Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 16
Chicago Fire
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Soldier Field, Chicago·Serhiy Boiko 07/10/2026
Chicago FireChicago Fire
3-1
Finished
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Chicago Fire Rest
10 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
9 days

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the result in context

Chicago Fire beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 7 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.88
X
25%3.85
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.62
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.38
No
32%2.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.68 = 3.18
Over 1.5
84%1.13
Over 2.5
66%1.43
Over 3.5
44%2.10
Under 1.5
16%5.75
Under 2.5
34%2.70
Under 3.5
56%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
65%1.57
Over 9.5
54%2.00
Over 10.5
44%2.60
Under 8.5
35%2.25
Under 9.5
46%1.73
Under 10.5
56%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.56
Over 4.5
49%2.19
Under 3.5
32%2.36
Under 4.5
51%1.64

Match Events

9'Jonathan BambaAssist: Anton Saletros
19'Philip ZinckernagelFoul
27'Philip Zinckernagel(Penalty missed)
45'Aleksa Cvetkovic INThomas Müller out
45'Anton Saletros INMauricio Pineda out
50'Philip ZinckernagelAssist: Maren Haile-Selassie
55'Jonathan DeanFoul
57'Emmanuel Sabbi INBruno Caicedo out
58'Cheikh Sabaly INYadaly Diaby out
61'Tate JohnsonFoul
73'Mathías LabordaAssist: Oliver Love Larraz
73'Tate Johnson INSam Adekugbe out
76'Philip Zinckernagel INPuso Dithejane out
76'Jonathan Bamba INRobert Lewandowski out
88'Maren Haile-SelassieAssist: Robert Lewandowski
89'Oliver Love Larraz INRayan Elloumi out
90+3'Johan Arath Gomez INDavid Poreba out

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-4-2Coach: G. Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Sørensen
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.27
J. Cohen6.344J. Cohen
J. Dean6.124J. Dean
J. Elliott6.93J. Elliott
M. Mbokazi6.94M. Mbokazi
Leonardo Barroso6.82L. Barroso
P. Zinckernagel7.711P. Zinckernagel
A. Salétros6.66A. Salétros
T. D'Avilla7.042T. D'Avilla
J. Bamba7.619J. Bamba
M. Haile-Selassie9.07M. Haile-Selassie
J. Gómez6.418J. Gómez
Y. Takaoka5.81Y. Takaoka
Rui Modesto5.870R. Modesto
M. Laborda6.92M. Laborda
T. Blackmon6.633T. Blackmon
T. Johnson6.228T. Johnson
O. Larraz6.58O. Larraz
A. Cvetković5.923A. Cvetković
C. Sabaly5.77C. Sabaly
R. Gauld6.125R. Gauld
E. Sabbi6.111E. Sabbi
B. White6.824B. White

Chicago Fire Substitutes

5S. Rogers
15A. Gutman
25J. Gal
12P. Dithejane76'for Philip Zinckernagel6.9
21A. Hanche-Olsen
9R. Lewandowski76'for Jonathan Bamba7.0
35S. Oregel
22M. Pineda45'for Anton Saletros6.5
29D. Poręba90+3'for Johan Arath Gomez

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

32I. Boehmer
14Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez57'for Emmanuel Sabbi6.7
77Y. Diaby58'for Cheikh Sabaly6.4
41N. Djordjevic
19R. Elloumi89'for Oliver Love Larraz6.3
13T. Müller45'for Aleksa Cvetkovic6.4
15S. Ramíirez
3S. Adekugbe73'for Tate Johnson6.2
4R. Veselinović

Match Stats

Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots7
8Fouls11
3Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
445Total Passes473
357Passes Accurate371
10Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
1643Elo Rating 1669
1.26Attack 1.32
1.68Defense 1.62
50%Hit Rate 27%
15.9Shots per Game 13.1
5.6Shots on Target 3.0
5.1Corners per Game 6.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps1Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/03/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsChicago Fire
13
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps
01
Major League Soccer24/07/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsChicago Fire
13

Recent Form

Chicago FireChicago Fire
3W4D3L
27/09/2026
CharlotteChicago Fire
01
W20/09/2026
Nashville SCChicago Fire
30
L13/09/2026
Chicago FireNew England Revolution
12
L10/09/2026
Chicago FireInter Miami
11
D06/09/2026
Toronto FCChicago Fire
44
D29/08/2026
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
22
D
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
L
23/08/2026
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
11
D
20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
W
17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
21
W
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
4W2D4L
27/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsDC United
33
D20/09/2026
Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
03
W
17/09/2026
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
21
L
14/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
12
L10/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
30
W
06/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City
13
L
03/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
11
D
30/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
03
W23/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas
50
W20/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
01
L

Referee Profile

Serhiy Boiko3 matches analysed

4.63Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
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About the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.