HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction

Stadion Poljud, Split 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
5 days
NK Slaven Belupo Rest
4 days

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo: the result in context

HNK Hajduk Split beat NK Slaven Belupo 1-0 in the HNL on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: HNK Hajduk Split had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for NK Slaven Belupo.

HNK Hajduk Split have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.26
X
15%5.70
2
9%8.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
24%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.60
No
49%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.11 + 0.84 = 2.95
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
62%1.30
Over 3.5
35%1.83
Under 1.5
15%7.00
Under 2.5
38%3.20
Under 3.5
65%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 2.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
52%1.88
Over 10.5
42%2.38
Under 8.5
39%2.40
Under 9.5
48%1.84
Under 10.5
58%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

12'Adrion PajazitiFoul
20'Karlo IsasegiFoul
22'Dalisson De Almeida LeiteAssist: Abdoulie Sanyang
44'Dalisson De Almeida LeiteFoul
45'Karlo Isasegi INAntonio jakir out
45'Leon Bošnjak INDavid Bosak out
45+1'Filip mazarFoul
62'Alberto del Moral INKhalil Fayad out
62'marin soticek INCarlos Martín Domínguez out
72'Abdoulie Sanyang INAdam Huram out
79'Filip mazar
80'Ilija Nestorovski INLosika Ratshukudu out
80'Michele Šego INMarko Livaja out
83'Dario MarešićFoul
90+2'Adeshina Adetunji INJon Mersinaj out
90+5'Losika RatshukuduFoul

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo García
NK Slaven Belupo
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Čabraja
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.27
T. Silić7.533T. Silić
M. Acapandié7.222M. Acapandié
D. Marešić7.415D. Marešić
R. Raci7.514R. Raci
Š. Hrgović6.932Š. Hrgović
Alberto del Moral6.620A. del Moral
A. Pajaziti7.14A. Pajaziti
A. Sanyang7.67A. Sanyang
Dali8.19Dali
M. Šotiček6.523M. Šotiček
M. Šego6.411M. Šego
K. Sentić6.030K. Sentić
A. Grgić6.227A. Grgić
T. Božić6.86T. Božić
D. Kovačić6.74D. Kovačić
K. Išasegi6.033K. Išasegi
A. Adeshina6.322A. Adeshina
F. Mažar5.717F. Mažar
M. Dabro6.47M. Dabro
L. Bošnjak6.424L. Bošnjak
J. Mitrović6.511J. Mitrović
I. Nestorovski6.490I. Nestorovski

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

19E. Brruti
8K. Fayad62'for Alberto del Moral7.2
99D. Fesyuk
6D. Hadžikadunić
38L. Hodak
26A. Guram72'for Abdoulie Sanyang6.9
10M. Livaja80'for Michele Šego6.6
77Carlos Martín62'for marin soticek6.5
17D. Melnjak
44D. Stipica
5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
16A. Sutalo

NK Slaven Belupo Substitutes

8L. Banovec
5I. Cvetko
88D. Bosak45'for Leon Bošnjak6.5
21L. Crepulja
3A. Jakir45'for Karlo Isasegi6.1
23A. Jónsson
15J. Mersinaj90+2'for Adeshina Adetunji
45V. Papac
14Losika Ratshukudu80'for Ilija Nestorovski90+5'5.8
77I. Urata
32I. Čović

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
68%Ball Possession32%
3Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
9Total Shots7
1Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal2
5Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots3
15Fouls15
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves0
610Total Passes282
539Passes Accurate210
88%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
1756Elo Rating 1513
1.58Attack 1.60
2.15Defense 0.81
73%Hit Rate 39%
13.8Shots per Game 12.3
5.5Shots on Target 4.1
3.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+244 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split7Wins · 70%
Draws330%
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL17/04/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk Split
22
HNL07/02/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
20
HNL02/11/2025
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk Split
00
HNL17/08/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
30
HNL05/04/2025
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk Split
01
HNL26/01/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
00
HNL20/10/2024
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk Split
02
HNL04/08/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
21
HNL20/04/2024
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk Split
01
HNL11/02/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo
40

Recent Form

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
4W1D5L
09/09/2026
Hrvatski DragovoljacNK Slaven Belupo
05
W
06/09/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21
W
30/08/2026
NK OsijekNK Slaven Belupo
30
L
22/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
20
W
15/08/2026
Istra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
30
L
09/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
14
L
31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
L
25/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSesvete
40
W
21/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoShakhtar Donetsk
22
D
16/07/2026
PaksNK Slaven Belupo
53
L

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1262422:17+520WLDLD
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1254316:11+519DLLWD
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1153318:15+318DLWLW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611LDWLL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1222:1720
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1216:1119
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1118:1518
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1214:2011
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st in the HNL, while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: HNK Hajduk Split 26-11, NK Slaven Belupo 14-25. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.