San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers Prediction

Avaya Stadium, San Jose·Lorenzo Hernandez 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.3%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
7 days
Portland Timbers Rest
7 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers: result, form and history

San Jose Earthquakes beat Portland Timbers 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.95
X
24%4.00
2
29%3.30
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.32
No
32%3.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.2 = 2.90
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
66%1.33
Over 3.5
45%1.84
Under 1.5
15%7.50
Under 2.5
34%3.23
Under 3.5
55%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.57
Over 9.5
48%2.00
Over 10.5
36%2.50
Under 8.5
40%2.25
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
64%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.55
Over 4.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
36%2.39
Under 4.5
55%1.67

Match Events

4'Preston JuddAssist: Eduard Löwen
24'Eduard LöwenAssist: Beau Leroux
29'Preston JuddAssist: Paul Marie
30'Preston Judd
40'Reid RobertsFoul
45'Paul Marie INBenjamin Kikanovic out
67'Timo Werner INNick Fernandez out
67'Jímer Fory INIan Smith out
67'Cole Bassett INEric Izoita out
67'Ariel Lassiter INAntony out
76'Eric MillerFoul
76'Preston Judd INLuka Jovanovic out
76'Vitor Costa INJamar Ricketts out
79'Vincent Janssen INGage Guerra out
86'David Da CostaAssist: Eric Izoita
87'Beau Leroux INJack·Skahan out
88'Eric Miller INAlexander Aravena out

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
5-3-2Coach: B. Arena
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.41
E. Edwards7.436E. Edwards
P. Marie7.33P. Marie
D. Munie7.25D. Munie
D. Romney7.14D. Romney
R. Roberts6.518R. Roberts
Vítor Costa7.287V. Costa
E. Löwen9.023E. Löwen
I. Harkes6.96I. Harkes
Beau Leroux7.034B. Leroux
P. Judd9.419P. Judd
T. Werner6.111T. Werner
J. Pantemis6.941J. Pantemis
R. Hernández6.212R. Hernández
E. Miller5.915E. Miller
K. Miller6.14K. Miller
J. Fory6.427J. Fory
C. Bassett6.517C. Bassett
D. Chará6.521D. Chará
A. Lassiter6.47A. Lassiter
David Pereira da Costa8.210D. Pereira da Costa
K. Velde5.999K. Velde
V. Janssen6.414V. Janssen

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

16J. Skahan87'for Beau Leroux6.4
40J. Gónzalez
25M. Floriani
20N. Fernandez67'for Timo Werner6.5
17Jack Jasinski
9L. Jovanović76'for Preston Judd6.7
28B. Kikanovic45'for Paul Marie6.9
31Francesco Montali
2J. Ricketts76'for Vitor Costa6.7

Portland Timbers Substitutes

11Antony67'for Ariel Lassiter6.8
28A. Aravena88'for Eric Miller6.7
6A. Bonetig
88Andrew Guerra79'for Vincent Janssen6.3
73Eric Izoita67'for Cole Bassett6.0
16S. Jura
80J. Ortiz
23Ian Smith67'for Jímer Fory5.6
26H. Sulte

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots6
8Fouls11
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
457Total Passes543
385Passes Accurate475
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
1616Elo Rating 1548
1.47Attack 0.75
1.86Defense 1.32
17%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 13.1
4.2Shots on Target 4.2
5.7Corners per Game 3.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
13
Major League Soccer14/06/2025
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
11
US Open Cup21/05/2025
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
1000
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
41
Major League Soccer20/06/2024
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
12
Major League Soccer16/05/2024
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
42
Major League Soccer21/09/2023
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer18/06/2023
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
00
Major League Soccer24/07/2022
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer19/05/2022
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
32

Referee Profile

Lorenzo Hernandez95 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lorenzo Hernandez4.62
Other referees4.31

4.62 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th and Portland Timbers 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: San Jose Earthquakes 52-45, Portland Timbers 57-60. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.