Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 27
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.23
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
7 days
DC United Rest
7 days
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United: the result in context
Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United drew 3-3 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
173%1.23
X17%6.50
210%10.56
Double Chance
1X90%1.05
X227%4.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.76
No45%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 1.02 = 3.25
Over 1.586%1.09
Over 2.568%1.34
Over 3.547%1.91
Under 1.514%7.00
Under 2.532%3.10
Under 3.553%1.86
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 10
Over 8.565%1.33
Over 9.554%1.55
Over 10.542%1.95
Under 8.535%3.00
Under 9.546%2.29
Under 10.558%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.65
Over 4.548%2.19
Under 3.533%2.15
Under 4.552%1.65
Match Events
16'Kimito NonoAssist: Nathan Ordaz
23'Kye RowlesArgument
25'Brian White
45'Jackson Hopkins INNikola Marković out
45+3'Bruno CaicedoAssist: Thomas Müller
65'Lucas BartlettAssist: Keisuke Kurokawa
67'Emmanuel Sabbi INRyan Gauld out
70'João Gabriel Martins Peglow INJared Stroud out
70'Silvan Hefti INBrandon Servania out
72'Thomas MüllerAssist: Aleksa Cvetkovic
80'Kimito NonoAssist: Hosei Kijima
85'Oliver Love Larraz INJohnny Selemani out
85'Rui Modesto INSam Adekugbe out
86'Nathan Ordaz INSean Nealis out
86'Hosei Kijima INWilliam Antley out
Lineups
Vancouver WhitecapsDC United
4-4-2Coach: R. WeilerAvg ratingAvg rating
1Y. Takaoka
70R. Modesto
33T. Blackmon
2M. Laborda
28T. Johnson
23A. Cvetković
8O. Larraz
11E. Sabbi
13T. Müller
14B. Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
24B. White
1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti
3L. Bartlett
15K. Rowles
6K. Kurokawa
2K. Nono
25J. Hopkins
21A. Dozzell
77H. Kijima
22N. Ordaz
7PeglowVancouver Whitecaps Substitutes
32I. Boehmer
3S. Adekugbe85'for Rui Modesto
25R. Gauld67'for Emmanuel Sabbi
41N. Djordjevic
22K. Poku
15S. Ramíirez
49V. Sedin
63Johnny Selemani85'for Oliver Love Larraz
4R. Veselinović
DC United Substitutes
23B. Servania70'for Silvan Hefti
8J. Stroud70'for João Gabriel Martins Peglow
13S. Nealis86'for Nathan Ordaz
27Nikola Markovic45'for Jackson Hopkins
20Grant Leveille
40K. Castillo
26A. Bono
12C. Antley86'for Hosei Kijima
48Gavin Turner
Match Stats
Vancouver WhitecapsDC United 63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks10
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots21
9Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots6
10Fouls10
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
550Total Passes309
469Passes Accurate223
10Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Vancouver WhitecapsDC United1669Elo Rating 1487
1.32Attack 1.31
1.62Defense 0.26
27%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 13.3
3.0Shots on Target 3.8
6.6Corners per Game 6.6
2.0Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vancouver Whitecaps- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
DC United- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Vancouver Whitecaps0Wins · 0%Draws1100%
DC United0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
01/10/2023Vancouver WhitecapsDC United22
Recent Form
Vancouver Whitecaps5W1D4L
20/09/2026
Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps03
W17/09/2026
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
14/09/2026CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps21
LVancouver WhitecapsAustin12
L10/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy30
W06/09/2026Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City13
L03/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
30/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal11
DSporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
W23/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas50
W20/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo01
L17/08/2026Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps02
WDC United2W5D3L
20/09/2026DC United
CharlotteDC United
Atlanta United FCDC United
Columbus CrewDC United
Los Angeles FCCharlotteDC UnitedDC United
New England RevolutionCF MontrealDC UnitedDC United
Nashville SCDC United
Toronto FCHouston DynamoDC United
DC UnitedCharlotte12
L13/09/2026DC UnitedAtlanta United FC00
D10/09/2026DC UnitedColumbus Crew21
W30/08/2026DC UnitedLos Angeles FC00
D23/08/2026CharlotteDC United31
L20/08/2026DC UnitedNew England Revolution03
L16/08/2026CF MontrealDC United11
D02/08/2026DC UnitedNashville SC22
D26/07/2026DC UnitedToronto FC21
W23/07/2026Houston DynamoDC United11
DReferee Profile
4.18Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:39 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:41 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 63:32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 52:45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 42:41 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Nashville SC vs Toronto FC 27/09/26
- Austin vs San Diego 27/09/26
- Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City 27/09/26
- Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution 27/09/26
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids 27/09/26
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers 27/09/26
- Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami 28/09/26
- New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City 01/10/26
About the Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.