Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal: the result in context
Toronto FC beat CF Montreal 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.54 cards a game, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toronto FC
Avg ratingAvg rating
1L. Gavran
22R. Laryea
13B. Kuscevic
15N. Gomis
3M. Pereira
21J. Osorio
14A. Coello
6N. Dorsch
7T. Corbeanu
9J. Sargent
20D. Sallói
1S. Breza
2J. Neal
5B. Craig
4B. Vera
27D. Bugaj
22V. Loturi
8M. Longstaff
13L. Petrasso
14D. Ríos
10A. Sánchez
9P. OwusuToronto FC Substitutes
CF Montreal Substitutes
Match Stats
Toronto FCCF Montreal Team Comparison
Toronto FCCF MontrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toronto FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
CF Montreal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Toronto FC3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
17/07/2026CF MontrealToronto FC31/08/2025Toronto FCCF Montreal17/05/2025CF MontrealToronto FC
01/05/2025Toronto FCCF Montreal21/07/2024CF MontrealToronto FC19/05/2024Toronto FCCF Montreal21/08/2023Toronto FCCF Montreal14/05/2023CF MontrealToronto FC10/05/2023Toronto FCCF Montreal05/09/2022Toronto FCCF MontrealRecent Form
Toronto FC
Nashville SCToronto FC
St. Louis CityToronto FC
Orlando City SCToronto FCToronto FCNashville SCToronto FC
Chicago FireToronto FC
New York City FC
Inter MiamiToronto FCToronto FC
CharlotteToronto FC
New England RevolutionNew York City FCToronto FCCF MontrealCF Montreal
FC CincinnatiCF Montreal
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado RapidsCF MontrealCF MontrealCharlotte
Philadelphia UnionCF MontrealVancouver WhitecapsCF MontrealInter MiamiCF MontrealCF Montreal
Los Angeles GalaxyColumbus CrewCF MontrealReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.54 cards a match, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).
Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami 28/09/26
- New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City 01/10/26
- Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City 02/10/26
- Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps 07/10/26
- Chicago Fire vs New York City FC 10/10/26
- Inter Miami vs DC United 11/10/26
- Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati 11/10/26
- Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew 11/10/26
About the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Toronto FC and CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Toronto FC are 11th and CF Montreal 15th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Toronto FC 50-60, CF Montreal 36-66. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.