Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction

Nashville SC
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
Geodis Park, Nashville·Ramy Touchan 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Nashville SC Rest
6 days
Toronto FC Rest
7 days

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: result, form and history

Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Ramy Touchan averages 5.24 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.39
X
20%5.00
2
13%6.96
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
33%2.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 1.05 = 3.15
Over 1.5
85%1.13
Over 2.5
65%1.44
Over 3.5
44%2.15
Under 1.5
15%5.95
Under 2.5
35%2.70
Under 3.5
56%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.6 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.44
Over 9.5
54%1.75
Over 10.5
42%2.25
Under 8.5
35%2.55
Under 9.5
46%2.00
Under 10.5
58%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.67
Over 4.5
37%2.32
Under 3.5
44%2.12
Under 4.5
63%1.57

Match Events

16'Hany MukhtarAssist: Cristian Espinoza
43'Hany MukhtarAssist: Sam Surridge
45'Lewis Morgan INAlonso out
63'Nickseon Gomis INKobe Franklin out
71'Elias Saad INShakur Mohammed out
73'Dániel Sallói INEmilio Aristizábal out
73'Jonathan Osorio INAlejandro Piedrahita Díaz out
78'Cristian Espinoza INAlex Muyl out
81'Sam SurridgeDissent
86'Edvard Sandvik Tagseth INBryan Acosta out
87'Andy Najar INjosh bauer out
87'Theo Corbeanu INDerrick Etienne Jr. out

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Callaghan
Toronto FC
4-4-2Coach: R. Fraser
Avg rating7.49
Avg rating6.23
J. Willis7.01J. Willis
A. Najar7.931A. Najar
J. Palacios7.94J. Palacios
M. Woledzi7.23M. Woledzi
R. Baker-Whiting7.927R. Baker-Whiting
E. Tagseth7.620E. Tagseth
M. Corcoran7.516M. Corcoran
C. Espinoza7.77C. Espinoza
H. Mukhtar9.910H. Mukhtar
E. Saad7.211E. Saad
S. Surridge6.99S. Surridge
L. Gavran7.61L. Gavran
J. Gilman6.038J. Gilman
Z. Monlouis5.612Z. Monlouis
N. Gomis5.515N. Gomis
Matheus Pereira5.83M. Pereira
T. Corbeanu5.97T. Corbeanu
J. Osorio6.321J. Osorio
N. Dorsch6.36N. Dorsch
D. Sallói6.120D. Sallói
L. Morgan6.590L. Morgan
J. Sargent6.69J. Sargent

Nashville SC Substitutes

6B. Acosta86'for Edvard Sandvik Tagseth6.8
22J. Bauer87'for Andy Najar7.1
23J. Knight
2D. Lovitz
95W. Mackay
5J. Maher
14S. Mohammed71'for Elias Saad6.9
19A. Muyl78'for Cristian Espinoza6.9
17Owen Presthus

Toronto FC Substitutes

23W. Yarbrough
99J. Vilsaint
76L. Stefanovic
27A. Piedrahita73'for Jonathan Osorio6.7
19K. Franklin63'for Nickseon Gomis6.4
11D. Etienne87'for Theo Corbeanu6.3
44R. Edwards
14Alonso Coello45'for Lewis Morgan6.1
17Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga73'for Dániel Sallói6.2

Match Stats

Nashville SCToronto FC
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots5
12Fouls9
5Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves9
516Total Passes327
444Passes Accurate242
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Toronto FCToronto FC
1797Elo Rating 1553
2.49Attack 1.91
2.61Defense 0.89
77%Hit Rate 39%
14.3Shots per Game 13.8
7.5Shots on Target 5.4
5.0Corners per Game 4.3
1.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+243 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.14 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nashville SCNashville SC4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Toronto FCToronto FC3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer10/09/2026
Toronto FCNashville SC
21
Major League Soccer20/07/2025
Nashville SCToronto FC
10
Major League Soccer25/05/2025
Toronto FCNashville SC
12
Major League Soccer20/06/2024
Toronto FCNashville SC
12
Major League Soccer16/05/2024
Nashville SCToronto FC
20
Major League Soccer11/06/2023
Toronto FCNashville SC
11
Major League Soccer09/04/2023
Nashville SCToronto FC
00
Major League Soccer07/08/2022
Nashville SCToronto FC
34
Major League Soccer19/09/2021
Toronto FCNashville SC
21
Major League Soccer02/08/2021
Toronto FCNashville SC
11

Referee Profile

Ramy Touchan87 matches

5.24Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramy Touchan5.24
Other referees4.33

5.24 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Nashville SC vs Toronto FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nashville SC and Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Nashville SC are 1st and Toronto FC 11th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Nashville SC 66-23, Toronto FC 50-60. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.