Inter Miami vs DC United Prediction

Inter Miami
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
DC United
Nu Stadium, Miami·Lukasz Szpala 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.26
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
Inter Miami Rest
13 days
DC United Rest
10 days

Inter Miami vs DC United: result, form and history

Inter Miami beat DC United 4-0 in the Major League Soccer on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. DC United tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 2.7 for Inter Miami.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.41
X
19%5.25
2
15%6.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
34%2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.40
No
34%2.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 1.08 = 3.33
Over 1.5
88%1.06
Over 2.5
72%1.26
Over 3.5
52%1.69
Under 1.5
12%8.50
Under 2.5
28%3.67
Under 3.5
48%2.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.45
Over 9.5
54%1.80
Over 10.5
42%2.21
Under 8.5
35%2.55
Under 9.5
46%1.95
Under 10.5
58%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.62
Over 4.5
46%2.46
Under 3.5
35%2.20
Under 4.5
54%1.51

Match Events

3'Luis SuárezAssist: Germán Berterame
39'Luis SuárezAssist: Germán Berterame
47'Lionel MessiAssist: Luis Suárez
56'Jackson Hopkins INNathan Ordaz out
56'Nikola Marković INMatti Peltola out
60'Lionel MessiAssist: Rodrigo De Paul
61'Luis Suárez INRiquelme Fillipi out
68'Hosei Kijima INSilvan Hefti out
68'Andre Dozzell INBrandon Servania out
70'David Ayala INTelasco Segovia out
70'Micael dos Santos Silva INMaximiliano Falcon out
78'Sergio Reguilón INIan Fray out
78'Rodrigo De Paul INAlexander Shaw out
80'João Gabriel Martins Peglow INJared Stroud out

Lineups

Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Kily González
DC United
4-4-2Coach: R. Weiler
Avg rating7.53
Avg rating6.20
D. St. Clair7.597D. St. Clair
G. Luján7.42G. Luján
Casemiro7.65Casemiro
Micael7.116Micael
Reguilón7.33Reguilón
R. De Paul7.77R. De Paul
D. Ayala6.822D. Ayala
M. Galarza6.980M. Galarza
L. Messi9.210L. Messi
L. Suárez9.99L. Suárez
G. Berterame7.919G. Berterame
S. Johnson6.51S. Johnson
K. Nono6.42K. Nono
L. Bartlett6.23L. Bartlett
K. Rowles6.315K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa6.16K. Kurokawa
Hosei Kijima6.377H. Kijima
Nikola Markovic6.227N. Markovic
A. Dozzell6.021A. Dozzell
Peglow6.67Peglow
T. Baribo6.49T. Baribo
J. Hopkins6.825J. Hopkins

Inter Miami Substitutes

88A. Shaw78'for Rodrigo De Paul7.0
17I. Fray78'for Sergio Reguilón7.2
37M. Falcón70'for Micael dos Santos Silva7.1
76Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
11Riquelme Fillipi61'for Luis Suárez6.7
56Daniel Pinter
59P. Plambeck
34R. Ríos Novo
8T. Segovia70'for David Ayala7.2

DC United Substitutes

12C. Antley
32O. Avilez
26A. Bono
5S. Hefti68'for Hosei Kijima5.7
13S. Nealis
22N. Ordaz56'for Jackson Hopkins6.5
4M. Peltola56'for Nikola Marković5.8
23B. Servania68'for Andre Dozzell5.8
8J. Stroud80'for João Gabriel Martins Peglow5.6

Match Stats

Inter MiamiDC United
62%Ball Possession38%
4Corner Kicks2
16Total Shots16
9Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
17Fouls6
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
622Total Passes371
566Passes Accurate315
6Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Inter MiamiInter Miami
DC UnitedDC United
1740Elo Rating 1487
2.49Attack 1.31
2.12Defense 0.26
69%Hit Rate 19%
11.7Shots per Game 13.3
6.1Shots on Target 3.8
2.7Corners per Game 6.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+253 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DC UnitedDC United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Inter MiamiInter Miami5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
DC UnitedDC United2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer07/03/2026
DC UnitedInter Miami
12
Major League Soccer21/09/2025
Inter MiamiDC United
32
Major League Soccer24/08/2025
DC UnitedInter Miami
11
Major League Soccer19/05/2024
Inter MiamiDC United
10
Major League Soccer16/03/2024
DC UnitedInter Miami
13
Major League Soccer09/07/2023
DC UnitedInter Miami
22
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
Inter MiamiDC United
12
Major League Soccer18/09/2022
DC UnitedInter Miami
23
Major League Soccer15/05/2022
Inter MiamiDC United
22
Major League Soccer20/06/2021
DC UnitedInter Miami
10

Referee Profile

Lukasz Szpala120 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lukasz Szpala4.28
Other referees4.41

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.41).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Inter Miami vs DC United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter Miami and DC United in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Inter Miami are 3rd in the Major League Soccer, while DC United sit 13th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Inter Miami 75-55, DC United 39-57. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.