Charlotte vs DC United Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
Charlotte Rest
3 days
DC United Rest
3 days
Charlotte vs DC United: result, form and history
Charlotte beat DC United 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for DC United.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.77
X22%3.88
223%4.30
Double Chance
1X78%1.20
X245%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.59
No32%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.99 = 3.22
Over 1.589%1.20
Over 2.569%1.63
Over 3.546%2.58
Under 1.511%4.45
Under 2.531%2.25
Under 3.554%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.45
Over 9.547%1.79
Over 10.535%2.19
Under 8.541%2.55
Under 9.553%1.95
Under 10.565%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3 = 5.1
Over 3.569%1.42
Over 4.555%1.83
Under 3.531%2.60
Under 4.545%1.89
Match Events
34'K. Kurokawa
44'S. Hefti
55'L. MunteanuAssist: Peglow
64'D. Schnegg
65'L. de la Torre INB. Bronico out
65'R. Aloko INL. Abada out
65'A. Westwood IND. Diani out
66'W. ClearyAssist: P. Biel
68'Peglow
75'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
75'K. Nono INH. Kijima out
75'J. Hopkins INN. Ordaz out
75'B. Servania INN. Markovic out
77'P. BielAssist: L. Abada
83'A. Saint-Maximin INT. Smalls out
85'T. Smalls
86'Peglow INJ. Stroud out
90+4'P. Biel
Lineups
CharlotteDC United
Coach: Rene WeilerCharlotte Starting XI
1K. Kahlina
35W. Cleary66'
44M. Agyemang
22H. Kessler
23D. Schnegg64'
8A. Westwood65'replaced by D. Diani
17L. de la Torre65'replaced by B. Bronico
37R. Aloko65'replaced by L. Abada
16P. Biel77'90+4'
10A. Saint-Maximin83'replaced by T. Smalls
9I. Toklomati75'replaced by A. Goodwin
DC United Starting XI
1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti44'
3L. Bartlett
21A. Dozzell
6K. Kurokawa34'
2K. Nono75'replaced by H. Kijima
4M. Peltola
23B. Servania75'replaced by N. Markovic
7Peglow68'86'replaced by J. Stroud
25J. Hopkins75'replaced by N. Ordaz
11L. Munteanu55'
Charlotte Substitutes
21T. Miller
3T. Ream
14N. Byrne
4A. Privett
13B. Bronico65'for L. de la Torre
28D. Diani65'for A. Westwood
7A. Goodwin75'for I. Toklomati
25T. Smalls83'for A. Saint-Maximin85'
11L. Abada65'for R. Aloko
DC United Substitutes
26A. Bono
13S. Nealis
27N. Markovic75'for B. Servania
77H. Kijima75'for K. Nono
8J. Stroud86'for Peglow
22N. Ordaz75'for J. Hopkins
9T. Baribo
Match Stats
CharlotteDC United 61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
15Fouls11
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
496Total Passes310
413Passes Accurate236
83%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
CharlotteDC United1658Elo Rating 1487
1.63Attack 1.31
1.08Defense 0.26
34%Hit Rate 19%
12.3Shots per Game 13.3
4.1Shots on Target 3.8
5.0Corners per Game 6.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+171 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend22% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Charlotte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DC United- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Charlotte5Wins · 56%Draws222%
DC United2Wins · 22%
2Wins · 22%2.3Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9
Previous meetings
04/10/2025DC UnitedCharlotte01
17/07/2025CharlotteDC United21
22/05/2025DC UnitedCharlotte2212
21/10/2024DC UnitedCharlotte03
16/06/2024CharlotteDC United10
17/09/2023CharlotteDC United00
30/04/2023DC UnitedCharlotte30
04/08/2022CharlotteDC United30
27/02/2022DC UnitedCharlotte30
Recent Form
Charlotte6W2D2L
20/08/2026
Toronto FCCharlotte
16/08/2026Toronto FCCharlotte33
DCharlotte
Columbus Crew31
W12/08/2026Charlotte
CF Pachuca
08/08/2026CharlotteCF Pachuca01
LCharlotte
Atlas20
W05/08/2026Charlotte
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
02/08/2026CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas30
W
Chicago FireCharlotte21
L26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte02
W23/07/2026Charlotte
Atlanta United FC22
D24/05/2026Charlotte
New England Revolution
CharlotteNew England Revolution10
W17/05/2026CharlotteToronto FC
CharlotteToronto FC31
WDC United2W6D2L
20/08/2026DC UnitedNew England Revolution
CF MontrealDC UnitedDC United
Nashville SCDC UnitedToronto FC
Houston DynamoDC United
DC UnitedNew England Revolution03
L16/08/2026CF MontrealDC United11
D02/08/2026DC UnitedNashville SC22
D26/07/2026DC UnitedToronto FC21
W23/07/2026Houston DynamoDC United11
D24/05/2026DC UnitedCF Montreal
DC UnitedCF Montreal44
D17/05/2026DC United
St. Louis City
DC UnitedSt. Louis City11
D14/05/2026DC UnitedChicago Fire
DC UnitedChicago Fire13
L10/05/2026Nashville SCDC United
Nashville SCDC United22
D03/05/2026
New York City FCDC United
New York City FCDC United02
WReferee Profile
4.37Cards per match
4.21Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).
Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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About the Charlotte vs DC United forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Charlotte and DC United in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and DC United 13th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte 59-48, DC United 39-57. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.