San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

PayPal Park, San Jose 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+1.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
3 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
3 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo: result, form and history

San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.39
X
29%3.50
2
33%2.73
Double Chance
1X
67%1.42
X2
62%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.53
No
34%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.21 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.66
Over 3.5
35%2.64
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
42%2.15
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
59%1.67
Over 9.5
46%2.08
Over 10.5
36%2.71
Under 8.5
41%2.10
Under 9.5
54%1.68
Under 10.5
64%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.41
Over 4.5
41%1.84
Under 3.5
39%2.74
Under 4.5
59%1.88

Match Events

1'Ronaldo VieiraFoul
3'Bruce ArenaDissent
19'Beau LerouxFoul
38'Daniel MunieAssist: Beau Leroux
65'Diadie Samassekou INHéctor Herrera out
69'Beau Leroux INNick Fernandez out
69'N.Tsakiris INIan Harkes out
75'Agustin ReschFoul
77'Ibrahim Aliyu INNick Markanich out
78'Duncan McGuire INMatthew Arana out
82'Eduard Löwen INJack·Skahan out
82'Ousseni Bouda INLuka Jovanovic out
85'Felipe·De Andrade Vieira INFranco Negri out
90'Benjamin KikanovicPersistent infringement

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. Arena
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.45
A. Gunn7.51A. Gunn
Jack Jasinski7.017J. Jasinski
D. Munie7.85D. Munie
D. Romney7.14D. Romney
B. Kikanovic6.628B. Kikanovic
R. Vieira6.414R. Vieira
E. Löwen6.723E. Löwen
J. Ricketts6.62J. Ricketts
N. Tsakiris6.510N. Tsakiris
Beau Leroux7.334B. Leroux
O. Bouda6.37O. Bouda
J. Bond6.131J. Bond
Felipe Andrade6.536F. Andrade
Lucas Halter6.45L. Halter
A. Resch6.834A. Resch
L. Ennali6.911L. Ennali
Artur7.26Artur
D. Samassékou6.618D. Samassékou
A. Ibrahim6.224A. Ibrahim
M. Bogusz6.519M. Bogusz
Guilherme6.120Guilherme
D. McGuire6.323D. McGuire

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

21N. Buck
20N. Fernandez69'for Beau Leroux6.1
40J. Gónzalez
6I. Harkes69'for N.Tsakiris6.2
9L. Jovanović82'for Ousseni Bouda6.4
3P. Marie
31Francesco Montali
16J. Skahan82'for Eduard Löwen6.1
87Vítor Costa

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

30A. Bouzat
26B. Gillingham
16H. Herrera65'for Diadie Samassekou6.7
14D. Holmes
17N. Markanich77'for Ibrahim Aliyu6.3
21F. Negri85'for Felipe·De Andrade Vieira5.9
37G. Rivera
22M. Arana78'for Duncan McGuire6.3
3Antônio Carlos

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
38%Ball Possession62%
1Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
17Fouls14
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves0
337Total Passes576
282Passes Accurate512
84%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1616Elo Rating 1611
1.47Attack 1.90
1.86Defense 0.77
17%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 12.6
4.2Shots on Target 3.4
5.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo5Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer30/08/2026
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
00
Major League Soccer24/08/2025
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
12
Major League Soccer25/05/2025
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
33
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
01
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer22/06/2023
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
41
Major League Soccer02/04/2023
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer18/07/2022
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
12
Major League Soccer10/04/2022
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
43
Major League Soccer25/07/2021
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
11

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes (4th) and Houston Dynamo (5th) are level on 48 points. League goal record so far: San Jose Earthquakes 52-45, Houston Dynamo 41-39. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.