GIL Vicente vs Maritimo Prediction

GIL Vicente
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Maritimo
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos·Bruno Pires Costa 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
GIL Vicente Rest
5 days
Maritimo Rest
4 days

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo: the result in context

GIL Vicente and Maritimo drew 1-1 in the Primeira Liga on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

GIL Vicente have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
28%3.30
2
27%3.85
Double Chance
1X
73%1.24
X2
55%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.99
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.9 = 2.33
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
46%2.27
Over 3.5
24%4.33
Under 1.5
31%2.75
Under 2.5
54%1.62
Under 3.5
76%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.76
Over 9.5
52%2.19
Over 10.5
42%2.92
Under 8.5
37%1.98
Under 9.5
48%1.57
Under 10.5
58%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.40
Over 4.5
34%1.78
Under 3.5
47%2.82
Under 4.5
66%1.95

Match Events

7'Murilo SouzaAssist: Gil Pinto Martins
45'Vladan Danilović INNilton Varela out
54'Santiago García GonzálezFoul
56'Rodri AndradeFoul
67'Adrián Butzke INMaurice Boakye out
67'Maxime Dominguez INIsrael Isaac Ayuma out
71'Hector Hernandez INMohamed Kaba out
78'Martín Tejón INMons Rogeani Bassouamina out
78'Rodri Andrade INIbrahim Akitunde Alani out
84'Murilo Souza INJoelson Fernandes out
88'Andreas Lausen INMartin Fernandez out
88'Gil Pinto Martins INAntonio Espigares out
90+3'Israel Isaac AyumaAssist: Maurice Boakye

Lineups

GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Coach: Luís Pinto
Maritimo
4-2-3-1Coach: M. van der Gaag
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.56
Lucão6.930Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio7.447R. Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert7.24M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu7.039J. Buatu
David Moreira7.345D. Moreira
A. Lausen6.812A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste7.586D. Ferreira Prioste
Murilo8.077Murilo
Santi García7.010S. García
Gil Pinto Martins7.620G. Pinto Martins
Héctor Hernández6.323H. Hernández
Fran Vieites6.730F. Vieites
Igor Julião6.32I. Julião
Romain Correia6.844R. Correia
G. Szalai6.322G. Szalai
Paulo Henrique6.723P. Henrique
Rodrigo Andrade6.46R. Andrade
V. Danilović6.818V. Danilović
M. Dominguez6.68M. Dominguez
Raphael Guzzo6.214R. Guzzo
Martín Tejón6.010M. Tejón
Adrián Butzke6.417A. Butzke

GIL Vicente Substitutes

17Sergio Bermejo
26Weverson
7T. Touré
3Espigares88'for Gil Pinto Martins6.7
11Joelson Fernandes84'for Murilo Souza6.6
32M. Fernández88'for Andreas Lausen6.4
19Guilherme
99M. Kaba71'for Hector Hernandez6.5
82Gonçalo Maia Pereira
27A. Moreira
94Samuel
2José Silva

Maritimo Substitutes

13Alfonso Pastor
5Nilton Varela45'for Vladan Danilović5.9
35B. Limbombe
12M. Bassouamina78'for Martín Tejón6.6
27S. Bamba
66I. Ayuma67'for Maxime Dominguez90+3'8.0
21I. Alani78'for Rodri Andrade6.2
1Gonçalo Tabuaço
90Maurice Osei Boakye67'for Adrián Butzke6.9

Match Stats

GIL VicenteMaritimo
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
9Fouls13
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
505Total Passes330
451Passes Accurate277
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
MaritimoMaritimo
1648Elo Rating 1559
1.13Attack 0.97
1.17Defense 0.65
34%Hit Rate 19%
10.7Shots per Game 9.1
2.9Shots on Target 2.9
2.3Corners per Game 3.5
2.4Cards per Game 1.9

Game State Tendencies

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MaritimoMaritimo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
MaritimoMaritimo1Wins · 17%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga05/03/2023
GIL VicenteMaritimo
20
Primeira Liga11/09/2022
MaritimoGIL Vicente
12
Primeira Liga20/03/2022
GIL VicenteMaritimo
11
Primeira Liga31/10/2021
MaritimoGIL Vicente
12
Primeira Liga05/05/2021
MaritimoGIL Vicente
01
Primeira Liga17/01/2021
GIL VicenteMaritimo
01

Recent Form

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
2W4D4L
13/09/2026
BenficaGIL Vicente
31
L
06/09/2026
GIL VicenteAcademico Viseu
01
L
30/08/2026
FamalicaoGIL Vicente
00
D
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
W
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
18/07/2026
GIL VicenteFelgueiras 1932
11
D
16/05/2026
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
30
L
11/05/2026
GIL VicenteArouca
13
L
03/05/2026
Rio AveGIL Vicente
00
D
MaritimoMaritimo
4W2D4L
14/09/2026
MoreirenseMaritimo
31
L
05/09/2026
MaritimoBenfica
03
L
29/08/2026
AroucaMaritimo
21
L
22/08/2026
MaritimoAcademico Viseu
22
D
16/08/2026
FamalicaoMaritimo
12
W
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
22/07/2026
MaritimoCamacha
20
W
17/07/2026
MaritimoLeixoes
15
L
14/07/2026
MaritimoAVS
20
W

Referee Profile

Bruno Pires Costa128 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Pires Costa4.59
Other referees5.51

4.59 cards a match, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.51).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1063123:11+1221WLWDD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1063115:6+921WLWDW
5AroucaArouca1062213:7+620WWWDL
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1062215:12+320WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8MoreirenseMoreirense1042413:17-414WWLDW
9AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
10SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
15NacionalNacional1021710:19-97LWLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
17Casa PiaCasa Pia102175:19-147LWLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP1023:1121
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1015:621
5AroucaArouca1013:720
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1015:1220
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8MoreirenseMoreirense1013:1714
9AlvercaAlverca913:1311
10SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo109:218
15NacionalNacional1010:197
16Rio AveRio Ave109:237
17Casa PiaCasa Pia105:197
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the GIL Vicente vs Maritimo forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

GIL Vicente and Maritimo in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, GIL Vicente are 7th and Maritimo 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: GIL Vicente 8-7, Maritimo 9-21. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.