Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Atlanta United FC Rest
14 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
14 days
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: the result in context
FC Cincinnati beat Atlanta United FC 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.30
X25%3.90
237%2.70
Double Chance
1X64%1.44
X262%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes66%1.36
No34%2.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.55 = 2.82
Over 1.584%1.10
Over 2.564%1.40
Over 3.544%1.98
Under 1.516%6.72
Under 2.536%2.92
Under 3.556%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.33
Over 9.549%1.61
Over 10.538%2.00
Under 8.536%3.00
Under 9.551%2.21
Under 10.562%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.67
Over 4.539%2.50
Under 3.541%2.10
Under 4.561%1.50
Match Events
2'Teenage HadebeFoul
43'Tomás JacobDissent
52'Kevin DenkeyAssist: Tom Barlow
56'Ajani Fortune INAleksey Miranchuk out
60'David Douděra INEnder Jesús Echenique Peña out
69'Miguel AlmirónAssist: Breel Embolo
72'Tyrell Malacia INBryan Ramirez out
72'Miles Robinson INJulian Malatini out
78'Obinna Nwobodo INTah Anunga out
78'Samuel Mawuena Gidi INGerardo Valenzuela out
84'Tom BarlowAssist: Kyle Smith
86'Giuliano Galoppo INFafà Picault out
86'Tristan Muyumba INCooper Sanchez out
88'Julian MalatiniFoul
90+2'Elías Báez INSergi Santos out
90+4'Tom BarlowArgument
90+4'Mauricio AmaroArgument
90+7'Kevin DenkeyAssist: Ender Jesús Echenique Peña
Lineups
Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati
3-5-2Coach: Pat NoonanAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Hoyos
55T. Jacob
4E. Mihaj
6J. Alonso
3E. Báez
11G. Galoppo
14M. Amaro
8T. Muyumba
10M. Almirón
36B. Embolo
35A. Fortune
13E. Louro
24K. Smith
12M. Robinson
15T. Hadebe
23D. Douděra
11S. Gidi
20P. Bucha
5O. Nwobodo
3T. Malacia
16T. Barlow
9K. DenkeyAtlanta United FC Substitutes
20L. Brennan
48C. Sanchez86'for Tristan Muyumba
27P. Díaz
59A. Miranchuk56'for Ajani Fortune
22F. Picault86'for Giuliano Galoppo
16Adrian Gill
42Jayden Hibbert
19Sergio Santos90+2'for Elías Báez
47Matthew Edwards
FC Cincinnati Substitutes
29Bryan Josías Ramírez León72'for Tyrell Malacia
22G. Valenzuela78'for Samuel Mawuena Gidi
2A. Powell
17K. Mboma Dem
6J. Malatini72'for Miles Robinson88'
4N. Hagglund
27B. Anunga78'for Obinna Nwobodo
18R. Celentano
66E. Echenique60'for David Douděra
Match Stats
Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots2
8Fouls14
7Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
520Total Passes398
433Passes Accurate323
14Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati1520Elo Rating 1592
1.62Attack 1.57
1.28Defense 1.10
37%Hit Rate 44%
15.5Shots per Game 18.1
4.6Shots on Target 6.2
4.8Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atlanta United FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atlanta United FC2Wins · 20%Draws440%
FC Cincinnati4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
21/02/2026FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC20
26/05/2025Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati42
22/03/2025FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC22
16/05/2024FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC10
21/04/2024Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati12
23/10/2023FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC22
31/08/2023Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati12
14/08/2022FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC22
17/04/2022Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati00
07/11/2021FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC12
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC4W3D3L
27/09/2026Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC
DC UnitedAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC22
D20/09/2026Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC01
W13/09/2026DC UnitedAtlanta United FC00
D10/09/2026Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC23
L06/09/2026Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC22
D30/08/2026Atlanta United FCCharlotte02
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
W20/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC12
W16/08/2026Atlanta United FCNew York Red Bulls21
W02/08/2026Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC32
LFC Cincinnati2W4D4L
27/09/2026
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati
Houston DynamoFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiCharlottePhiladelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
Nashville SCFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Seattle SoundersFC CincinnatiNew York City FC
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati31
L20/09/2026Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati22
D13/09/2026FC CincinnatiCharlotte33
D10/09/2026Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati50
L30/08/2026Nashville SCFC Cincinnati40
L23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
W16/08/2026Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati11
D12/08/2026FC Cincinnati
Atlas
FC CincinnatiAtlas12
L08/08/2026FC Cincinnati
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas20
WReferee Profile
4.18Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City 02/10/26
- Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps 07/10/26
- Toronto FC vs CF Montreal 10/10/26
- Chicago Fire vs New York City FC 10/10/26
- Inter Miami vs DC United 11/10/26
- Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew 11/10/26
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders 11/10/26
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake 11/10/26
About the Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, FC Cincinnati are 8th and Atlanta United FC 14th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlanta United FC 40-56, FC Cincinnati 66-73. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.