Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Nashville SC
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
Geodis Park, Nashville·Victor Rivas, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.69
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Nashville SC Rest
3 days
Columbus Crew Rest
3 days

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew: the result in context

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.69
X
21%3.90
2
17%4.75
Double Chance
1X
83%1.19
X2
38%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.69
No
39%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.87 = 2.83
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.72
Over 3.5
35%2.74
Under 1.5
23%4.20
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.55
Over 9.5
52%1.93
Over 10.5
35%2.54
Under 8.5
38%2.27
Under 9.5
48%1.79
Under 10.5
65%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.80
Over 4.5
43%2.33
Under 3.5
34%1.87
Under 4.5
57%1.57

Match Events

27'H. MukhtarAssist: D. Lovitz
39'D. Lovitz
49'C. Ruvalcaba
58'M. FarsiAssist: M. Amundsen
59'M. Farsi INB. Lennon out
59'C. Adams INJ. Martinez out
62'A. Muyl INE. Saad out
62'P. Yazbek INE. Tagseth out
62'D. Lovitz INR. Baker-Whiting out
68'A. Gomes
76'A. Gomes IND. Chambost out
84'B. Mendez IND. Gazdag out
84'T. Habroune INL. Giaccone out
88'M. Corcoran INB. Acosta out
88'C. Espinoza INS. Mohammed out
90+3'R. Baker-WhitingAssist: H. Mukhtar
90+5'A. NajarAssist: J. Palacios

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-4-2Coach: Brian Callaghan
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Coach: Laurent Courtois
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.49
B. Schwake6.099B. Schwake
A. Najar7.231A. Najar
J. Palacios7.24J. Palacios
M. Woledzi6.63M. Woledzi
D. Lovitz6.72D. Lovitz
C. Espinoza7.37C. Espinoza
P. Yazbek6.68P. Yazbek
M. Corcoran6.716M. Corcoran
A. Muyl6.719A. Muyl
H. MukhtarC8.310H. Mukhtar
S. Surridge6.99S. Surridge
P. Schulte6.328P. Schulte
S. Moreira5.931S. Moreira
C. Ruvalcaba6.012C. Ruvalcaba
S. ZawadzkiC5.925S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen5.918M. Amundsen
M. Farsi7.523M. Farsi
A. Gomes7.920A. Gomes
T. Karumanchi6.950T. Karumanchi
T. Habroune6.216T. Habroune
B. Mendez6.610B. Mendez
C. Adams46C. Adams

Nashville SC Substitutes

1J. Willis
5J. Maher
22J. Bauer
27R. Baker-Whiting62'for D. Lovitz90+3'7.2
6B. Acosta88'for M. Corcoran6.6
20E. Tagseth62'for P. Yazbek6.3
37A. Qasem
11E. Saad62'for A. Muyl6.7
14S. Mohammed88'for C. Espinoza6.3

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1N. Hagen
2A. Herrera
55C. Rogers
8D. Gazdag84'for B. Mendez6.5
11B. Lennon59'for M. Farsi6.2
7D. Chambost76'for A. Gomes6.6
14A. Sejdic
77J. Martinez59'for C. Adams6.3
26L. Giaccone84'for T. Habroune6.5

Match Stats

Nashville SCColumbus Crew
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal0
8Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls7
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
567Total Passes425
505Passes Accurate360
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1797Elo Rating 1660
2.49Attack 2.25
2.61Defense 1.87
77%Hit Rate 63%
14.3Shots per Game 16.3
7.5Shots on Target 8.4
5.0Corners per Game 6.1
1.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nashville SCNashville SC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer14/03/2026
Columbus CrewNashville SC
01
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
30
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Columbus CrewNashville SC
22
Major League Soccer04/07/2024
Columbus CrewNashville SC
20
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
Columbus CrewNashville SC
20
Major League Soccer29/05/2023
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
31
Major League Soccer03/04/2022
Columbus CrewNashville SC
01
Major League Soccer21/10/2021
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
11
Major League Soccer22/07/2021
Columbus CrewNashville SC
00

Recent Form

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
5W2D3L
20/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
12
L
16/08/2026
CharlotteColumbus Crew
31
L
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
W
08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
21
W
05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
31
W
02/08/2026
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
D
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
21
W
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
W

Referee Profile

Victor Rivas141 matches

4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Rivas4.77
Other referees4.31

4.77 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nashville SC and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Nashville SC are 1st and Columbus Crew 9th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Nashville SC 66-23, Columbus Crew 52-49. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.