Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 27
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-8.2%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
Sporting Kansas City Rest
7 days
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City: result, form and history
Sporting Kansas City beat Houston Dynamo 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.57
X22%4.20
222%5.00
Double Chance
1X78%1.17
X244%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.65
No43%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.03 = 2.89
Over 1.580%1.18
Over 2.558%1.58
Over 3.536%2.52
Under 1.520%4.67
Under 2.542%2.33
Under 3.564%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.560%1.57
Over 9.548%1.95
Over 10.536%2.56
Under 8.540%2.25
Under 9.552%1.75
Under 10.564%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.85
Over 4.539%2.73
Under 3.541%1.93
Under 4.561%1.43
Match Events
1'Justin ReynoldsFoul
27'André LuizAssist: Stephen Afrifa
45'Calvin HarrisAssist: André Luiz
45+3'Héctor HerreraViolent conduct
45+4'Taylor CalheiraArgument
45+6'André LuizArgument
54'Antônio CarlosDissent
56'Franco Negri INFelipe·De Andrade Vieira out
62'André Luiz INRuben Ramos Jr out
68'Stephen AfrifaFoul
71'Lawrence Ennali INMarcelo Saracchi out
71'Ibrahim Aliyu INLyle Foster out
71'Agustín Bouzat INMatthew Arana out
72'Justin Reynolds INJacob Bartlett out
72'Calvin Harris INOwen Wolff out
79'Taylor Calheira INSeymour Garfield-Reid out
80'Stephen Afrifa INZorhan Bassong out
82'Mateusz Bogusz INDuncan McGuire out
Lineups
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City
4-4-2Coach: R. WickyAvg ratingAvg rating
31J. Bond
11L. Ennali
3A. Carlos
5L. Halter
21F. Negri
24A. Ibrahim
6Artur
16H. Herrera
19M. Bogusz
30A. Bouzat
20Guilherme
30S. Cleveland
13J. Reynolds
15J. Miller
28W. Meyer
18E. Karić
11A. Luiz
4L. Johnsen
20K. Agyabeng
14C. Harris
19T. Calheira
17S. AfrifaHouston Dynamo Substitutes
23D. McGuire82'for Mateusz Bogusz
22M. Arana71'for Agustín Bouzat
17N. Markanich
9L. Foster71'for Ibrahim Aliyu
26B. Gillingham
14D. Holmes
18D. Samassékou
4M. Saracchi71'for Lawrence Ennali
36Felipe Andrade56'for Franco Negri
Sporting Kansas City Substitutes
16J. Bartlett72'for Justin Reynolds
33O. Wolff72'for Calvin Harris
22Z. Bassong80'for Stephen Afrifa
29S. Reid79'for Taylor Calheira
2I. James
1J. Pulskamp
24R. Ramos62'for André Luiz
99J. Reid
93M. Suleymanov
Match Stats
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City 51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
21Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots3
3Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
469Total Passes459
426Passes Accurate410
11Free Kicks3
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City1611Elo Rating 1438
1.90Attack 1.30
0.77Defense 0.36
0%Hit Rate 14%
12.6Shots per Game 11.6
3.4Shots on Target 4.4
4.8Corners per Game 5.4
2.4Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Houston Dynamo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Sporting Kansas City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Houston Dynamo4Wins · 40%Draws440%
Sporting Kansas City2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
02/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
19/10/2025Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo00
01/06/2025Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City13
12/05/2024Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo12
25/02/2024Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City11
27/11/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City10
24/09/2023Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo21
09/07/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City22
11/05/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City10
11/09/2022Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City00
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo5W3D2L
20/09/2026Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
San Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
CharlotteHouston DynamoHouston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
New England RevolutionHouston DynamoSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati22
D13/09/2026San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo10
L10/09/2026Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake21
W06/09/2026CharlotteHouston Dynamo00
D30/08/2026Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes00
D23/08/2026St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo21
L20/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo01
W16/08/2026Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy10
W08/08/2026New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo02
W02/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
WSporting Kansas City2W1D7L
20/09/2026Sporting Kansas City
Philadelphia UnionSporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
FC DallasSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City
Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityHouston DynamoLos Angeles FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas CityPhiladelphia Union34
L13/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC31
W06/09/2026FC DallasSporting Kansas City43
L30/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
L20/08/2026Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City11
D16/08/2026Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City20
L02/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
L26/07/2026Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City40
L23/07/2026Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC21
WReferee Profile
3.96Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.96 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: Houston Dynamo are 4th in the Major League Soccer, while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th, 29 points behind. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 42-39, Sporting Kansas City 38-80. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.