Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Prediction

Istra 1961
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula·Dario Bel, Croatia 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Istra 1961 Rest
6 days
HNK Gorica Rest
5 days

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica: result, form and history

HNK Gorica beat Istra 1961 1-0 in the HNL on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

HNK Gorica have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.82
X
25%3.50
2
27%3.80
Double Chance
1X
73%1.22
X2
52%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.67
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.07 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.74
Over 3.5
28%2.87
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.02
Under 3.5
72%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
49%1.48
Over 9.5
39%1.82
Over 10.5
22%2.31
Under 8.5
51%2.45
Under 9.5
61%1.87
Under 10.5
78%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

45+1'D. DoumbiaFoul
72'D. Doumbia ING. Albarracin out
72'N. Skafar Zuzic INS. Ukich out
74'B. Bogojevic INJ. Pranjic out
74'G. Costa INI. Cvijanovic out
79'S. UkichFoul
81'F. Brodic IND. Pavicic out
84'R. Hrvatin INA. Kadusic out
84'A. Mauric INM. Kablar out
90+2'J. Frigan INO. Bakic out
90+2'J. Filipovic INS. Peric out
90+5'S. Miettinen INM. Nasraoui out
90+6'J. PranjicAssist: D. Pavicic
90+11'I. CvijanovicDelay of game
90+12'L. VrzicUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+12'IsaacUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Istra 1961
4-2-3-1Coach: Javi Cabello
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Carevic
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.93
Franko Kolić6.91F. Kolić
Rene Hrvatin6.944R. Hrvatin
Raul Kumar7.24R. Kumar
Samuli Miettinen6.716S. Miettinen
Niko Šepić7.613N. Šepić
Daouda Doumbia6.388D. Doumbia
Antonio MaurićC7.28A. Maurić
Emil Frederiksen7.322E. Frederiksen
Dukan Ahmeti6.320D. Ahmeti
Nik Škafar Žužić7.630N. Škafar Žužić
Isaac7.39Isaac
Renato Josipović9.21R. Josipović
Filip Braut6.92F. Braut
Jakov FilipovićC6.932J. Filipović
Dušan Stevanović7.615D. Stevanović
Gonçalo Costa6.75G. Costa
Juraj Frigan6.666J. Frigan
Tom Lacoux7.26T. Lacoux
Bruno Bogojević6.925B. Bogojević
Patrik Mijić5.99P. Mijić
Luka Vrzić6.620L. Vrzić
Fran Brodić6.510F. Brodić

Istra 1961 Substitutes

23Stipe Ukich72'for N. Skafar Zuzic79'6.3
25Gustavo Albarracín72'for D. Doumbia6.6
40Jan Paus-Kunšt
3Mohamed Nasraoui90+5'for S. Miettinen6.2
66Mutari Momoh
97Advan Kadušić84'for R. Hrvatin6.6
25Demirel Hodžić
34Matija Kablar84'for A. Mauric6.5
11Silvio Goričan
27Dominik Celija
39Toni Brajković

HNK Gorica Substitutes

34Ivan Cvijanović74'for G. Costa90+11'6.3
8Jakov Pranjić74'for B. Bogojevic90+6'7.7
30Darijan Žarkov
71Davor Matijaš
45Stefan Perić90+2'for J. Filipovic6.7
4Kevin Čustović
7Ognjen Bakić90+2'for J. Frigan6.3
24Domagoj Pavičić81'for F. Brodic6.9
26Keenan Carole
67Tomislav Prgomet
18Bartol Kardum
50Ante Erceg

Match Stats

Istra 1961HNK Gorica
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots13
11Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
7Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves11
451Total Passes442
372Passes Accurate359
82%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Istra 1961Istra 1961
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1589Elo Rating 1481
1.49Attack 0.87
1.85Defense 2.10
44%Hit Rate 17%
13.3Shots per Game 11.4
6.6Shots on Target 4.0
4.7Corners per Game 6.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Istra 1961Istra 1961
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Istra 1961Istra 19612Wins · 20%
Draws220%
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica6Wins · 60%
1.6Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL27/04/2026
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
10
HNL21/02/2026
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
02
HNL23/11/2025
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
10
HNL29/08/2025
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
10
HNL12/04/2025
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
32
HNL31/01/2025
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
00
HNL27/10/2024
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
10
HNL10/08/2024
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
21
HNL24/05/2024
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
20
HNL17/03/2024
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
00

Recent Form

Istra 1961Istra 1961
4W4D2L
13/09/2026
Istra 1961Rudes
32
W
08/09/2026
ZagorecIstra 1961
05
W
04/09/2026
NK VarazdinIstra 1961
00
D
29/08/2026
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
22
D
23/08/2026
HNK RijekaIstra 1961
32
L
15/08/2026
Istra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
30
W
09/08/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
22
D
01/08/2026
Istra 1961NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
23
L
25/07/2026
LecceIstra 1961
22
D
17/07/2026
Istra 1961Milton Keynes Dons
21
W
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1W2D7L

Referee Profile

Dario Bel146 matches

4.35Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dario Bel4.35
Other referees4.59

4.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1262422:17+520WLDLD
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1254316:11+519DLLWD
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1153318:15+318DLWLW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611LDWLL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1222:1720
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1216:1119
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1118:1518
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1214:2011
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica in the HNL table

In the HNL table, Istra 1961 are 6th and HNK Gorica 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Istra 1961 21-18, HNK Gorica 7-20. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.