Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 27
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+1.1%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.68
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Atlanta United FC Rest
6 days
New York City FC Rest
8 days
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC: result, form and history
Atlanta United FC and New York City FC drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.51
X27%3.60
235%2.60
Double Chance
1X65%1.44
X262%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.53
No40%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.09 = 2.47
Over 1.578%1.19
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.534%2.58
Under 1.522%4.50
Under 2.544%2.23
Under 3.566%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.561%1.47
Over 9.550%1.83
Over 10.539%2.27
Under 8.539%2.50
Under 9.550%1.89
Under 10.561%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.554%1.52
Over 4.534%2.10
Under 3.546%2.44
Under 4.566%1.68
Match Events
5'Matthew EdwardsOG
10'Giuliano GaloppoAssist: Tomás Jacob
43'Luke BrennanPersistent infringement
55'Tomás Jacob IND. Chica out
56'Andrés PereaAssist: Agustin Ojeda
67'Bénie Adama Traoré INLuighi Hanri Sousa Santos out
67'Cooper Sanchez INAjani Fortune out
68'Gerardo Daniel MartinoDissent
74'Ajani FortuneAssist: Tristan Muyumba
80'Nico Cavallo INKevin O'Toole out
86'Giuliano Galoppo INSteven Alzate out
86'Tristan Muyumba INCameron Dunbar out
90+5'Raul BicalhoDissent
Lineups
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
4-2-3-1Coach: P. JansenAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Hoyos
47M. Edwards
55T. Jacob
4E. Mihaj
3E. Báez
11G. Galoppo
14M. Amaro
8T. Muyumba
20L. Brennan
36B. Embolo
48C. Sanchez
30T. Romero
6J. Sands
13T. Martins
34R. Gustavo
2N. Cavallo
8A. Perea
32J. Shore
26A. Ojeda
7N. Fernández Mercau
17H. Wolf
9B. TraoréAtlanta United FC Substitutes
35A. Fortune67'for Cooper Sanchez74'
16Adrian Gill
19Sergio Santos
42Jayden Hibbert
7S. Alzate86'for Giuliano Galoppo
70C. Dunbar86'for Tristan Muyumba
28William Reilly
30C. Togashi
44D. Chica55'for Tomás Jacob
New York City FC Substitutes
22K. O'Toole80'for Nico Cavallo
23Maxwell Murray
16A. Martínez
88M. Jones
20Luighi Hanri67'for Bénie Adama Traoré
3M. Miazga
27C. Flax
18G. Ranjitsingh
15K. Pierre
Match Stats
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC 50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots2
14Fouls14
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
505Total Passes467
424Passes Accurate406
13Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC1497Elo Rating 1586
1.56Attack 1.33
0.77Defense 1.46
17%Hit Rate 27%
16.3Shots per Game 13.4
4.7Shots on Target 5.5
4.4Corners per Game 6.0
3.0Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atlanta United FC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York City FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atlanta United FC1Wins · 10%Draws660%
New York City FC3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%3.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
13/06/2025New York City FCAtlanta United FC40
30/03/2025Atlanta United FCNew York City FC43
18/07/2024Atlanta United FCNew York City FC22
07/04/2024New York City FCAtlanta United FC11
22/06/2023Atlanta United FCNew York City FC22
09/04/2023New York City FCAtlanta United FC11
09/10/2022Atlanta United FCNew York City FC12
03/07/2022New York City FCAtlanta United FC22
21/11/2021New York City FCAtlanta United FC20
21/10/2021Atlanta United FCNew York City FC11
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC4W2D4L
20/09/2026
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC
DC UnitedAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC01
W13/09/2026DC UnitedAtlanta United FC00
D10/09/2026Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC23
L06/09/2026Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC22
D30/08/2026Atlanta United FCCharlotte02
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
W20/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC12
W16/08/2026Atlanta United FCNew York Red Bulls21
W02/08/2026Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC32
L26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC41
LNew York City FC1W3D6L
19/09/2026New York City FCNew York Red Bulls
Real Salt LakeNew York City FCNew York City FCNew England RevolutionNew York City FC
Nashville SC
Toronto FCNew York City FCNew England RevolutionNew York City FC
FC CincinnatiNew York City FCNew York City FCPhiladelphia Union
Cruz AzulNew York City FC
New York City FCNew York Red Bulls01
L13/09/2026Real Salt LakeNew York City FC02
W10/09/2026New York City FCNew England Revolution12
L05/09/2026New York City FCNashville SC00
D30/08/2026Toronto FCNew York City FC11
D23/08/2026New England RevolutionNew York City FC11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
L17/08/2026New York City FCPhiladelphia Union23
L14/08/2026New York City FC
Necaxa
10/08/2026New York City FCNecaxa12
LCruz AzulNew York City FC21
LReferee Profile
4.37Cards per match
4.26Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).
Cards come from 57 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69:25 | +44 | 74 | WDWDW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77:56 | +21 | 59 | WDLWW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55:46 | +9 | 58 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61:50 | +11 | 55 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Charlotte | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63:48 | +15 | 53 | WWLDL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62:51 | +11 | 47 | LDLDW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67:73 | -6 | 46 | WDWWL |
| 8 |  Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55:49 | +6 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62:78 | -16 | 43 | LDDWD |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45:62 | -17 | 39 | LLWLL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48:45 | +3 | 39 | DWDDL |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51:63 | -12 | 39 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43:57 | -14 | 33 | WLLLW |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39:60 | -21 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37:67 | -30 | 26 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 77:56 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 55:46 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 61:50 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 33 | 63:48 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 62:51 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 67:73 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 55:49 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 62:78 | 43 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 33 | 48:45 | 39 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 51:63 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 43:57 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 39:60 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 37:67 | 26 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire 20/09/26
- Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC 20/09/26
- Inter Miami vs San Diego 21/09/26
- Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake 24/09/26
- Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC 27/09/26
- CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati 27/09/26
- Charlotte vs Chicago Fire 27/09/26
- FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC 27/09/26
About the Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atlanta United FC and New York City FC in the Major League Soccer table
New York City FC and Atlanta United FC are close in the Major League Soccer table, 11th and 13th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Atlanta United FC 43-57, New York City FC 48-45. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.