San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

PayPal Park, Santa Clara·D. Fischer 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
6 days
Los Angeles FC Rest
6 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC: the result in context

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 10.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.10
X
24%3.88
2
38%2.08
Double Chance
1X
61%1.67
X2
62%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.43
No
35%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.29 = 2.83
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.48
Over 3.5
40%2.20
Under 1.5
17%5.96
Under 2.5
38%2.63
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.54
Over 9.5
47%1.95
Over 10.5
37%2.39
Under 8.5
39%2.34
Under 9.5
53%1.78
Under 10.5
63%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.52
Over 4.5
37%2.02
Under 3.5
43%2.45
Under 4.5
63%1.73

Match Events

34'Son Heung-MinAssist: M. Delgado
37'A. Long
46'D. Munie INVitor Costa out
46'J. Ricketts INP. Judd out
46'A. Sieb INNkosi Tafari out
53'D. BouangaAssist: Son Heung-Min
62'O. Bouda INT. Werner out
62'B. Kikanovic INP. Marie out
66'P. Judd
70'P. Judd
73'Goal Disallowed - FoulSon Heung-Min
75'S. Palencia
78'R. Vieira INJ. Skahan out
79'M. Choiniere INT. Boyd out
86'D. Bouanga INJ. Shaffelburg out
90+2'Son Heung-Min INJ. Ebobisse out
90+6'N. Tsakiris
90+8'R. RobertsAssist: B. Leroux

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: Bruce Arena
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.84
Angus Gunn6.21A. Gunn
Daniel Munie6.75D. Munie
Dave Romney7.34D. Romney
Reid Roberts7.318R. Roberts
Benjamin Kikanović6.328B. Kikanović
Ronaldo VieiraC6.614R. Vieira
Eduard Löwen7.723E. Löwen
Jamar Ricketts6.52J. Ricketts
Niko Tsakiris7.210N. Tsakiris
Beau Leroux7.334B. Leroux
Ousseni Bouda7.07O. Bouda
Hugo Lloris8.91H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia6.914S. Palencia
Ryan Porteous7.35R. Porteous
Aaron LongC5.233A. Long
Yevhen Cheberko7.023Y. Cheberko
Mathieu Choinière6.366M. Choinière
Eddie Segura6.74E. Segura
Mark Delgado7.08M. Delgado
Armindo Sieb6.09A. Sieb
Son Heung-min7.97S. Heung-min
Denis Bouanga7.399D. Bouanga

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

87Vitor Costa46'for D. Munie6.9
19Preston Judd46'for J. Ricketts66'70'7.2
11Timo Werner62'for O. Bouda7.7
3Paul Marie62'for B. Kikanovic6.3
16Jack Skahan78'for R. Vieira6.5
36Earl Edwards Jr
17Jack Jasinski
6Ian Harkes
20Nick Fernandez

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

91Nkosi Tafari46'for A. Sieb6.6
19Tyler Boyd79'for M. Choiniere6.3
18Jacob Shaffelburg86'for D. Bouanga6.3
31Cabral Carter
24Ryan Hollingshead
22Jude Terry
21Leo Walta
17Jeremy Ebobisse90+2'for Son Heung-Min

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
69%Ball Possession31%
15Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots3
9Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal0
10Shots Inside Box1
11Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots1
8Fouls7
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
648Total Passes297
565Passes Accurate227
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
1616Elo Rating 1655
1.47Attack 1.43
1.86Defense 1.86
17%Hit Rate 23%
14.3Shots per Game 13.2
4.2Shots on Target 4.9
5.7Corners per Game 4.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC5Wins · 50%
4.1Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer20/04/2026
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
14
Major League Soccer14/09/2025
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
24
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer20/10/2024
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
31
Major League Soccer23/06/2024
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
62
Major League Soccer05/05/2024
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
31
Major League Soccer09/07/2023
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
11
Major League Soccer21/05/2023
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
21
Major League Soccer21/08/2022
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
21

Referee Profile

D. Fischer144 matches

4.10Cards per match
3.92Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Fischer4.10
Other referees4.19

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer table

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC are close in the Major League Soccer table, 5th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: San Jose Earthquakes 54-47, Los Angeles FC 50-35. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.