taylor INCarlos Emiro Garces Torres out
88'Brian White INRayan Elloumi out
88'Oliver Love Larraz INYadaly Diaby out
89'Carlos Emiro Garces TorresFoul
90'Bruno Caicedo(Penalty)
90+2'Yadaly DiabyFoul

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Sørensen
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-3-3Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.11
Y. Takaoka7.91Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo7.518É. Ocampo
M. Laborda7.02M. Laborda
T. Blackmon7.233T. Blackmon
T. Johnson7.528T. Johnson
O. Larraz6.48O. Larraz
A. Cubas6.920A. Cubas
R. Gauld8.225R. Gauld
T. Müller7.213T. Müller
E. Sabbi6.711E. Sabbi
B. White7.824B. White
J. Marcinkowski7.212J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller5.726H. Miller
J. Glesnes6.45J. Glesnes
J. Haak6.015J. Haak
J. Aude6.23J. Aude
P. Ruiz6.517P. Ruiz
L. Sanabria6.18L. Sanabria
I. Parente6.116I. Parente
R. Taylor5.521R. Taylor
K. Furuhashi6.67K. Furuhashi
H. Lozano6.211H. Lozano

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

29M. Gherasimencov
3S. Adekugbe
32I. Boehmer
23A. Cvetković72'for Ryan Gauld6.5
77Y. Diaby88'for Oliver Love Larraz90+2'6.1
70Rui Modesto
14Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez72'for Emmanuel Sabbi90'7.6
7C. Sabaly27'for Thomas Müller6.4
19R. Elloumi88'for Brian White6.5

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

14J. Nelson69'for Bernardi Julian Ezequiel Aude5.7
1N. Mićović
25C. Garcés87'for Robert Taylor89'5.6
76T. Elgersma
27E. Thommy55'for Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole6.3
18M. Reus55'for Kyogo Furuhashi5.9
6Sergi Roberto55'for Isaiah Parente74'5.8
4M. Yoshida
20C. Rindov

Match Stats

Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots2
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves6
473Total Passes495
418Passes Accurate440
88%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1669Elo Rating 1595
1.32Attack 2.31
1.62Defense 0.68
27%Hit Rate 54%
13.1Shots per Game 13.7
3.0Shots on Target 6.8
6.6Corners per Game 4.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy4Wins · 40%
3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer03/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11
Major League Soccer05/07/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
30
Major League Soccer02/03/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer22/09/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
42
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
13
Major League Soccer16/07/2023
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
42
Major League Soccer19/03/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11
Major League Soccer15/09/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
30
Major League Soccer14/08/2022
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
52
Major League Soccer09/08/2021
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11

Referee Profile

Pierre-Luc Lauziere45 matches

4.12Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pierre-Luc Lauziere4.12
Other referees4.19

4.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st and Los Angeles Galaxy 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Vancouver Whitecaps 63-32, Los Angeles Galaxy 45-54. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.