FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 25
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
FC Cincinnati Rest
2 days
Charlotte Rest
3 days
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte: the result in context
FC Cincinnati and Charlotte drew 3-3 in the Major League Soccer on 13 Sep 2026. Charlotte had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for FC Cincinnati.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.02
X28%4.15
224%3.00
Double Chance
1X75%1.34
X252%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.35
No43%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1 = 2.64
Over 1.576%1.10
Over 2.559%1.36
Over 3.535%1.91
Under 1.524%6.50
Under 2.541%3.10
Under 3.565%1.86
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.25
Over 9.553%1.47
Over 10.540%1.75
Under 8.535%3.58
Under 9.547%2.57
Under 10.560%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.551%1.60
Over 4.532%2.17
Under 3.549%2.25
Under 4.568%1.64
Match Events
2'Pavel BuchaAssist: Tom Barlow
7'Liel Abada
17'Pep Biel(Penalty)
44'Liel Abada INRodolfo Aloko out
51'Kevin DenkeyAssist: Andrei Chirilă
55'Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: Rodolfo Aloko
56'Tom Barlow INBryan Ramirez out
70'Luca De La Torre INBrandt Bronico out
74'Andrei Chirilă INKristian Fletcher out
74'Nick Hagglund INTeenage Hadebe out
76'Samuel Mawuena GidiFoul
77'Will Cleary INMorrison Agyemang out
78'Idan Toklomati Jorno INTyger Smalls out
81'Kenji Mboma DemFoul
83'Rodolfo AlokoFoul
85'Samuel Mawuena Gidi INKyle Smith out
85'Kenji Mboma Dem INAyoub Jabbari out
90+1'Kevin DenkeyAssist: Bryan Ramirez
Lineups
FC CincinnatiCharlotte
4-3-3Coach: D. SmithAvg ratingAvg rating
18R. Celentano
12M. Robinson
4N. Hagglund
88A. Chirila
66E. Echenique
20P. Bucha
11S. Gidi
22G. Valenzuela
17K. Mboma Dem
9K. Denkey
16T. Barlow
1K. Kahlina
35W. Cleary
22H. Kessler
3T. Ream
14N. Byrne
28D. Diani
16P. Biel
17L. de la Torre
11L. Abada
9I. Toklomati Giorno
10A. Saint-MaximinFC Cincinnati Substitutes
19Stefan Chirila
14K. Fletcher74'for Andrei Chirilă
15T. Hadebe74'for Nick Hagglund
99A. Jabbari85'for Kenji Mboma Dem
13E. Louro
2A. Powell
29Bryan Josías Ramírez León56'for Tom Barlow
24K. Smith85'for Samuel Mawuena Gidi
Charlotte Substitutes
37R. Aloko44'for Liel Abada83'
13B. Bronico70'for Luca De La Torre
20B. Coulibaly
21T. Miller
39J. Neeley
4A. Privett
25Tyger Smalls78'for Idan Toklomati Jorno
44M. Agyemang77'for Will Cleary
71N. Richmond
Match Stats
FC CincinnatiCharlotte 69%Ball Possession31%
12Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
29Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal3
18Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots1
6Fouls10
1Goalkeeper Saves7
649Total Passes291
585Passes Accurate239
90%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiCharlotte1592Elo Rating 1658
1.57Attack 1.63
1.10Defense 1.08
44%Hit Rate 34%
18.1Shots per Game 12.3
6.2Shots on Target 4.1
5.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Charlotte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
FC Cincinnati2Wins · 22%Draws333%
Charlotte4Wins · 45%
4Wins · 45%2.7Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
10/05/2026CharlotteFC Cincinnati22
11/08/2025FC CincinnatiCharlotte01
16/03/2025CharlotteFC Cincinnati20
14/07/2024FC CincinnatiCharlotte13
31/03/2024CharlotteFC Cincinnati11
24/09/2023FC CincinnatiCharlotte30
09/07/2023CharlotteFC Cincinnati22
04/09/2022FC CincinnatiCharlotte20
26/03/2022CharlotteFC Cincinnati20
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati4W2D4L
10/09/2026
Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
Nashville SCFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Seattle SoundersFC Cincinnati
New York City FCFC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati50
L30/08/2026Nashville SCFC Cincinnati40
L23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
W16/08/2026
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati11
D12/08/2026FC Cincinnati
Atlas
FC CincinnatiAtlas12
L08/08/2026FC Cincinnati
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas20
W05/08/2026FC Cincinnati
CF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
WFC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes42
W26/07/2026Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati21
LCharlotte6W2D2L
10/09/2026
CF MontrealCharlotteCharlotte
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United FCCharlotteCharlotte
DC UnitedCharlotteColumbus CrewCharlotteAtlas
Chicago FireCharlotte
CF MontrealCharlotte12
W06/09/2026CharlotteHouston Dynamo00
D30/08/2026Atlanta United FCCharlotte02
W23/08/2026CharlotteDC United31
W20/08/2026
Toronto FCCharlotte
16/08/2026Toronto FCCharlotte33
DCharlotteColumbus Crew31
W12/08/2026CharlotteCF Pachuca
08/08/2026CharlotteCF Pachuca01
LCharlotteAtlas20
W05/08/2026CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02/08/2026CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas30
WChicago FireCharlotte21
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls 10/09/26
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy 10/09/26
- San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes 10/09/26
- Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City 10/09/26
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC 13/09/26
- Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls 13/09/26
- Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC 13/09/26
- DC United vs Atlanta United FC 13/09/26
About the FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Cincinnati and Charlotte in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and FC Cincinnati 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Cincinnati 66-73, Charlotte 59-48. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.